Sunday, August 26, 2012

MLB Premium Play 08/25: Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox


MLB - 929 Kansas City Royals @ 930 Boston Red Sox

(Starting Pitchers: J. Guthrie vs A. Cook)

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

This is a special game considering the trade the Red Sox just made with the Dodgers, with Adrian Gonzalez, Carl Crawford, Josh Beckett and Nick Punto being sent to LA for a package of prospects. With Boston being in a terrible spot tonight because of that, the Royals have a huge chance to get the win in here.

Especially when Kansas City will start Guthrie today, who has been ridiculously good lately, with a 0.97 ERA and 23/5 K/BB ratio on his last four games. He has a 0.94 ERA, 2.02 FIP and 3.66 xFIP in August and even though he has struggled in the past against the Red Sox when he was in Baltimore, that Red Sox lineup had Carl Crawford and David Ortiz, who used to make him struggle big time, but they will be both out of today's game. With a weak lineup for tonight's game, I expect the Red Sox to be dominated by the super in-form Guthrie.

Speaking of that trade, Josh Beckett was supposed to start today and on his place, Boston is starting Aaron Cook, who was about to get released due to his poor outings. He has a 5.03 ERA and a 1-5 record since the All-Star break and he will just have 3 days rest for this contest, so I believe Kansas City won't have problems in scoring a few runs tonight, something that should be more than enough for them, as they have the red hot Guthrie in the mount tonight.

With such a huge SP edge on this contest favoring the Royals and with the Red Sox presenting a poor lineup tonight due to some injuries and the trade they just made with the Dodgers, I believe Kansas City will comfortably win tonight's game and so, I'll take them in here. Triple Dime Play!

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 929 Kansas City Royals ML (w/ J. Guthrie) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes

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