Sunday, September 30, 2012

NFL Week 4 Free Premium Play 09/30: Seattle Seahawks @ St Louis Rams

  
Seattle  at St Louis 
 
 
Play: Single Dime Play on Under 39
Comments:

NFL Week 4 - 217 Seattle Seahawks @ 218 St Louis Rams

Projected Line: 36 points


Games between the Seahawks and the Rams are generally low scoring affairs and this game should keep this tradition pretty much alive. Seattle is playing very well on this early season, but this has been achieved via a very conservative playbook, where QB Russell Wilson doesn't take any kind of risks, leaving RB Marshawn Lynch the responsibility to carry the team's offense. This is resulting in a solid but very unspectacular offensive production for Seattle, something that has been compensated extremely well due to a great defense that is playing like a top defensive team in the league right now. Now against the Rams offense that is clearly compromised due to an OL that can't protect Sam Bradford at all and with RB Steven Jackson nursing a groin injury, I expect Seattle's top quality defense to keep the Rams offensive production to a minimum today.

On the other side, as I've said, the Seahawks play on a very conservative playbook, therefore it is unlikely to see them having huge offensive plays on their games. The Rams' defense seems improved from last year under Jeff Fischer's guidance and with the Seahawks' passing game not being a danger, I expect the Rams to focus on stopping the Seahawks running game and being at least a bit successful in doing that.

With Seattle's great defense stopping the Rams' poor offense and with St Louis also having a defense decent enough to prevent the conservative Seahawks to have a great offensive game today, I believe this game will end up being a low scoring affair, with both teams playing a rather conservative football and without a lot of big plays. Therefore, I see value on the Under on this contest, even with this low totals line and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 217/218 Under 39 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker 

MLB Premium Play 09/29: New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves


MLB - 955 New York Mets @ 956 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: C. Young vs M. Minor)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Atlanta lost yesterday a game where they faced Niese, who was a bad matchup for them, as they keep struggling against LH pitchers and Niese is indeed in very good form right now. Today things should be very different, as even though Young has been having a solid month of September, he struggles against LH batters with .287 BA, 5.92 FIP and 6.50 xFIP. This bodes well for the Braves top lefty hitters, especially when Atlanta is hitting .296 BA and 1.003 OPS against him. Young has already faced Atlanta twice this season and he struggled in both games by allowing a homerun in each game, besides walking 4 and 3 batters. So, this is definitely a bad matchup for him and so, I expect Young to struggle today.

On the other hand, Minor has a good matchup today, as the Mets also struggle against LH pitchers and after a poor start of the season, he has been very good lately, with 0, 0, 1 and 2 ER allowed on his last four games, with games against Philadelphia, Washington and Milwaukee on his last three outings. Minor wants to secure a place in the rotation for the playoffs, he is motivated and so, I expect him to dominate the Mets tonight. With Young struggling, I believe Atlanta will therefore have a comfortable win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here. Double Dime Play!

NOTE: Also available on 5Dimes at -142 / 1.71

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 956 Atlanta Braves RL -1 (w/ M. Minor) @ -137 / 1.73 on Pinnacle

MLB Premium Play 09/29: Washington Nationals @ St Louis Cardinals


MLB - 959 Washington Nationals @ 960 St Louis Cardinals

(Starting Pitchers: J. Zimmermann vs K. Lohse)

Washington was crushed yesterday in the first game of this series, so they have a revenge game tonight in a spot where they have been very strong this season, as they are 23-9 in their last 32 games following a loss. They'll start Zimmermann, who had a bad outing against St Louis in early September, but he has been dominant since that game by allowing just 2, 2, 1 and 1 ER on his last four outrings! So, this is a revenge game for both the Nationals and their SP, therefore I expect them to bounce back big time today with good performances!

The Cardinals will start Lohse and he has been the team's most solid SP lately. However, I don't like him on this spot. He has been pitching well lately with a 2.37 ERA on his last three outings, however he faced the Cubs, Houston and San Diego, three teams eliminated from playoff contention a long time ago. Today things will be much different. Washington is hitting .340 BA and .976 OPS against him and I expect the Nationals to bounce back tonight and get revenge from yesterday's loss with a good win tonight. I'm taking the Nationals in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 959 Washington Nationals ML (w/ J. Zimmermann) @ +107 / 2.07 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 09/29: San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres


MLB - 963 San Francisco Giants @ 964 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: M. Bumgarner vs E. Stults)

San Francisco will use their usual lineup, with nobody resting and they have been hot lately with .798 OPS over the last 30 days. They'll be facing San Diego, who is on a mini slump after a hot stretch. The key in here is to check that both pitchers are coming from starts where they faced the same teams, with Bumgarner having one more day of rest than Stults. While I believe Bumgarner should have another good outing against the Padres, after allowing just two earned runs in 5.2 innings while having a 6/1 K/BB ratio last week, I don't expect the same thing to happen to Stults.

Even though Stults had a good outings against the Giants with just three earned runs allowed in six innings, I expect San Francisco to get revenge over him tonight. This will be third start that Stults will have against San Francisco in a month and a half and the truth is that the Giants are hitting .408 BA and .986 OPS against him. Therefore, I expect Stults to be pounded by the Giants again, while Bumgarner should have another quality outing against the slumping Padres. So, I'll be taking San Francisco tonight in a comfortable win for them.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ M. Bumgarner) @ -134 / 1.75 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 09/29: Houston Astros @ Milwaukee Brewers


MLB - 953 Houston Astros @ 954 Milwaukee Brewers

(Starting Pitchers: D. Keuchel vs M. Estrada)

Milwaukee will start Estrada and he has been pitching very well, excluding his last start where he was crushed in Washington. He is a flyball pitcher and against a potent power lineup like the Nationals, he had no chances. Today, things should be very different and Estrada should comeback to the quality outings. Houston is a much better matchup for him and he should dominate with ease.

On the other hand, Houston will start Keuchel and he is a LH pitcher, who has a 5.69 FIP against RH batters this season. So, he will be an easy target for the powerful Brewers lineup. This was already visible on his first visit to Milwaukee, where he allowed 7 earned runs in four innings. Keuchel is coming from three good outings, but they were against the Cubs and the Pirates plus the Phillies, who struggle against LH pitchers. Things will be much tougher for him tonight. With Estrada dominating the Astros and Milwaukee putting Keuchel in huge trouble, I expect an easy win for the Brewers and so, I'll be taking them on the Runline today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 954 Milwaukee Brewers RL -1.5 (w/ M. Estrada) @ -135 / 1.74 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 09/29: Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers


MLB - 979 Los Angeles Angels @ 980 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: E. Santana vs D. Holland)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 979 Los Angeles Angels ML (w/ E. Santana) @ +108 / 2.08 on 5Dimes



3-Team Parlay:

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 954 Milwaukee Brewers ML (w/ M. Estrada) x 956 Atlanta Braves ML (w/ M. Minor) x 969 Detroit Tigers ML (w/ J. Verlander) @ +200 / 3.00 on Pinnacle

MLB Premium Play 09/29: Seattle Mariners @ Oakland Athletics


MLB - 971 Seattle Mariners @ 972 Oakland Athletics

(Starting Pitchers: J. Vargas vs D. Straily)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 971/972 Under 7.5 (w/ J. Vargas & D. Straily) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 09/29: Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins


MLB - 969 Detroit Tigers @ 970 Minnesota Twins

(Starting Pitchers: J. Verlander vs P. Walters)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 969 Detroit Tigers RL -1.5 (w/ J. Verlander) @ -130 / 1.77 on 5Dimes

Saturday, September 29, 2012

MLB Premium Play 09/28: Seattle Mariners @ Oakland Athletics


MLB - 929 Seattle Mariners @ 930 Oakland Athletics

(Starting Pitchers: B. Beavan vs A. Griffin)

NOTE: No writeup for this Play

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 930 Oakland Athletics RL -1.5 (w/ A. Griffin) @ -105 / 1.95 on Betonline



2-Team Parlay:

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 917 New York Yankees ML (w/ H. Kuroda) x 920 Baltimore Orioles ML (w/ C. Tillman) @ +130 / 2.30 on Pinnacle

MLB Premium Play 09/28: Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago White Sox


MLB - 927 Tampa Bay Rays @ 928 Chicago White Sox

(Starting Pitchers: J. Hellickson vs G. Floyd)

The White Sox have been slumping lately, but they have been competitive in all games. Today, we have a matchup between Floyd and Hellickson. Floyd has been playing well since returning from the DL and on his last start, he allowed four earned runs in LA against the Angels, but had a good command 8/1 K/BB ratio. He is a tough matchup for the Rays, as his strongest pitch is the cutter and Tampa Bay struggles against this kind of pitch.

On the other side, the Rays will start Hellickson and he's just too unpredictable, as he alternates good with bad outings, with a high count of pitches. Therefore, I like the home dog in here and so, I'll be taking the White Sox tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 928 Chicago White Sox ML (w/ G. Floyd) @ +105 / 2.05 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 09/28: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers


MLB - 915 Colorado Rockies @ 916 Los Angeles Dodgers

(Starting Pitchers: J. Francis vs C. Kershaw)

The Dodgers will start Kershaw tonight, who came back from the DL in Cincinnati, in an outing where he struggled on command, with a season high of five walks. I doubt he is at 100% right now and so, he should struggle a bit against the competent lineup of the Rockies.

Colorado will start Francis and he has been struggling. The Dodgers offense was very good in San Diego and they've regained some momentum. They're better against LH pitchers, therefore Francis is a good matchup for them. I expect Francis to really struggle tonight and Kershaw to have some problems as well, therefore I believe we have value on the Over in here and I'll be taking it.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 915/916 Over 7 (w/ J. Francis & C. Kershaw) @ +110 / 2.10 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 09/28: Washington Nationals @ St Louis Cardinals


MLB - 909 Washington Nationals @ 910 St Louis Cardinals

(Starting Pitchers: E. Jackson vs A. Wainwright)

This is a letdown spot for Washington, after pretty much eliminating Philadelphia from playoff contention in the previous series. They had now to travel to St Louis and they'll facing a resting Cardinals, who are still trying to secure a wild card spot. 

Both pitchers are struggling a bit in September, but this is a revenge game for Wainwright, who was pounded on his last head to head against Jackson, so combined with a much better spot, I expect the Cardinals to comfortably win this game and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 910 St Louis Cardinals ML (w/ A. Wainwright) @ -135 / 1.74 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 09/28: New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves


MLB - 905 New York Mets @ 906 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: J. Niese vs T. Hudson)

The Mets are playing really well at this end of the season, with five wins on their last six games. They'll start Niese tonight, who has been very consistent lately, while being excellent against lefties. This is why he has been dominating Atlanta this season, with the Braves' lefties not being able to do anything against him.

Atlanta will start Hudson, who is coming from a big win in Philadelphia, but once again he had weak advanced numbers. He is struggling against left handed batters this season and the Mets' lineup is loaded with them. I see nice value on the Mets tonight with a rock solid starting pitcher and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 905 New York Mets RL +1 (w/ J. Niese) @ +104 / 2.04 on Pinnacle

Friday, September 28, 2012

NFL Week 4 Premium Play 09/27: Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens

NFL Week 4 - 101 Cleveland Browns @ 102 Baltimore Ravens

Projected line: Baltimore by 8 points

Even though I have no doubts that Baltimore is a much better team than Cleveland, the truth is that I expect the Browns to be a bit competitive tonight, in a clear letdown spot for the Ravens, after a great win over the Patriots last Sunday Night.

Baltimore is a team known for laying some eggs against lowly teams and this is a good spot for them to struggle. They gave it all to beat New England last Sunday Night and today, in a short week for them, I don't expect them to bring their A game, allowing Cleveland to stay close in the score. Joe Flacco has been playing very well this season and Ray Rice is always a threat in the running game, however I expect the decent defense of Cleveland to limit their action tonight, especially with their reasonable pass rush putting Flacco in some pressure.

On the other hand, the Browns have been average on offense, but Brandon Weeden has been able to give the team some decent yardage in the passing game, something that I expect to happen tonight as well, as Baltimore's pass defense hasn't been great in this early season plus the spot isn't good to see any kind of improvement. Therefore, I expect Weeden to be able to show some productivity on this contest. In terms of the running game, Trent Richardson is coming from a very poor game and even though Baltimore has a good run defense, I believe Richardson should at least be better than he was last Sunday against Buffalo and help the team in the third-and-short situations.

I believe the Browns will surely be more motivated and focused to play this game than Baltimore and therefore, I expect Cleveland's better special teams (especially on returns), solid defense and somewhat interesting offense to be able to put them close in the score for most of the game. The current spread is asking for a very clear blowout win for Baltimore to cover the handicap and I don't believe that will happen tonight, as Baltimore is on a clear letdown spot. Therefore, I'll be taking Cleveland in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 101 Cleveland Browns (+13) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bodog

MLB Premium Card 09/27

MLB - 951 Milwaukee Brewers @ 952 Cincinnati Reds

(Starting Pitchers: W. Peralta vs M. Latos)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 
952 Cincinnati Reds RL -1 (w/ M. Latos) @ -125 / 1.80 on Pinnacle



MLB - 953 Pittsburgh Pirates @ 954 New York Mets

(Starting Pitchers: K. Correia vs R. Dickey)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 
954 New York Mets RL -1.5 (w/ R. Dickey) @ +105 / 2.05 on 5 Dimes
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 953/954 Over 7 (w/ 
K. Correia & R. Dickey) @ -120 / 1.83 on Betonline



MLB - 967 Oakland Athletics @ 968 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: T. Blackley vs M. Harrison)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 
968 Texas Rangers RL -1.5 (w/ M. Harrison) @ -105 / 1.95 on Bookmaker



MLB - 959 Washington Nationals @ 960 Philadelphia Phillies

(Starting Pitchers: G. Gonzalez vs T. Cloyd)

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY - Split the wager***
The Washington Nationals have still some interesting motivation for this contest: they are looking to clinch home court advantage through the NL while Gio Gonzalez is a potential candidate for the CY young award.

Gonzalez is having a stellar season and he is a tough matchup against left handed hitters: FIP = 2.68 & xFIP = 2.65.  The majority of the Phillies best hitters are LH and no wonder Philadelphia struggled against Gonzalez this season: 3 contests with Gonzalez allowing 3, 0 and 1 ER. His BA against PHI is a steady .239 mark so for tonight we have a good matchup working favorably for Washington.

On the other side, the Phillies will send T. Cloyd to the mound and I expect him to struggle big time against the Nationals. He is a clearly fly ball pitcher w/ 50.6% FB%/rate vs. 30.9% GB%/rate & 18.5 LD%/rate and this is a dangerous combination against a power hitting team like the Nationals as in the L30 days stats, WAS is #1 in ISO w/.202 and #1 in HR/FB rate w/17.5% ! Cloyd is coming from a nice outing @ NYM but the Phillies gave him a huge lead since the start (the game was “over” in the first inning with PHI leading 8-0) so he had no problems in managing the game against a demoralized team. Against the Nationals the story will be different and I see the Nationals having the edge in both the SP matchup & offense as well.

Pick: 3 units on 959 Washington Nationals ML (w/ G. Gonzalez) @ -132 / 1.75 on 5 Dimes
Pick: 2 units on 959 Washington Nationals Over 4 runs @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

Thursday, September 27, 2012

MLB Premium Card 09/26

MLB - 917 New York Yankees @ 918 Minnesota Twins

(Starting Pitchers: C. Sabathia vs S. Deduno)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 
917 New York Yankees RL -1.5 (w/ C. Sabathia) @ -140 / 1.71 on 5 Dimes




MLB - 901 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 902 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: A. Harang vs C. Richard)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY - SPLIT THE WAGER***

The Dodgers doesn't believe they can reach the wild card anymore, with yesterday's loss being almost like a fatal blow to their postseason aspirations. They had 10 hits against only 5 from San Diego, but they lost 1-2. They'll start Harang tonight and he had a strong start of the season just to fade lately. On his last nine starts, he couldn't even reach seven innings and on his last five games, he couldn't even reach the six innings mark. The split stats also say that he struggles against LH batters by allowing .258 BA, 4.74 FIP and 5.65 xFIP, something that should cause him to struggle today, as San Diego will have five batters hitting from the left side. 

On the other side, San Diego will start Richard, who has been much better lately. In fact, he hasn't dropped a decision since August 14 by going 5-0 with a 3.38 ERA in his last six starts. His last start was a win in Arizona, where he actually allowed four earned runs, but against an Arizona offense that is red hot lately. On his last four home games, he allowed 2, 0, 0 and 1 earned runs and I expect him to keep his good run of home outings today. Therefore, I believe Richard will definitely be better than Harang tonight and so, I'll be taking San Diego in here. Split the wager between the Moneyline and Team Total Over.

Pick: 2 units on 902 San Diego Padres ML (w/ C. Richard) @ -121 / 1.83 on Betonline
Pick: 2 units on 902 San Diego Padres Team Total Over 3.5 (w/ A. Harang) @ -110 / 1.91 on Pinnacle



MLB - 903 Washington Nationals @ 904 Philadelphia Phillies

(Starting Pitchers: J. Lannan vs K. Kendrick)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 903 Washington Nationals ML (w/ J. Lannan) @ +111 / 2.11 on Betonline



MLB - 913 Chicago Cubs @ 914 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: J. Berken vs D. Pomeranz)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 913 Chicago Cubs ML (w/ J. Berken) @ +116 / 2.16 on Betonline 



MLB - 919 Toronto Blue Jays @ 920 Baltimore Orioles

(Starting Pitchers: C. Villanueva vs M. Gonzalez)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 919 Toronto Blue Jays RL +1.5 (w/ C. Villanueva) @ -120 / 1.83 on 5Dimes



MLB - 925 Oakland Athletics @ 926 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: J. Parker vs M. Perez)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 925 Oakland Athletics ML (w/ J. Parker) @ +121 / 2.21 on Betonline

Wednesday, September 26, 2012

MLB Premium Card 09/25

MLB - 975 Cleveland Indians @ 976 Chicago White Sox

(Starting Pitchers: D. Kluber vs F. Liriano)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 975/976 Under 9 (w/ D. Kluber & F. Liriano) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker





MLB - 951 Washington Nationals @ 952 Philadelphia Phillies

(Starting Pitchers: R. Detwiler vs C. Hamels)

Philadelphia will start Hamels tonight, who has been a top 3 SP in the league since he signed a new contract. So, I believe he should be able to handle the Nationals offense well tonight. On the other hand, Washington will start Detwiler, who is coming from back to back quality outings and he is very good against left handed batters, something that makes him a good matchup against Philadelphia, as the Phillies are loaded with LH batters on their lineup. With Philadelphia also being demotivated after two losses in a row, I expect Detwiler to have a good outing today. With both pitchers dominating, I expect this game to be a low scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 951/952 Under 7 (w/ R. Detwiler & C. Hamels) @ +100 / 2.00 on 5Dimes



MLB - 953 Miami Marlins @ 954 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: N. Eovaldi vs K. Medlen)

Atlanta will start MLB's best pitcher nowadays tonight, but he won't go deep tonight to save him for the Playoffs. But we have the Braves good bullpen rested after a day off, so this should be no problem for them. Both pitching are coming from great outings against the same opponent they'll face tonight, however while Medlen should have no problems in repeat similar numbers to the shutout he gave Miami in eight innings, I don't believe Eovaldi will be able to perform the same shutout in eight innings he had against Atlanta, as he is allowing .328 BA, 4.97 FIP and 5.34 xFIP against LH batters and Atlanta has good LH hitters.

I don't believe Atlanta will waste this opportunity of getting revenge over Eovaldi, as prior to that start, he had struggled against the Braves with six earned runs and eight hits allowed in just two innings. At the same time, both Medlen and Atlanta's bullpen should have no problems in dominating the Marlins offense, therefore I'll be taking Atlanta on the Runline today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 954 Atlanta Braves RL -1.5 (w/ K. Medlen) @ -130 / 1.77 on 5Dimes



MLB - 955 Milwaukee Brewers @ 956 Cincinnati Reds

(Starting Pitchers: M. Fiers vs J. Cueto)

This is a game that if it had been played weeks ago, I would have taken the Under for sure, but both pitchers are now slumping. Fiers will start for Milwaukee and after dominating his opponents, he is now fade material. On his last start, he allowed three runs in just three innings, while needing 81 pitches to have just nine outs, while striking out just two batters. Fiers would very rarely walk batters in August, but he has already walked ten batters in four outings in September. Cincinnati rested their starters Sunday and had a day off yesterday, so they will be ready to pound the struggling Fiers today.

Cincinnati will start Cueto and he has also struggling now, after looking like a Cy Young award contender. He is coming from a shutout in Chicago against the Cubs, but the five hits allowed and a 2/4 K/BB ratio doesn't impress at all, while the Brewers offense is much better than the Cubs offense. Milwaukee's roster is hitting .267 BA and .787 OPS against Cueto and so, I expect them to put him in trouble tonight once again. With both pitchers struggling against two good offenses, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 955/956 Over 7.5 (w/ M. Fiers & J. Cueto) @ -115 / 1.87 on 5 Dimes



MLB - 963 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 964 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: J. Beckett vs E. Volquez)

San Diego is a good matchup for Beckett, as he is flyball pitcher and he will be pitching tonight in the pitcher friendly park of San Diego. He hasn't faced the Padres since 2007 and so, he will have a clear surprise factor working for him tonight as well. His last two starts were against top teams and he allowed just three earned runs in Washington and one earned run at home against St Louis plus his advanced numbers are better than his ERA, so he should be able to have a very good outing tonight.

The Padres will start Volquez and he keeps dealing with a blister on his thumb. If he has already natural problems on his command, these problems only get worse with the blister. He is naturally coming from a bad start in Arizona, where he allowed four earned runs in six innings. The Dodgers know him well and their roster is hitting .311 BA and .892 OPS against him, so I expect him to struggle tonight. With Beckett having a good matchup and Volquez prone to struggle, I expect an easy win for the Dodgers tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963 Los Angeles Dodgers ML (w/ J. Beckett) @ -115 / 1.87 on 5Dimes



MLB - 969 Kansas City Royals @ 970 Detroit Tigers

(Starting Pitchers: B. Chen vs A. Sanchez)

NOTE: No writeup for this contest

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 969 Kansas City Royals RL +1 (w/ B. Chen) @ +111/ 2.11 on Pinnacle



MLB - 973 Oakland Athletics @ 974 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: T. Milone vs S. Feldman)

No way Feldman deserves to put a team like Oakland at +143! This is the same Feldman that had outings against the Athletics, where he allowed four earned runs and nine hits in five innings and eight earned runs and seven hits in just 1.2 innings! Therefore, I believe Oakland is a valuable underdog tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 973 Oakland Athletics ML (w/ T. Milone) @ +143 / 2.43 on 5Dimes



MLB - 979 Seattle Mariners @ 980 Los Angeles Angels

(Starting Pitchers: R. Ramirez vs Z. Greinke)

The Angels will start Greinke, who is now in excellent form after a rough start in LA. He is coming from six consecutive starts where he allowed two or less runs and on his last start, he was brilliant against Texas with one earned run allowed in eight innings, while having a super command of 8/0 K/BB ratio. He hasn't faced Seattle since 2010, so he will have a surprise factor working on his favor against the lowly Mariners offense, so this should be a very dominating outing for him.

Seattle will start Ramirez, who came back in September and had two excellent starts in Toronto and then at home against Baltimore. He went deep in both games with seven and eight innings played, while showing a good command with 6/0 and 6/1 K/BB ratio. He has been excellent against RH hitters by allowing just .180 BA and 3.07 FIP, so against a LA lineup full of righties, I expect him to be a tough matchup for the Angels. Therefore, I expect a game with both pitchers dominating and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 979/980 Under 7 (w/ R. Ramirez & Z. Greinke) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

Tuesday, September 25, 2012

MLB Free Premium Play 09/25: Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres


  
LA Dodgers  at San Diego   


MLB - 963 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 964 San Diego Padres


(Starting Pitchers: J. Beckett vs E. Volquez)


San Diego is a good matchup for Beckett, as he is flyball pitcher and he will be pitching tonight in the pitcher friendly park of San Diego. He hasn't faced the Padres since 2007 and so, he will have a clear surprise factor working for him tonight as well. His last two starts were against top teams and he allowed just three earned runs in Washington and one earned run at home against St Louis plus his advanced numbers are better than his ERA, so he should be able to have a very good outing tonight.


The Padres will start Volquez and he keeps dealing with a blister on his thumb. If he has already natural problems on his command, these problems only get worse with the blister. He is naturally coming from a bad start in Arizona, where he allowed four earned runs in six innings. The Dodgers know him well and their roster is hitting .311 BA and .892 OPS against him, so I expect him to struggle tonight. With Beckett having a good matchup and Volquez prone to struggle, I expect an easy win for the Dodgers tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.


Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963 Los Angeles Dodgers ML (w/ J. Beckett) @ -115 / 1.87 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Card 09/24

MLB - 901 Milwaukee Brewers @ 902 Washington Nationals

(Starting Pitchers: M. Estrada vs J. Zimmermann)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 
902 Washington Nationals ML (w/ J. Zimmermann) @ -135 / 1.74 on 5 Dimes




MLB - 903 Pittsburgh Pirates @ 904 New York Mets

(Starting Pitchers: K. McPherson vs J. Meija)

This will be McPherson's second start and he looked very good on his first start against Milwaukee, where in a tough spot for him against a top offensive team, he showed nerves of steels and allowed seven hits but just two earned runs. He will be facing the Mets tonight, who are coming from a home sweep against the Marlins, a divisional rival, so they will be on a letdown spot tonight. With McPherson showing good potential and with the surprise factor helping him, I believe he will have another quality outing tonight.

The Mets will be starting Meija, who has been terrible in the MLB, as he keeps struggling every time he has a opportunity to pitch in a MLB game. On his first start in Milwaukee, he allowed five earned runs and six hits in three innings, while having a ridiculous 0/5 K/BB ratio! The Pirates might be slumping, but they are coming from a nice win in Houston yesterday and they should have enough offense to cause problems to Meija. With McPherson also looking prone to have a good outing tonight, I see a lot of value on the Pirates and I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 903 Pittsburgh Pirates ML (w/ K. McPherson) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes



MLB - 905 St Louis Cardinals @ 906 Houston Astros

(Starting Pitchers: L. Lynn vs F. Abad)

Milwaukee lost earlier today, so the Cardinals have a good chance to increase their distance in the wild card race today. After a huge slump, Lynn has been solid lately and he is coming from four starts in a row without allowing a single homerun. His last start was also against Houston and Lynn had a good outing with zero earned runs and three hits allowed, while having a 5/2 K/BB ratio. 
Houston's offense continues to struggle and the fact that Jose Altuve won't be in their starting lineup tonight won't help that to change. 

The Astros will start Abad, who had his last start against the Cardinals and he was good with six hits and three earned runs allowed, while having a good command (6/0 K/BB ratio). However, I doubt he will as good tonight as he was in that outing, as the surprise effect is gone and St Louis will be at 100% tonight, ready to pound another LH pitcher like they've been doing a lot this season, as they are a top hitting team against LH pitchers. Abad is yet to go deeper than five innings on his outings and Houston's bullpen is poor, so I believe the Cardinals offense should also be able to cause problems to them as well.

I believe this should be an easy game for St Louis, with Lynn confirming his good form against a poor Astros offense, while St Louis should dominate both Abad and Houston's bullpen. Therefore, I'll be taking the Cardinals on the Runline tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 905 St Louis Cardinals RL -1.5 (w/ L. Lynn) @ -125 / 1.80 on 5Dimes



MLB - 909 Kansas City Royals @ 910 Detroit Tigers

(Starting Pitchers: L. Hochevar vs J. Verlander)

Detroit lost a golden chance yesterday to jump into first place in the AL Central by losing both games in a doubleheader against Minnesota, so they are coming to this game in a bounce back spot with their ace Verlander in the mount. This will also be a revenge game for Verlander, who was crushed on his last start against Kansas City, where he allowed eight earned runs and twelve hits in just 5.2 innings! It was one of those games where Verlander really didn't have it, but he has been impressive lately with two shutouts against Oakland and Cleveland on his last two starts. Therefore, I expect him to get revenge over the Royals and completely dominate them tonight.

The Royals will start Hochevar, who after a huge outing in Tampa Bay went back to mediocrity, with bad control and prone to allow homeruns. Detroit are a top offensive team against RH pitchers, so they will pound him tonight, like they've already done it this season with nine earned runs and twelve hits in just four innings! Detroit's is hitting .337 BA and .937 OPS in 208 AB's against Hochevar, therefore I expect Detroit to pound him tonight, which combined with Verlander's domination, should result in a blowout win for the Tigers, so I'll be taking them on the Runline today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 910 Detroit Tigers RL -1.5 (w/ J. Verlander) @ -125 / 1.80 on 5Dimes



MLB - 917 New York Yankees @ 918 Minnesota Twins

(Starting Pitchers: A. Pettitte vs L. Hendriks)

This will be Pettitte's second start since he came back from the DL. On the first start, he did a good job against Toronto, where he allowed two earned runs and four hits in five innings, while having a 3/2 K/BB ratio. However, this was against the Blue Jays, who are dead last in OPS over the last 30 days with .644! For today, I expect him to struggle more against the Twins, who are coming from a sweep yesterday in the doubleheader at Detroit. They are now taking the spoiler role well and they are fired up for tonight as well. Their roster is hitting .273 BA and .741 OPS in 77 AB's against Pettitte, therefore I believe they should put him in some trouble today.

Minnesota will start Hendriks, who has been struggling but is also coming from his first win of the season. However, he still had a 2/2 K/BB ratio in that outing, so this says a lot about his quality. The Yankees had their problems on offense, but they've bounced back recently and they are now back in being a top offensive team, therefore I expect them to pound Hendriks today.

With Pettitte prone to struggle a bit today and Hendriks prone to really struggle, I believe this game will be a high scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 917/918 Over 9 (w/ A. Pettitte & L. Hendriks) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bookmaker

Monday, September 24, 2012

MLB Free Premium Play 09/24: Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Mets

  
Pittsburgh  at New York 
MLB - 903 Pittsburgh Pirates @ 904 New York Mets

(Starting Pitchers: K. McPherson vs J. Meija)


This will be McPherson's second start and he looked very good on his first start against Milwaukee, where in a tough spot for him against a top offensive team, he showed nerves of steels and allowed seven hits but just two earned runs. He will be facing the Mets tonight, who are coming from a home sweep against the Marlins, a divisional rival, so they will be on a letdown spot tonight. With McPherson showing good potential and with the surprise factor helping him, I believe he will have another quality outing tonight.

The Mets will be starting Meija, who has been terrible in the MLB, as he keeps struggling every time he has a opportunity to pitch in a MLB game. On his first start in Milwaukee, he allowed five earned runs and six hits in three innings, while having a ridiculous 0/5 K/BB ratio! The Pirates might be slumping, but they are coming from a nice win in Houston yesterday and they should have enough offense to cause problems to Meija. With McPherson also looking prone to have a good outing tonight, I see a lot of value on the Pirates and I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 903 Pittsburgh Pirates ML (w/ K. McPherson) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes

Sunday, September 23, 2012

NFL Week 3 Free Premium Play 09/23: New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins

  
NY Jets  at Miami 
 
 
Play: Single Dime Play on Under 41
Comments:

NFL Week 3 - 411 New York Jets @ 412 Miami Dolphins

Projected Line: 37 points


I expect this game to have very little quality on the offensive end because let's face it, these two teams are clearly better on defense than on offense. Miami is coming from a rare very good offensive game, where Reggie Bush had a huge game and completely ran over the poor Raiders defense. I clearly don't expect something similar to happen today against the Jets, as not only the NY team has one of the best run defenses in the league (they had issues in week 1 in stopping CJ Spiller, but the guy looks possessed right now), as Reggie Bush will surely be tired from having such a huge effort last week, where he had 26 carries on his own. I know Daniel Thomas will be back in the Dolphins backfield to share the carries with Bush, however it seems clear to me that Thomas won't be at 100% today and so, I don't expect Miami's running game to have a positive performance today. In terms of the passing game, not only the Jets have one of the best pass defenses in the league, as Ryan Tannehill looks still a bit far from being NFL ready and even last week where he faced the lowly Raiders, he had just an average performance with 18/30 200yds 1TD 0INT. Now against a much better and much more aggressive Jets defense, I can only expect Tannehill to struggle like he did in week 1 against Houston.

However, I don't believe the Jets will be much better on offense than Miami today. After a super offensive game in week 1, where they took advantage of some turnovers and special teams plays to score 48 points against Buffalo, they went back to Earth in week 2 and scored just 10 points against the Steelers. Mark Sanchez struggled big time, the running game was also quite poor and the Jets finished the game with very little offensive production. I know the Dolphins defense isn't as good as the Steelers defense, however they are a very solid all-around defense against both the passing and the rushing, therefore I can totally see them putting both Mark Sanchez and the Jets poor running game in trouble today.

It seems clear to me that neither team will have a good number of offensive big plays today due to lack of talent on offense and good talent on defense, therefore I expect this game to turn into a typical divisional game, with a lot of physical play and also with both teams investing a lot on their running game to prevent any kind of terrible play from their quarterbacks, who aren't exactly trustworthy right now. Therefore, I expect this game to be a low scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 411/412 Under 41 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker 

MLB Premium Card 09/22


MLB - 901 Milwaukee Brewers @ 902 Washington Nationals

(Starting Pitchers: W. Peralta vs G. Gonzalez)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 901 Milwaukee Brewers ML (w/ W. Peralta) @ +149 / 2.49 on 5Dimes



MLB - 903 Miami Marlins @ 904 New York Mets

(Starting Pitchers: M. Buehrle vs R. Dickey)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 904 New York Mets RL -1 (w/ R. Dickey) @ -138 / 1.725 on 5Dimes



MLB - 905 St Louis Cardinals @ 906 Chicago Cubs

(Starting Pitchers: A. Wainwright vs T. Wood)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 905 St Louis Cardinals RL -1 (w/ A. Wainwright) @ -133 / 1.752 on Pinnacle



MLB - 911 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 912 Cincinnati Reds

(Starting Pitchers: S. Fife vs M. Latos)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 911/912 Over 7.5 (w/ S. Fife & M. Latos) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bookmaker



MLB - 923 Minnesota Twins @ 924 Detroit Tigers

(Starting Pitchers: S. Deduno vs D. Fister)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 924 Detroit Tigers RL -1.5 (w/ D. Fister) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes



MLB - 915 San Diego Padres @ 916 San Francisco Giants

(Starting Pitchers: A. Werner vs M. Bumgarner)

We lost the over last night on a game between these two teams, with the game ending 5-1, but with both teams producing 18 hits. The problem is that the RISP of both teams was very poor, but I believe they will improve that tonight. San Francisco will start Bumgarner and he is on a slump right now. Not even the fact that he allowed just 1ER in six innings on his last outing makes me believe that he is now better, as he also allowed five walks, a sign that he is still struggling. Now against an in-form offense like San Diego, I expect Bumgarner to be pounded tonight.

The Padres will start Werner and he has been pitching well barring his last night against Colorado, where he allowed five runs in five innings. Still, he had a good command with 5/1 K/BB ratio and I believe he will struggle tonight, but he should be able to limit the damage against an in-form lineup like San Francisco. I believe this game will be a good offensive game, but with the Padres being a valuable underdog, as I trust more Werner than Bumgarner right now. Therefore, I'll be taking both the Padres on the Runline and the Over in here.

NOTE: San Diego RL +1 also available on 5Dimes at -104 / 1.96

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 915 San Diego Padres RL +1 (w/ A. Werner) @ +100 / 2.00 on Pinnacle
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 915/916 Over 7 (w/ A. Werner & M. Bumgarner) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bookmaker



MLB - 919 Texas Rangers @ 920 Seattle Mariners

(Starting Pitchers: M. Harrison vs B. Beavan)

Both pitchers have been very good lately and in fact their last game was also between these two teams, with Texas winning the game by 2-1. With both SP dominating again, this time in the pitcher-friendly park of Seattle and with the wind helping the pitchers, I expect another low scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 919/920 Under 7 (w/ M. Harrison & B. Beavan) @ -120 / 1.83 on 5Dimes



MLB - 927 Cleveland Indians @ 928 Kansas City

(Starting Pitchers: U. Jimenez vs W. Smith)

Will Smith is far from being a top pitcher, but he has been very solid on his last three starts, including a last start at home against the Angels where he allowed four runs against a top hitting team. The question in here is that he is left handed and therefore, he will be a very tough matchup for the Indians lineup which is full of left handed hitters and so, they struggle against LHP.

On the other hand, Ubaldo Jimenez is completely on fade mode, with a horrible control. Earlier on the season, the Royals have already pounded Jimenez twice by scoring four runs against him. Kansas City is a motivated team right now, they are in good form and on a good spot, I expect them to put Ubaldo into trouble again and have a comfortable win tonight. I'm taking the Royals in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 928 Kansas City Royals ML (w/ W. Smith) @ -139 / 1.75 on 5Dimes



MLB - 929 Chicago White Sox @ 930 Los Angeles Angels

(Starting Pitchers: J. Quintana vs D. Haren)

After a great start earlier in the month, Quintana has been fade material lately, especially with a lot of problems in going deep on his outings. The Angels have a ton of right handed bats to take advantage of Quintana throwing south paw. Therefore, I expect Quintana to be pounded by a good Angels lineup.

The Angels will start Haren, who struggled badly in the Summer, but he has now bounced back with four straight starts always going deeper than five innings, while allowing 2, 3, 1 and 0 runs, including two outings against an in-form Oakland offense. I believe the Angels will have a clear SP edge on this contest and with the LA team having a good offense, I expect the Angels to have an easy win in here and so, I'll be taking them tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 930 Los Angeles Angels RL -1 (w/ D. Haren) @ -127 / 1.79 on 5Dimes

Saturday, September 22, 2012

MLB Premium Play 09/21: Cleveland Indians @ Kansas City Royals


MLB - 975 Cleveland Indians @ 976 Kansas City Royals

(Starting Pitchers: J. Masterson vs L. Mendoza)

Kansas City is coming from a big series against the White Sox, a team that owned the whole season. They won their last two games in very close contests and so, it is expected that they have a natural letdown tonight against an inferior team. The Royals will be without Salvador Perez and Alex Gordon (one of their best hitters), so they won't be in their maximum force. They will face Masterson tonight, who has been inconsistent this season, but he is also capable of having good games and most of his last starts were against top teams like Detroit twice, Oakland twice, the Yankees and the Angels. Therefore, I believe Masterson has a good spot to have a quality outing today.

Kansas City will start Mendoza tonight, who is also capable of the best and the worst. He is clearly worse against LH hitters and Cleveland will only have one RH hitters in their lineup tonight. Therefore, I believe the Indians should be able to expose Mendoza's inconsistency tonight and cause him to struggle a bit. With Cleveland having a good spot tonight, especially due to the Royals' letdown spot, I believe the Indians have a great chance for the upset and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 975 Cleveland Indians ML (w/ J. Masterson) @ +117 / 2.17 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 09/21: Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers


MLB - 969 Minnesota Twins @ 970 Detroit Tigers

(Starting Pitchers: S. Deduno vs R. Porcello)

Minnesota's bullpen was completely overused over the last few games due to the fact that two of their three games against Cleveland went to extra innings. They'll start Deduno tonight and Detroit is a top team against RH pitchers. They are coming from facing a good pitching team of Oakland where they pounded them with some great powerful offense. Deduno after showing some decent control lately went back to the original command issues with 6/5, 6/3 and 3/3 K/BB on his last three starts. He has already faced Detroit earlier on the season and had a tremendous "luck" with three earned runs allowed in seven innings, while having a 6/5 K/BB ratio. Now without the surprise effect from Deduno, I expect Detroit to have a power offensive game tonight and so, I'll be taking the Tigers to go Over their Team Total in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 970 Detroit Tigers Team Total Over 5 (w/ S. Deduno) @ -112 / 1.893 on Pinnacle

MLB Premium Play 09/21: San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants


MLB - 965 San Diego Padres @ 966 San Francisco Giants

(Starting Pitchers: C. Kelly vs R. Vogelsong)

Both teams are now red hot offenses, with San Diego being #4 on OPS with .788 and San Francisco #6 with .773 OPS over the last 30 days. Now they will be facing two struggling pitchers and so, I expect this game to have a high number of runs scored. San Francisco will start Vogelsong, who has been struggling since August. He has been crushed by San Diego recently with three earned runs and eight hits allowed in just three innings, while throwing 96 pitches. He hasn't been impressive at all on his last two starts, with a poor 6/4 and 1/0 K/BB ratio.

San Diego will start the rookie Kelly, who after two good starts has been poor on his following three outings, even though his last start was solid. The problem for him is that San Francisco's offense has been onfire recently and he won't be able to handle the Giants' good hitting in here. Therefore, I don't believe this game deserves to have such a low totals line and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 965/966 Over 7.5 (w/ C. Kelly & R. Vogelsong) @ -105 / 1.95 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 09/21: Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros


MLB - 961 Pittsburgh Pirates @ 962 Houston Astros

(Starting Pitchers: J. Locke vs E. Gonzalez)

NOTE: No writeup for this play

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 962 Houston Astros ML (w/ E. Gonzalez) @ -103 / 1.87 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 09/21: Miami Marlins @ New York Mets


MLB - 957 Miami Marlins @ 958 New York Mets

(Starting Pitchers: J. Turner vs J. Niese)

The Mets were humiliated yesterday and they'll try to bounce back tonight. They'll face Turner, who is coming from a good game against the RH lineup of the Reds. But tonight, they'll face a Mets lineup full of LH hitters that should cause him more problems, even though he has been solid lately.

On the other hand, Niese will pitch for the Mets and he has been a top pitcher lately. Just the fact that he went to Milwaukee on the road and dominated them is a great indicator of his excellent form and so, I believe he will dominate the Marlins tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking the Mets in here for an easy win.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 958 New York Mets ML (w/ J. Niese) @ -145 / 1.69 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 09/21: Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals


MLB - 953 Milwaukee Brewers @ 954 Washington Nationals

(Starting Pitchers: S. Marcum vs E. Jackson)

NOTE: No writeup for this play

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 953 Milwaukee Brewers ML (w/ S. Marcum) @ +123 / 2.23 on Betonline

Friday, September 21, 2012

NFL Week 3 Premium Play 09/20: New York Giants @ Carolina Panthers

NFL Week 3 - 303 New York Giants @ 304 Carolina Panthers

Projected Line: 45 points

Both teams are certainly able to create a lot of offensive production at their best, but the problem is that they will be very far from their best condition tonight, with a lot of absences on their offense that will surely make the life of both defenses much easier on this contest. 

Carolina is coming from a great win over New Orleans, in a game where they rushed for 219 yards. This is certainly a great mark, however this big effort has a price to be paid in the following game, especially in a short week like this one. The Panthers carried the football 42 times last Sunday and with Jonathan Stewart doubtful for tonight, I don't believe DeAngelo Williams on this own (with a bit of help from Cam Newton) will be able to replicate such huge game on the run offense tonight, especially against a very decent run defense from the Giants. In terms of the passing game, it's clear that the Giants have some issues on their secondary, but Carolina isn't a clearly pass-oriented team and with veteran WR Steve Smith dealing with a knee injury, I believe the Giants will be able to be decent on their pass defense tonight and avoid allowing a high number of big plays. 

On the other hand, Eli Manning is coming from a very intense game against Tampa Bay, where he passed for 510 yards but also had 3 interceptions. With both Hakeem Nicks and Domenik Hixon out for tonight, the Giants lose two of their best three Wide Receivers, so the pressure on Victor Cruz will be huge and so will be the extra coverage he will surely have. After such a roller-coaster game last Sunday and with his number of quality receivers being clearly low for this game, I believe Eli Manning will take a more conservative approach to avoid turnovers at any cost. The problem is that RB Ahmad Bradshaw is also doubtful for this game, so the Giants will mostly have Andre Brown as their main Running Back and even though Brown has been statistically better than Bradshaw in the first two weeks of the season, he hasn't had any huge game and I don't believe he will be able to have one tonight either.

I don't expect any kind of big plays on returns, so I believe the number of offensive big plays on this contest will be actually low. With the Panthers being on a letdown spot in terms of their running game, as they spent a lot of energy last Sunday and without Stewart tonight, and the Giants with their QB coming from a very stressful game and being without two WR's and their main RB for tonight, I believe this game will actually see Carolina struggling against a good defensive team, who can be very good in terms of putting pressure on the opposite QB and the Giants will be more conservative than usual without three of their biggest playmakers on offense. Therefore, I came up with a totals line of 45 points, low enough for me to take the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 303/304 Under 49 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker 

MLB Premium Card 09/20

MLB - 913 Minnesota Twins @ 914 Cleveland Indians

(Starting Pitchers: E. Vazquez vs D. Kluber)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 914 Cleveland Indians RL-1 (w/ D. Kluber) @ -107 / 1.93 on 5 Dimes




MLB - 901 Houston Astros @ 902 St. Louis Cardinals

(Starting Pitchers: B. Norris vs J. Garcia)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 9
02 St. Louis Cardinals RL-1.5 (w/ J. Garcia) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5 Dimes



MLB - 903 Cincinnati Reds @ 904 Chicago Cubs

(Starting Pitchers: J. Cueto vs J. Berken)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on
 904 Chicago Cubs ML (w/ J. Berken) @ +139 / 2.39 on Bookmaker



MLB - 909 Milwaukee Brewers @ 910 Pittsburgh Pirates

(Starting Pitchers: M. Fiers vs W. Rodriguez)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on
 909/910 Over 7 (w/M. Fiers vs W. Rodriguez) @ -135 / 1.74 on 5 Dimes




MLB - 911 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 912 Washington Nationals

(Starting Pitchers: C. Capuano vs R. Detwiler)

Both teams showed good offense in the doubleheader yesterday, with a lot of hitters but only in Game 2 they were able to be more efficient and also score a lot of runs. The Dodgers will start Capuano tonight, who has been in fade mode lately, with a low number of strikeouts and problems in going deep in the games. Against a good offense from the Nationals, I expect him to struggle.

Washington will start Detwilder, who is coming from a great start in Atlanta, which probably means he will struggle tonight, as he has been alternating good outings with poor ones. He is poor against RH hitters and the Dodgers will have six righties on the lineup tonight.

With both pitchers being likely to struggle tonight, I expect this contest to actually be a high scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 911/912 Over 8 (w/ C. Capuano & R. Detwiler) @ +105 / 2.05 on 5Dimes



MLB - 917 Toronto Blue Jays @ 918 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: A. Laffey vs P. Hughes)

Toronto will start Laffey tonight and he has been one of the worst SP in the league over the last 30 days, with terrible control that obviously prevents him from going deep in the game. He is coming from back to back starts against the awful Red Sox offense and still he pitched for just 4.2 and 3.2 innings, while having a 1/3 and 2/2 K/BB ratio. He has struggled against the Yankees in a previous game with 5 runs allowed in 5.2 innings.

The Yankees will start Hughes, who has been decent lately barring a bad start against the strong Baltimore team. He has a good ability to go deep in the games and I expect him to do a good enough job tonight that combined with the Yankees offense pounding Laffey should give the NY team an easy win in here and so, I'll be taking them on the Runline tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 918 New York Yankees RL -1.5 (w/ P. Hughes) @ -115 / 1.87 on 5Dimes



MLB - 919 Boston Red Sox @ 920 Tampa Bay Rays

(Starting Pitchers: C. Buchholz vs D. Price)

The Red Sox won't have Ellsbury on their lineup tonight and so, their poor offense will have to face David Price tonight, who after a bad start in Texas has bounced back with a solid game in NY against the Yankees, with two runs allowed in seven innings. I don't expect anything but a domination from Price in here.

The Rays are coming from a huge offensive game against Matsuzaka yesterday, but he has been terrible lately, while Buchholz has been much more decent and he is a tough matchup for them. Therefore, I expect to see the pitchers dominating tonight and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 919/920 Under 7 (w/ C. Buchholz & D. Price) @ -125 / 1.80 on 5Dimes



MLB - 921 Chicago White Sox @ 922 Kansas City Royals

(Starting Pitchers: F. Liriano vs J. Guthrie)

Detroit lost today, so the White Sox won't have a big pressure to win tonight. They'll start Liriano, who has been completely wild. He is coming from a good game against Minnesota (his former team), but he has struggled in the past against Kansas City, with five runs allowed in five innings earlier in this month. So, I expect Liriano to struggle again tonight.

The Royals will start Guthrie, who has been dominant and against top offenses like the Angels, the White Sox, Texas and Detroit. I don't believe tonight will be different and with Guthrie having a dominant outing and Liriano struggling with his wild pitching, I believe Kansas City have all the conditions they need to win this game and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 922 Kansas City Royals ML (w/ J. Guthrie) @ -107 / 1.93 on 5Dimes



MLB - 923 Texas Rangers @ 924 Los Angeles Angels

(Starting Pitchers: Y. Darvish vs Z. Greinke)

NOTE: No writeup for this contest

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 924 Los Angeles Angels ML (w/ Z. Greinke) @ -131 / 1.76 on Betonline



MLB - 925 Philadelphia Phillies @ 926 New York Mets

(Starting Pitchers: T. Cloyd vs J. Hefner)

NOTE: No writeup for this contest

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 925/926 Over 8 (w/ T. Cloyd & J. Hefner) @ -105 / 1.95 on Bookmaker