Friday, August 31, 2012

MLB Premium Play 08/30: Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals


MLB - 969 Detroit Tigers @ 970 Kansas City Royals

(Starting Pitchers: R. Porcello vs J. Guthrie)

Detroit lost the first two games of this series by one run and they will start Porcello tonight to avoid getting swept by the Royals. Porcello is coming from three losses in a row, however his last two outings were quality ones, but he had little run support. He has faced power offenses in August like the Angels, Baltimore, Texas, the Yankees and Boston and he is still posing a 4.75 ERA, 3.43 FIP and 2.82 xFIP. Therefore, I believe Porcello should be able to handle the Royals tonight.

On the other hand, Kansas City will start Guthrie, who was having an amazing run until he got completely destroyed in Boston, as he allowed seven runs (six earned) in just 2.2 innings, while walking two batters and striking out just one. He posted a 20.25 ERA, 14.35 FIP and 9.00 xFIP and he just couldn't thrown his fastballs at his regular speed. He has lost all his confidence and now I believe he will struggle big time tonight against a team looking for a bounce back and who is one of the best hitting teams against right handed pitchers.

I believe Detroit's offense will bounce back tonight and pound Guthrie in here, while Porcello will be able to do an okay job against the Royals lineup, therefore I expect the Tigers to avoid the sweep on this series tonight and get a good win for them in here. I'm taking Detroit tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 969 Detroit Tigers ML (w/ R. Porcello) @ -115 / 1.87 on Betonline

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