Wednesday, August 29, 2012

MLB Premium Play 08/28: Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals


MLB - 975 Detroit Tigers @ 976 Kansas City Royals

(Starting Pitchers: J. Verlander vs L. Mendoza)

Detroit will be starting their ace Verlander tonight and they are catching the Royals in a poor spot, after a very wild series in Boston that only finished yesterday. Verlander keeps being one of the best pitchers in the league and he is coming from an outing at home against Toronto, where he allowed two runs and four hits in 9.0 IP, while having a 12/2 K/BB ratio. He has been dominating the Royals throughout his whole career, so I don't expect anything in here but a dominant performance from Verlander tonight.

On the other hand, Kansas City will start Mendoza tonight and he is coming from an outing in Tampa Bay, where he only lasted 4.1 IP, while allowing two runs, five hits and four walks. Even though he didn't suffer a lot of damage on his last start, the truth is that with a 0/4 K/BB ratio, it's clear that Mendoza was very lucky to escape almost unharmed from that game, something that won't happen tonight against the 2nd best team in the league in hitting against RH pitchers. With a 4.81 FIP and 4.80 xFIP in August, contrasting with his 3.66 ERA, it's clear that Mendoza is about to see his numbers regress and the Tigers are the perfect opponent to do against that. 

Therefore, with Verlander most likely dominating the Royals once again and with Mendoza very likely to have a very tough night, I believe Detroit will have a very easy win tonight and so, I'll take them on the Runline in here.  

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 975 Detroit Tigers RL -1.5 (w/ J. Verlander) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes



4-Team Parlay

Pick: 1 unit on 965 Atlanta Braves ML (w/ K. Medlen) x 969 Chicago White Sox ML (w/ C. Sale) x 972 New York Yankees ML (w/ P. Hughes) x 975 Detroit Tigers ML (w/ J. Verlander) @ +530 / 6.30 on Pinnacle

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