MLB - 951 New York Mets @ 952 Philadelphia Phillies
(Starting Pitchers: C. Young vs V. Worley)
The Mets will start Young tonight and he is 1-5 with a 5.11 ERA in eight starts since the All-Star break. He is coming from a decent outing against Colorado, where he stroke out nine batters, while allowing just two earned runs in seven innings. However, the LH batters keep pounding him, as he is allowing .304 BA, 5.62 FIP and 6.40 xFIP against them this season. With Philadelphia having 5 LH batters + 1 switch hitter on the lineup, I believe Young is going to have a tough outing tonight.
On the other hand, Philadelphia will start Worley and he is coming from an outing in Cincinnati, where he allowed two earned runs and eight hits in six innings. Even though he had an acceptable start on his last outing, the truth is that Worley keeps struggling due to a bone chip in his elbow and he had previously struggled in almost every single start since the All-Star break. He has already faced the Mets twice this season and he allowed six and four earned runs in those outings. The Mets are also hitting .304 BA and .879 OPS in 103 AB's against him, therefore I don't expect Worley to have an easy outing tonight, especially on a 4 days rest spot.
With both SP being likely to struggle tonight, I believe this game will end up being a high scoring game. Therefore, I'll see value on the Over for this contest and I'm taking it in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 951/952 Over 8,5 (w/ C. Young & V. Worley) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes
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