Monday, August 6, 2012

Olympic Games 08/06: Women's Soccer - France vs Japan


Olympic Games - Women's Soccer - France vs Japan

The reigning world champion Japan is a very solid team, who relies on their great defense to be able to be competitive against the other top teams. They don't have a great offense, just a very tactically disciplined team, as shown in their last game against Brazil, where their laid back on a very organized formation and then trying to attack very quickly on fast breaks. This tactic worked perfectly for them as they defeated Brazil by 2-0 and today against France, I expect Japan to try exactly this very same tactic.

On the other hand, France has been a very impressive team over the past year and after riding on an impressive winning streak, they lost in group stage against the United States, on a very good match where France really had poor luck on their 2-4 loss. After that game, France crushed North Korea by 5-0 and defeated Colombia by 1-0, while in the quarter finals they defeated Sweden by 2-1, in a revenge game for France from the third place match in last year's World Cup. 

France is a team on a rise and I actually see value on a pk line. I expect this game to be extremely close, but I give some edge to France due to the fact they have probably the best striker in the tournament in Marie-Laure Delie. Due to Japan's playing style, I expect this game to have very few scoring chances and so, I'll take the Under in here as well.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Under 2 Goals @ +110 / 2.10 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on France pk @ +101 / 2.01 on Pinnacle

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