MLB - 909 Houston Astros @ 910 St Louis Cardinals
(Starting Pitchers: L. Harrell vs A. Wainwright)
Houston will be starting Harrell tonight and he has excellent lately, never allowing more than two runs on his last seven starts. His advanced numbers support these good performances, however the Cardinals will be facing him with one day of rest and with all their batters excluding Beltran. Looking at the fact the Cards' roster is hitting .292 BA and .751 OPS against him, I expect to see Harrell in some trouble tonight, especially with St Louis being in bounce back mode after losing a very important series against Pittsburgh.
On the other hand, St Louis will start their ace Wainwright tonight and it looks like he's back to his pre-Tommy John form. He has a 3.87 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP this season, but his recent numbers are much better, especially on his last three games against good offenses like Arizona, San Francisco and Milwaukee, where he allowed just 2, 1 and 1 earned runs! Wainwright is looking too good right now for the poor Astros offense to make any damage to him tonight.
Even though I don't believe in a very bad outing from Harrell tonight, it seems clear to me that he will be in much more trouble today against the powerful Cards offense in a good spot than the in-form Wainwright against the poor offense of the Astros. As much as Harrell is pitching well, St Louis will eventually score some runs tonight, while Wainwright may even completely shutdown Houston. Therefore, I expect a comfortable win for the Cardinals in here and so, I'll take them on the Runline tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 910 St Louis Cardinals RL -1.5 (w/ A. Wainwright) @ -115 / 1.87 on 5Dimes
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