MLB - 909 Atlanta Braves @ 910 San Diego Padres
(Starting Pitchers: P. Maholm vs C. Kelly)
The Braves are starting Maholm tonight, who is coming from a loss in a outing against Washington, who used Strasburg as their SP in that game. Maholm allowed four runs and seven hits in 7.0IP, while having a 6/1 K/BB ratio. His 5.14 ERA, 5.53 FIP and 2.44 xFIP clearly say that Maholm didn't have a good outing in that game. He has recently faced the Padres and dominated them with one run and five hits allowed, however once again his advanced numbers didn't look very good with 4.67 FIP and 3.44 xFIP, clearly higher numbers than his 1.29 ERA in that game.
Maholm will once again face the Padres tonight, but San Diego is now in a great moment, full of momentum on their hitting, as shown with the fact that they are hitting .316 BA on their last 10 games against a LH pitcher! San Diego is a very confident team and playing at home, I believe they will give loads of problems to Maholm, who is likely to regress very soon, as shown by his recent advanced numbers. Therefore, I'll be taking San Diego to go Over on their team total tonight.
NOTE: Also available on Betonline at -115 / 1.87
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 910 San Diego Team Total Over 3 (w/ P. Maholm) @ -107 / 1.935 on Pinnacle
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