Projected line: 157 points
This is a game between two teams already eliminated, so I expect them to have zero motivation on playing defense, while trying to outscore their opponents in order to leave this competition at least with one victory. The Chinese defense is by far the weakest in the competition and they can't stop their opponents from crushing them in the boards, as their opponents have grabbed 12, 13, 21 and 18 offensive rebounds against them so far on this tournament. They also can't defend in transition and their first four opponents on this tournament pounded them with 10, 13, 13 and 21 fast break points.
On the other hand, the British team has been improving their offense throughout this competition. They are still very dependent from Deng and they faced good defensive teams that defended Deng very well, as for example Australia limited Deng to 3-15 FG and 9 points in their last game. I don't believe the Chinese defense will be able to stop him and so the British should be able to pound the poor Chinese defense like the other teams did it during this group stage.
China has just one weapon: their outside shooting. I've previously mentioned how good the Brazilian interior defense is and that was clear in their last game against China, where they held Yi Jianlian to just 1-9 FG. As I don't expect a big effort from the British defense today, I believe Yi will have a bounce back game today.
Therefore, I expect both teams to be able to achieve good offensive performances today, where their defensive efforts will be little to none. So, I'll be taking the Over on this contest.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 152,5 @ -105 / 1.95 on Pinnacle
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