Sunday, August 26, 2012

MLB Free Premium Play 08/26: Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles

  
Toronto  at Baltimore 
MLB - 971 Toronto Blue Jays @ 972 Baltimore Orioles


(Starting Pitchers: H. Alvarez vs C. Tillman)


With Baltimore fighting for a wildcard placing, they can't lose games like this one. Toronto will start Alvarez today and he is now clearly on a major slump. He looked impressive early on the season, but he started to struggle recently, with his last outing at home against Texas showing exactly that, as he had allowed eight runs on twelve hits in just 4.1IP. He is too hittable and the Orioles will have a field day with him today, after Alvarez being very lucky on his first two starts against Baltimore this season, as he posted an ERA of 3.86 and 2.57 in those games, while having a 5.67 FIP + 5.28 xFIP and 5.81 FIP + 5.43 xFIP. It's regression time for Alvarez and he will be pounded today.

The Orioles will start Tillman today, who has been a very solid SP in Baltimore. He is coming from an outing in Texas last Tuesday, where he allowed just three runs and six hits in 6.2 IP, in a very good performance for him. Toronto's lineup is a very poor one nowadays due to some many injuries and an in-form and solid SP like Tillman won't have problems against them today.

With Baltimore having such a SP edge and hitting edge as well for this contest, I fully believe the Orioles won't have problems in beating Toronto today and complete the series sweep. Therefore, I'll be taking Baltimore today.

NOTE: Also available on 5Dimes at -121 / 1.83

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 972 Baltimore Orioles RL -1 (w/ C. Tillman) @ -119 / 1.84 on Pinnacle

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