MLB - 921 Detroit Tigers @ 922 Texas Rangers
(Starting Pitchers: R. Porcello vs N. Tepesch)
I like Detroit to bounce back tonight, on a contest between two of the top three offenses in the league. What makes me like the Tigers tonight is that I expect Porcello to have a better outing than Tepesch. Porcello had a disastrous outing at LA against the Angels, but then he bounced back with three nice outings. He hanged Atlanta, Houston and the red hot Indians with 5, 7 and 6 strikeouts, something nice for someone who is known for struggling to strikeout batters. His 3.49, 1.85 and 3.53 xFIP numbers on these outings also show how he has been pitching well lately. Of course he will have a tough test tonight, but I expect him to use his experience to hang in there.
On the other side, Nick Tepesch had a super hot start of the season and then he started to regress. He is coming from a nice start at Houston, but before that he got crushed against the White Sox and the Cubs by allowing 6 and 5 runs. His split stats are extreme, as he has been getting crushed by LH batters by allowing .317 BA and 5.02 FIP against them! Detroit knows that and they will use the following lineup tonight:
1. Andy Dirks (L) LF
2. Torii Hunter (R) RF
3. Miguel Cabrera (R) 3B
4. Prince Fielder (L) 1B
5. Victor Martinez (S) DH
6. Alex Avila (L) C
7. Jhonny Peralta (R) SS
8. Don Kelly (L) CF
9. Ramon Santiago (S) 2B
That's six batters hitting from the left side, while the RH batters are Torii Hunter, Miguel Cabrera and Jhonny Peralta, three guys who are hitting +.300 BA this season! I expect Tepesch to get pounded tonight and so, I'll take the Tigers as underdogs tonight.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 921 Detroit Tigers ML (w/ R. Porcello) @ +115 / 2.15 on Betonline