Wednesday, August 22, 2012

MLB Premium Play 08/21: Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers


MLB - 917 Toronto Blue Jays @ 918 Detroit Tigers

(Starting Pitchers: R. Romero vs M. Scherzer)

Romero is coming from another loss last Wednesday, this time against the White Sox, where he allowed 6 earned runs and 8 hits in 6IP. He is 0-9 with a 7.45 ERA on his last 10 starts and the truth is that he has been so awful that he had allowed more than six runs in five of his last ten starts. He will face Detroit for the first time this season tonight, but the Tigers' roster have a .346 BA and .937 OPS in 107 AB's against him, so I expect Romero to struggle big time again.

On the other side, Detroit will start Scherzer who has conditions to have a good outing in here. He is one of the league leaders in terms of K's and he didn't have less than 8 K's on any of his last six starts. Looking at the fact Toronto has been by far the less patient offense of the league in August with 4.8% BB% (#28) and 22.7% K% (also #28 on the league). Scherzer has six wins on his last seven decisions and after a poor start of the season, he is 11-3 with a 3.71 ERA and a 151/37 K/BB ratio in 116.1 innings since May 1.

I like Detroit's spot to bounce back tonight after two losses in a row by pounding Romero, while Scherzer should handle the impatient offense of the Blue Jays quite well. Therefore, I'll take the Tigers on the Runline today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 918 Detroit Tigers RL -1.5 (w/ M. Scherzer) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

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