Wednesday, August 29, 2012

MLB Premium Play 08/28: San Francisco Giants @ Houston Astros


MLB - 959 San Francisco Giants @ 960 Houston Astros

(Starting Pitchers: M. Cain vs B. Norris)

The Giants will start Cain tonight, who is now in a three-game winning streak, where he has just allowed four runs in 22.1 IP. He 
is coming from a great outing against the Dodgers, where he allowed just one earned run and seven hits in 7.0 IP, while having a 5/0 K/BB ratio. He is coming from this outing with 5 days rest and therefore, I expect him to easily dominate the poor Astros' lineup tonight, especially when the Astros' roster is just hitting .149 BA and .457 OPS in 74 AB's against him.

On the other hand, Houston will be starting Norris, who seems to be a much better pitcher at home, with a 2.18 ERA, .215 BA, 2.65 FIP and 2.83 xFIP in home games this season! He has had three starts against San Francisco over the last two seasons and he has just allowed 3, 3 and 2 earned runs in those three games that were all played on the road. Norris also throws a lot of sliders, the kind of pitch that San Francisco's batters can't really hit well, so I really believe that Norris will have a decent outing tonight due to the fact he actually handles the Giants well and he is a great pitcher at home.

With both starting pitchers having all the necessary conditions to have good outings tonight and with the wind heavily assisting them, I believe this will be a low scoring game and therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 959/960 Under 7.5 (w/ M. Cain & B. Norris) @ -125 / 1.80 on Bookmaker

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