NFL Premium Card 09/28

NFL Pick #1: 257 Tennessee Titans @ 258 Indianapolis Colts
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: 257 Tennessee Titans (+8) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

Soccer Premium Card 09/27

Soccer Pick #1: Hull City vs. Manchester City

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Manchester City (-0.75) @ -133 / 1.75 on SBOBet (OR -140 / 1.71 on Pinnacle Sports)

Detailed Write Up:

I’ve decided to release this play early as Man City will be one of the “public plays” of the round and right now, we can get this AH -0.75 @ decent prices of -130’s / 1.70’s.

Man City “needs” this contest. They are coming from 4 consecutive games in which they failed to win: 0-1 home loss vs. Stoke City, 2-2 draw @Arsenal, 0-1 loss @Bayern Munchen for the Champions League and 1-1 draw vs. Chelsea in this weekend, curiously we had plays in all those games without losing any of them (Stoke+2, Man City PK @Arsenal, Man City +1 @Bayern & Under 2.75 Goals vs. Chelsea)

While they “dominated” the game vs. Chelsea in this past round, it was a tough spot for them w/ 3 huge games in the span of just a week (Arsenal, Bayern & Chelsea). To make matters worse, they played w/ 10 men since the 66th minute w/ Zabaleta being sent off. It was indeed a busy week for them! For this round, I expect Pellegrini to rotate his squad against Sheffield Wednesday  in tomorrow's Capital One Cup fixture and therefore, we should be dealing w/ a pure week of preparation going forward for this contest. W/ Man City 100% focused, I don’t think that Hull City will be able to hang around w/ them!

Last season, Hull City had a decent defensive organization but they are really struggling in this area early on the season: they have allowed 2 goals/game in L3 contests and teams are averaging 18.2 shots/game against them - #2 worst mark in the league! This is a bad sign because they have faced so far QPR, Stoke City, Aston Villa, West Ham & Newcastle and none of these teams are powerhouse teams!

I had a play w/ them in the previous round that we cashed partially (+0.25 @ Hull City) as I expect them to take advantage of Newcastle’s shaky condition. While they got one point, they were outplayed by Newcastle who had 63% ball possession, attempted 25 total shots with 19 of them via build up plays! Who can’t allow so many chances to the opponents! It worked against Newcastle but Man City is a completely different “beast”!

Offensively, Hull City is a fragile team… all my rankings have them outside of the top13 and I expect Man City’s defense to handle them quite easily.

I expect Man City to win this contest and therefore, I’m taking them -0.75 AH in here!

Soccer Pick #2: Chelsea vs. Aston Villa

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Under 3 Goals @ -116 / 1.86 on SBOBet (OR -118 / 1.85 on 5 Dimes)

Detailed Write Up: 

I expect this contest to be a tight tactical battle due Villa’s good defensive organization. We cashed w/ Arsenal last week against them but truth be told, several Villa’s players were hit by a virus prior to the game and it looked clearly that they lacked their usual defensive aggressive pressure:

"Ashley Westwood was sick in the warm-up, Nathan Baker, Darren Bent and Andi Weimann were at half-time. We were really struggling. It's not an excuse but it's a fact. We could have been better defensively but we weren't at 100 per cent."

Arsenal didn’t have any pity and scored three quick goals in the first half to seal the deal. For today, I expect Villa’s to be more in-form physically and be a tough matchup for Chelsea. Villa’s has been a great defensive team closing the center of the field and this bodes well for them b/c Chelsea is the #1 team in the EPL attacking through the middle!

On the other end, Villa is the worst team in the league in total shots & shots on target per game… they will be once again without a pure striker on the front and therefore, this is a perfect scenario for a clean sheet performance from Chelsea.

Soccer Pick #3: Crystal Palace - Leicester

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ -108 / 1.92 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -109 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes)

Soccer Pick #4: Southampton - QPR

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: QPR (+1.25) @ -132 / 1.76 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -133 / 1.75 on 5 Dimes)

Soccer Pick #4: Arsenal vs. Tottenham

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Arsenal (-0.5) @ -125 / 1.80 on 5 Dimes

Daily Message 09/25

For today, we have one NFL play on the card and I’ve already released one early play – Single Dime Play! We dominated NBA regular season, MLB regular season and we cashed 57% of our NFL plays last season. We started this current season hitting a subpar 50% mark in the first 2 weeks and we went 4-1 ATS last Sunday to put us in the profit zone for the season!

MLB Regular Season Announcement:

I’ve made the decision to end my work in the MLB regular season (note that the reg. season ends this Sunday). These last 2 days weren’t good and that’s part of this business (we lost 3 plays yesterday by one run each), but the biggest problem for me is to deal w/ daily lineups. Teams are now using young guys preparing them for the future and its real tough for me to evaluate them and factor them in my lines. Yesterday I had to release late the final update just to confirm the starting lineups and this kind of process isn’t worth it my opinion w/ such few days to handicap. I'll be back in the MLB playoffs...

My Final Regular Season Numbers:
MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 3-4-5 MM: 191-163 ATS | +66.2 units
MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 1-2-3 MM: 191-163 ATS | +23.1 units

As usual stay tuned especially on my twitter @gomescapper for news about the release of content throughout the day!

Follow Andre Gomes on Twitter

MLB Regular Season 2014 Final Numbers

Today, I’ve made the decision to end my work in the MLB regular season (note that the reg. season ends this Sunday). These last 2 days weren’t good and that’s part of this business (we lost 3 plays yesterday by one run each), but the biggest problem for me is to deal w/ daily lineups. Teams are now using young guys preparing them for the future and its real tough for me to evaluate them and factor them in my lines. Yesterday I had to release late the final update just to confirm the starting lineups and this kind of process isn’t worth it my opinion w/ such few days to handicap. I'll be back in the MLB playoffs...

My Final Regular Season Numbers:

MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 3-4-5 MM: 191-163 ATS | +66.2 units
MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 1-2-3 MM: 191-163 ATS | +23.1 units

MLB 2014 Record Spreedsheet (click here) 

We will now focus in the NFL & Soccer while the NBA is just around the corner!!!

MLB Premium Card 09/23

MLB Pick #1: 925 Houston Astros @ 926 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: B. Oberholtzer vs. N. Martinez )

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick:  925 Houston Astros ML @ -104 / 1.96 on Betonline

Daily Message 09/23

MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 3-4-5 MM: 191-159 ATS | +78.7 units

MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 1-2-3 MM: 191-159 ATS | +27.2 units

MLB 2014 Record Spreedsheet (click here)

NFL 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 3-4-5 MM: 8-6 ATS | +4.1 units
NFL 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 1-2-3 MM: 8-6 ATS | +1.4 units

NFL 2014 Record Spreedsheet (click here)

Yesterday's MLB Recap Plays:

Cleveland 1st 5 IP's LOSS

Detroit RL-1.5 LOSS

Colorado ML Double Dime LOSS

Daily Message: 

I had the feeling that yesterday wasn’t going to be a good day when I’ve watched the Indians wasted in the first winning a bases -loaded and no outs situation without making any damage. Then, DET’s SP was solid on the mound but DET’s offense couldn’t score against Chris Bassitt (go figure) and finally, COL “outhit” the Padres 10-5 but couldn't score a single run…

Bounce back time today!

As usual stay tuned especially on my twitter @gomescapper for news about the release of content throughout the day!

Follow Andre Gomes on Twitter

MLB Premium Card 09/22

MLB Pick #1: 957 Colorado Rockies @ 958 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: T. Matzek vs. E. Stults)

Rating: 4 units - Double Dime Play

Pick: 957 Colorado Rockies ML @ +104 / 2.04 on 5 Dimes

NOTE: This is a DOUBLE DIME PLAY!

Daily Message 09/22

MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 3-4-5 MM: 191-156 ATS | +89.3 units

MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 1-2-3 MM: 191-156 ATS | +31.4 units

MLB 2014 Record Spreedsheet (click here)

Yesterday's MLB Recap Plays:

NY Mets ML WIN

Cleveland RL-1 WIN

Yesterday's NFL Recap Plays:

San Diego (+2.5) WIN

NY Giants (-1) WIN

New Orleans (-9.5) WIN
Denver (+4) LOSS

Pittsburgh (+3) WIN

Yesterday's Soccer Recap Plays:

Over 2.75 Leicester/Man Utd WIN

Tottenham (-1) LOSS

Crystal Palace (+1.25) WIN

Under 2.75 Man City/Chelsea WIN

Daily Message: 

We are coming from a great Sunday in which we won in three different sports: Soccer by going 3-1 ATS in the English Premier League; MLB by sweeping 2-0 ATS the card & in the NFL by going 4-1 ATS in our plays.

We are entering today the final week of the MLB regular season… after a terrible 0-3 ATS card in this Saturday, we bounced back (as usual) yesterday w/ a SWEEP!

We are now 156-117 ATS in the Second half of the season while hitting 57% in our plays! We have a nice +37.6 units to show using a 1-2-3MM system or +103.0 units using my recommended 3-4-5MM system.

For today, we have 12 MLB games to work & one NFL MNF game! Let’s do it!

As usual stay tuned especially on my twitter @gomescapper for news about the release of content throughout the day!

Follow Andre Gomes on Twitter

NFL Premium Card 09/21

NFL Pick #1: 451 San Diego Chargers @ 452 Buffalo Bills

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 451 San Diego Chargers (+2.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

NFL Pick #2: 457 Houston Texans @ 458 New York Giants

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 458 New York Giants (-1) @ -115 / 1.87 on Betonline

MLB Premium Card 09/21

MLB Pick #1: 903 New York Mets @ 904 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: J. deGrom vs. E. Santana)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 903 New York Mets ML @ +100 / 2.00 on 5 Dimes

MLB Pick #2: 921 Cleveland Indians @ 922 Minnesota Twins

(Starting Pitchers: C. Kluber vs. A. Swarzak)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 921 Cleveland Indians RL-1@ -135 / 1.74 on 5 Dimes

Soccer Premier League Free Premium Card 09/21

Soccer Pick #1: Leicester City vs. Manchester United

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Over 2.75 Goals @ -102 / 1.98 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -103 / 1.97 on 5 Dimes)

Detailed Write Up:

Ihad a small lean w/ Man Utd today but this -1 AH line seems just right and I’ve decided to make a play w/ OVER.

Man Utd is coming from their first win of the season against QPR in a game where they changed their formation for a more traditional 4-3-1-2 diamond formation and more importantly, they have added some new players: Rojo, Blind, Herrera returned after an injury and obviously Di Maria.

Their offensive flow was great and all players looked more comfortably on the field. It also helped the fact that Young, Fletcher and Valencia were all dropped off the team as I’m not a fan of those 3 players. Herrera is a key player for them because his build up action through the middle is unique for the team (Cleverly and Fletcher aren’t capable of doing that build up stuff).

 However, it helped the fact that they were playing against QPR who looked terrible (once again)! Leicester City is way a better team right now than QPR! They are well organized, they attack from the wings and they have a serviceable striker who is really making some damage in the Premier League. They already have faced 3 top teams this season (Everton, Arsenal & Chelsea) and in all those 3 games, they had a positive mindset trying to score goals. They managed to score vs. Everton & Chelsea at home and they had a HUGE chance to score vs. Chelsea in the first half. I expect them to keep having this mindset today vs. Man Utd, so this contest will be fun to watch.

I’m not sold in Man Utd’s defensive consistency… QPR had some good chances last week against them but missed it all. Man Utd could win today, but I think that Leicester City will give a great fight w/ both teams scoring goals. Therefore, I’m taking the OVER in here.

Soccer Pick #2: Tottenham vs. W.B.A

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Tottenham (-1) @ -113 / 1.88 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -115 / 1.87 on 5 Dimes)

Detailed Write Up:

I expect Tottenham to easily dismantle WBA today…

After being humiliated by Liverpool at home, the Spurs went to Sunderland and got one point after drawing 2-2. They deserved to win that game as they created several chances to score and outplayed Sunderland for the majority of the time. They played midweek one Europa League game but Mauricio Pochettino rested some key players in that game, so the Spurs will be “fresh” for today’s game.

I’ve faded WBA in the last 2 rounds against Everton and Swansea City with nice success and I see no reason to stop fading them against teams w/ good firepower on the front.

Soccer Pick #3: Everton vs. Crystal Palace

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Crystal Palace (+1.25) @ -121 / 1.82 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -125 / 1.80 on 5 Dimes)

Detailed Write Up:

Unlike Totenham for example, Everton’s boss Roberto Martinez decided to field their best possible lineup in Europa’s League match against Wolfsburg this past Thursday, and I think that this might turn against him today vs. Crystal Palace. Everton has several players injured and therefore, it’s hard for him to rotate his players but I suspect of Everton’s energy level for today (Seamus Coleman and Leighton Baines picked up some minor injuries vs. Wolfsburg).

Everton’s defensive problems have been well noticed early on the season:  teams are averaging 12.3 total shots per game & 4.3 shots on target/game against them!

After losing the first 2 games of the season, Palace got 2 draws in L2 rounds vs. Newcastle & Burnley while Head Coach Neil Warnock is developing his team. They have some great pace on the front w/ Campbell, Gayle and/or Zaha and I think that they take advantage of the Everton’s poor defensive display so far in the season.

I think that we should be dealing w/ a pure -1 goals line, so I’m taking this +1.25 goals line for Crystal Palace.

Soccer Pick #3: Manchester City vs. Chelsea

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Under 2.75 Goals @ -116 / 1.86 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -120 / 1.83 on 5 Dimes)

Detailed Write Up:

Tactical battle in here! Both teams played midweek in the Champions League – few time to recover fitness levels @100%! With Chelsea having a nice 5-pts advantage in the standings over Man City, I expect them to be patient in this contest like they had last season – that’s why they were the only team to win @Man City ground in the last season! We should be dealing w/ a classic 2.5 goals line!

MLB Premium Card 09/20

MLB Pick #1: 979 Philadelphia Phillies @ 980 Oakland Athletics

(Starting Pitchers: J. Williams vs. D. Pomeranz)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 980 Oakland Athletics RL-1.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

MLB Pick #2 955 Milwaukee Brewers @ 956 Pittsburgh Pirates

(Starting Pitchers: M. Garza vs. E. Volquez)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Over 7.5 @ -105 / 1.95 on Bookmaker

MLB Pick #3: 963 San Francisco Giants @ 964 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: Y. Petit vs. A. Cashner)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 963 San Francisco Giants ML @ -113 / 1.88 on Betonline

Daily Message 09/20

MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 3-4-5 MM: 189-153 ATS | +93.1 units
MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 1-2-3 MM: 189-153 ATS | +32.7 units

MLB 2014 Record Spreedsheet (click here)

Yesterday's MLB Recap Plays:

Over LAA/TEX 8.5 Triple Dime WIN

Over PIT/MIL 7.5 LOSS

Miami RL+1 PUSH

Over SD/SF 6.5 LOSS

Baltimore RL-1.5 LOSS

Chicago White ML WIN

Minnesota ML WIN

Daily Message: 

We went 3-3-1 ATS yesterday in our MLB plays but it was a profitable card because we cashed our Big Triple Dime Play w/ OVER LAA/TEX! We didn’t need to sweat as the play was won in the 4th inning! Once again, we’ve established a new high of profits for the season: +93.1 units using my recommended 3-4-5un MM system or +32.7 units using a 1-2-3MM system.

Dominating MLB’s 2nd half:

We are now 154-114 ATS while hitting 57% in our plays! We have a nice +38.9 units to show using a 1-2-3MM system or +106.8 units using my recommended 3-4-5MM system. We are primed to end this current season as the best season of my career, and please note that there is 8 days left remaining in the regular season.

As usual stay tuned especially on my twitter @gomescapper for news about the release of content throughout the day!

Follow Andre Gomes on Twitter

Soccer Premier League Free Premium Card 09/20

Soccer Pick #1: Aston Villa vs. Arsenal

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Arsenal (-0.5) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bookmaker

Detailed Write Up:

Aston Villa has been one of the biggest surprises of the league so far, but I feel that Arsenal’s is a bad matchup for them, especially by playing at home where they are “obliged” to take a more pro-active mindset instead of laying back for the 90 minutes.

Villa has been playing without a pure striker on the front and using the wings as their primary source of offense. In the last week against Liverpool:

Attacking from the left side: 40%
Attacking from the middle: 17%
Attacking from the right side: 43%

Arsenal is a bit vulnerable from the wings as their full-backs are extremely offensive minded. Mathieu Debuchy is OUT for today and most likely Calum Chambers will start on his place. This is good news for Arsenal b/c Chambers is more committed to defense and so, the Gunners won’t be such exposed on the right-back.

Villa’s defensive organization is great and they held Liverpool scoreless at home – a great accomplishment! However, Liverpool’s attack was way “too static” with little to no movement until Sterling entered in the field. Balotelli definitely isn’t Suarez and his off-movement stuff is limited, Markovic is still learning and adjusting to the Premier League and the Reds struggled to generate movement on the front. This won’t happen today w/ Arsenal!

Soccer Pick #2: Burnley vs. Sunderland

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Sunderland (+0.25) @ -120 / 1.83 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -125 / 1.80 on Betonline)

Detailed Write Up:

I expect this contest to be a tight battle w/ the Draw being a likely scenario and therefore, we are getting some value at this +0.25 line as long we can find @ -125 / 1.80 odds.

Burnley is a well organized team that is solid defensively. However, they don’t have much firepower on the front quality and depth-wise. This is maximized when their two best forwards Sam Vokes & Danny Ings are both OUT for today. Remember that these two players combined to score 47 goals in the last season for them in the Championship. I think that the offensive struggles will remain in display today…

Sunderland has 3 points in the table – all draws, and they are coming from a draw vs. Tottenham, although they were clearly outplayed in that game and got some lucky. Their fighting spirit has been terrific as they were trailing in all those 3 draws just to tie the game. Unlike Burnley, they are “healthy” and this could make the difference in this contest…

Soccer Pick #3: Newcastle United vs. Hull City

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Hull City (+0.25) @ +110 / 2.10 on Pinnacle Sports (OR +105 / 2.02 on 5 Dimes)

Detailed Write Up:

This is a pivotal game for the future of Newcastle’s head coach Alan Pardew and I doubt that Newcastle will perform at their best today with such heavy pressure “under their skins”.  Newcastle defensive line has been atrocious to say the least, just go back and watch Southampton’s goals against them to understand my statement. Offensively, they lack the proper creativity given by Siem de Jong who is injured and Papiss Demba Cissé would help them on the front w/ his speed but he is also injured and out for this contest.

Hull City will be a tough matchup for them as they are well organized defensively and don’t allow much space on the back. Their problem was on the front as they lacked some pace and “killing instinct”. The good news was that Abel Hernandez and Mohamed Diamé made their first game for them in the last round and “coincidentally”, both scored one goal in the 2-2 draw against West Ham United. With Hernandéz on the front, I think that Hull City will take advantage of the fragile mindset of Newcastle players and therefore, they don’t deserve to be such underdogs in this contest.  

Soccer Pick #4: Swansea City vs. Southampton

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Both Teams to Score @ -123 / 1.81 on Pinnacle Sports 

Detailed Write Up:

Both teams are confident and playing an exciting attacking football, I have strong lean w/ OVER 2.5 Goals but I rather prefer playing both teams to score as both teams are creating several chances to score while defensively, they are prone to commit individual errors.  

Daily Message 09/19

MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 3-4-5 MM: 186-150 ATS | +91.5 units
MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 1-2-3 MM: 186-150 ATS | +30.8 units

MLB 2014 Record Spreedsheet (click here)

Yesterday's MLB Recap Plays:

Washington RL-1 WIN

LA Dodgers RL-1 WIN

Seattle RL-1.5 WIN

Yesterday's NFL Recap Plays:

Tampa Bay (+7) LOSS

Daily Message: 

We swept the board once again yesterday in the MLB by going 3-0 ATS in our plays. With this recent 5-0 ATS run, we’ve established a new high of profits for the season: +91.5 units using my recommended 3-4-5un MM system or +30.8 units using a 1-2-3MM system.

Dominating MLB’s 2nd half:

We are now 151-111 ATS while hitting 58% in our plays! We have a nice +37.0 units to show using a 1-2-3MM system or +105.3 units using my recommended 3-4-5MM system. We are primed to end this current season as the best season of my career, and please note that there is 9 days left remaining in the regular season.

We lost our NFL play yesterday w/ the only “positive” aspect being the fact that we didn’t have to “sweat” in here…the game was over immediately after the start of the game.

As usual stay tuned especially on my twitter @gomescapper for news about the release of content throughout the day!

Follow Andre Gomes on Twitter

MLB Premium Card 09/18

MLB Pick #1: 951 Washington Nationals @ 952 Miami Marlins

(Starting Pitchers: G. Gonzalez vs. B. Hand)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 951 Washington Nationals RL-1 @ -120 / 1.83 on 5 Dimes

MLB Pick #2: 953 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 954 Chicago Cubs

(Starting Pitchers: Z. Greinke vs. T. Wada)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 953 Los Angeles Dodgers RL-1 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

MLB Pick #3: 967 Seattle Mariners @ 968 Los Angeles Angels

(Starting Pitchers: F. Hernandez vs. W. Leblanc)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 967 Seattle Mariners RL-1.5 @ -120 / 1.83 on 5 Dimes

NFL Premium Play 09/18

NFL Pick #1: 301 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 302 Atlanta Falcons
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: 301 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7) @ -125 / 1.80 on Bookmaker

Detailed Write Up:

Basically we have ATL having the edge on the offensive end while the Bucs have clearly the edge in defense. I feel that TB’s offense will perform better tonight vs. the first 2 games of the season. After all, Josh McCown faced two tough DL’s in CAR & STL and this ATL DL can’t put pressure on the opposing QB’s. TB running game has been excellent, so I expect them once again to do some damage vs. ATL poor running defense and control the flow of the game as well. Obviously, M. Ryan at home is great and ATL’s offense will score some points (I had small lean w/ OVER) but I think that this contest will be a tight one and therefore, I’m taking TB+7 (key number) tonight. 

MLB Premium Card 09/17

MLB Pick #1: 907 Miami Marlins @ 908 New York Mets

(Starting Pitchers: H. Alvarez vs. D. Gee)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 907 Miami Marlins ML @ +111 / 2.11 on Betonline

MLB Pick #2: 921 Cleveland Indians @ 922 Houston Astros

(Starting Pitchers: C. Carrasco vs. B. Oberholtzer)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 921 Cleveland Indians ML @ -122 / 1.82 on 5 Dimes

Soccer Champions League 09/17 Play: Maribor vs. Sporting Lisbon

Soccer Pick #6: Maribor vs. Sporting Lisbon
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Sporting Lisbon (-0.5) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bookmaker
Detailed Write Up:

I rate the Portuguese team being better than Maribor, especially with their star defensive player Suler being OUT of this contest. Maribor will have some problems through the center of their defense because Sporting has a capable striker to cause some damage in Islam Slimani. Sporting is having some problems in their domestic league against inferior level opponents that are focused almost exclusively in defending and get a point from them. With some space to operate they are more dangerous and I expect Maribor to give some space by playing at home.

Soccer Champions League 09/17 Play: Athletic Bilbao vs. Shakhtar Donetsk

Soccer Pick #5: Athletic Bilbao vs. Shakhtar Donetsk
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Over 2.25 Goals @ -125 / 1.80 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -127 / 1.78 on 5 Dimes)
Detailed Write Up:

Like Benfica vs. Zenit from yesterday, I expect this contest to be wide open with both teams bringing a pro-active mindset to the field. The problem yesterday was that Benfica’s GK was sent off early on the game and this fact alone changed completely the dynamic of the game.

The Spanish team at home is a tough team to beat while their fanatic fans are a factor to intimidate the opposing teams. Bilbao plays an aggressive fast forward style of football so this contest will be fun to watch. I think that they are capable to score at least one goal in here. However, I also expect Shakhtar Donetsk to create some damage on the offensive end. The turmoil in Ukraine is indeed a factor, but note that the majority of the players of this team are Brazilians eager to shine in the Champions League… They want to departure from Ukraine and the Champions League is a great spot for them to “show” their skills…fortunately, they are all great technician players (Luiz Adriano, Taison, Alex Teixeira and Douglas Costa)!

Both teams will play w/ offensive mindset, both have quality on the front and therefore, I’m taking the OVER in here.

Soccer Champions League 09/17 Play: Porto vs. BATE Borisov

Soccer Pick #4: Porto vs. BATE Borisov
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Porto (-1.5) @  +101 / 2.01 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -101 / 1.99 on 5 Dimes)
Detailed Write Up:

After a terrible season, FC Porto is primed to make a strong bounce back in this new season as they made several good acquisitions. With a new head coach, their defense has been pretty solid to start the season while they had some problems to create chances to score especially when they field 3 central midfielders that don’t have proper creativity to create danger from the center of the midfield – I’m talking about youngster Ruben Neves, Casemiro and Herrera. However, I’ve just checked their starting XI for today and Porto will use only 2 of those players while inserting Brahimi on the center w/ Quaresma and Adrián on the wings. This is a potent offensive lineup and I really expect them to dominate BATE Borisov.  BATE isn’t as strong as the last years versions and they failed to win on the road in the qualifying rounds against inferior class opponents. Playing at home is a completely scenario for them (they look much stronger) but this isn’t the case in here and therefore, I’m taking the hosts in this contest.

Soccer Champions League 09/17 Play: Ajax vs. PSG

Soccer Pick #3: Ajax vs. PSG
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: PSG (-0.75) @ -117 / 1.85 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -117 / 1.85 on 5 Dimes)
Detailed Write Up:

PSG is struggling to win games on their domestic league but Ajax is a great matchup for their style of football. Unlike the majority of the French teams, this Ajax team won’t play w/ a conservative mindset trying to secure 0-0 draw… no! They will try to impose their game, control the ball possession and assuming some offensive risks… the problem is that they will be vulnerable on the back and PSG’s forwards given some space… they are deadly!

Ajax lost probably their two best players at the end of the trade deadline as Blind went to Man Utd and Siem de Jong went to Newcastle United, so this is a limited squad on the midfield right now and PSG has too many talent on the front that in a wide open game will make the difference.

Soccer Champions League 09/17 Play: Bayern Munchen vs. Manchester City

Soccer Pick #2: Bayern Munchen vs. Manchester City
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Manchester City (+1) @ -125 / 1.80 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -126 / 1.79 on 5 Dimes)
Detailed Write Up:

I feel that Manchester City is vastly underpriced for this contest. We are now dealing with an experienced team in UEFA’s competitions (something that they lacked some couple of years ago) and they certainly know how to play against this “tiki taka” style of football imposed by Guardiola, as they faced this Bayern team last season ,and then Barcelona in the knockout stage.

City’s head coach Manuel Pellegrini rested some players in the last weekend clash against Arsenal just to be ready for this contest. Yaya Touré was one of those players and I think that he will be a key factor for tonight’s game, because Bayern has several injured players in the midfield (Bastian Schweinsteiger, Thiago Alcantara, Javi Martinez and also Ribery is OUT as well).  With Man City having good chances to at least give some fight in the midfield battle, I expect them to be a tough matchup and therefore, this +1 line is valuable in my opinion.

Soccer Champions League 09/17 Play: Chelsea vs. Schalke 04

Soccer Pick #1: Chelsea vs. Schalke 04
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Chelsea (-1.5) @ -111 / 1.90 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -112 / 1.89 on 5 Dimes)
Detailed Write Up:

We can say that this is the “public play” of the day but it’s hard to go against Chelsea right now. They are playing an exciting style of football w/ Fabregas being the playmaker, while Diego Costa is indeed making a strong impression on the front. I expect Mourinho to make some changes and rotate his players. However their depth is tremendous and players like Cech, Felipe Luiz, Ramires, Willian and/or Remy are capable players.

On the other end, Schalke 04 is heavily struggling right now. Their domestic league performance is subpar w/ one draw & 2 losses in three games. Several first team players such as Farfan, Felipe Santana, Kolasinac are injured and out for today, and more recently, their captain and leader of the defensive line Howedes is OUT as well, so I don’t think that Schalke is going to offer much resistance to the Blues.

MLB Premium Card 09/16

MLB Pick #1: 951 Washington Nationals @ 952 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: T. Roark vs. A. Harang)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 952 Atlanta Braves ML @ +114 / 2.14 on Bookmaker

Soccer Premium Card 09/16

Soccer Pick #1: Real Madrid vs. Basel
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Real Madrid (-2.25) @ -124 / 1.80 on 5 Dimes

Daily Message 09/16

MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 3-4-5 MM: 179-146 ATS | +82.1 units

MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 1-2-3 MM: 179-146 ATS | +27.7 units

MLB 2014 Record Spreedsheet (click here)

Yesterday's MLB Recap Plays:

Over ARI/SF 8 Triple Dime PUSH

Washington ML WIN

Toronto ML LOSS

Over COL/LAD 10.5 WIN

Over MIN/DET 7.5 WIN

Chicago Cubs RL-1 PUSH

Yesterday's NFL Recap Plays:

Philadelphia (+3) WIN

Daily Message: 

We are coming from another successful day as we went 3-1-2 ATS in our MLB plays & 1-0 in the NFL. We could have enjoyed a huge day in the MLB if I had chosen the Cubs ML instead of going RL-1 & Over 7.5 ARI/SF @ high juice, instead of going w/ Over 8. However, that’s the way I’ve been using in the MLB, our average odds of my MLB plays are @ -101 / 1.99, so we are not talking about laying huge odds in favorites teams, instead, we have been aggressive in our approach w/ nice success, and I simply won’t change this philosophy.

We are now 144-107 ATS in the second half of season – hitting 57% ATS! We have a nice +33.9 units to show using a 1-2-3MM system or +95.9 units using my recommended 3-4-5MM system.

We have 15 games to work today, so let’s do it!

For today, we also have Soccer UEFA Champions League! Plays will be released soon…

As usual stay tuned especially on my twitter @gomescapper for news about the release of content throughout the day!

Follow Andre Gomes on Twitter

NFL Premium Play 09/16

NFL Pick #1: 279 Philadelphia Eagles @ 280 Indianapolis Colts
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: 279 Philadelphia Eagles (+3) @ -115 / 1.87 on Betonline

MLB Premium Card 09/16

MLB Pick #1: 909 San Francisco Giants @ 910 Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: R. Vogelsong vs. W. Miley)

Rating: 5 units - Triple Dime Play

Pick: Over 8 @ -105 / 1.95 on 5 Dimes

MLB Pick #2: 901 Washington Nationals @ 902 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: S. Strasburg vs. E. Santana)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 901 Washington Nationals ML @ -129 / 1.77 on 5 Dimes

Daily Message 09/15

MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 3-4-5 MM: 176-145 ATS | +76.1 units

MLB 2014 Reg. Season RECORD 1-2-3 MM: 176-145 ATS | +25.7 units

MLB 2014 Record Spreedsheet (click here)

Yesterday's MLB Recap Plays:

Washington RL-1 WIN

Miami ML WIN

Under SF/LAD 6 PUSH

Yesterday's NFL Recap Plays:

Detroit (+1.5) LOSS

New Orleans (-5) LOSS

Chicago (+7) WIN

Daily Message: 

This past week was highly inconsistent for us: we enjoyed some great days but we couldn’t keep up the pace. We struggled this past Friday by going 1-4 ATS in our plays but we basically erased the damage @ weekend by going 2-1 ATS this Saturday and 2-0-1 ATS yesterday.

I’m looking forward to reach the 100-units mark of profit until the end of the regular season, not an easy task but let’s try it!

We are now 141-106 ATS in the second half of season – hitting 57% ATS! We have a nice +31.9 units to show using a 1-2-3MM system or +89.9 units using my recommended 3-4-5MM system. Please note that the average odds of my MLB plays are @ -101 / 1.99, so we are not talking about laying huge odds in favorites teams, instead, we have been aggressive in our approach w/ nice success.

We have 12 games to work today, so let’s do it!

On the NFL, we are coming from a subpar 1-2 ATS day, we have one MNF game to work, I’m yet to make a decision about the game!

As usual stay tuned especially on my twitter @gomescapper for news about the release of content throughout the day!

Follow Andre Gomes on Twitter

MLB Premium Card 09/14

MLB Pick #1: 951 Washington Nationals @ 952 New York Mets

(Starting Pitchers: J. Zimmermann vs. J. Niese)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 951 Washington Nationals RL-1 @ -120 / 1.83 on 5 Dimes

MLB Pick #2: 955 Miami Marlins @ 956 Philadelphia Phillies

(Starting Pitchers: T. Koehler vs. D. Buchanan)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 955 Miami Marlins ML @ -105 / 1.95 on Bookmaker

NFL Premium Card 09/14

NFL Pick #1: 251 Detroit Lions @ 252 Carolina Panthers
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: 251 Detroit Lions (+1.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Card 09/13

MLB Pick #1: 903 Chicago Cubs @ 904 Pittsburgh Pirates

(Starting Pitchers: F. Doubront vs. J. Locke)

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: 904 Pittsburgh Pirates RL-1.5 @ +100 / 2.00 on Betonline

Soccer Premium Card 09/13

Soccer Pick #2: Everton @ W.B.A

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Everton (-0.25) @ -106 / 1.94 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -112 / 1.89 on 5 Dimes)

Detailed Write Up:

I had a play w/ Chelsea against this Everton team and even though Everton was embarrassed at home, I didn’t think that they deserved being punished by allowing 6 goals. Their defensive lapses have been costly this season w/ late draws against Leicester City and Arsenal, but the quality is still there.  I expect them to win this contest as they face W.B.A – one of the worst teams in the league according to my rankings. I’ve faded WBA in their last game @Swansea and they got crushed by the Welsh side and today against a focused superior opponent, I don’t think that the final outcome will be different.

Soccer Premier League Free Play 09/13: Manchester City @ Arsenal

Soccer Pick #1: Manchester City @ Arsenal

Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play

Pick: Manchester City (PK) @ -131 / 1.76 on Pinnacle Sports (OR -135 / 1.74 on Bookmaker)

Detailed Write Up:

This is the earliest game of the day! We are eating some high juice in here, but I really didn’t want to take a bite on Man City (-0.25) as if the contest is tied +70min, both teams would be “happy” to get a point and therefore, this (PK) line is perfect for us in this scenario (it would be pushed).

Man City is coming from a shocking loss at home vs. Stoke City, but for us it wasn’t a complete surprise, as we faded them in that contest by taking Stoke+2. In this matchup, there are 3 key factors that will work favorably for City today:

1)      They have a more cohesive defensive line in my opinion, especially with their defensive midfield covering some ground on the wings when their wing-backs go forward. I believe that this is Arsenal’s major weakness in their roster alongside w/ striker position;

2)      Arsenal’s passing game is yet to "click" in this season… in the first 3 games they didn’t impress me at all w/ their build up game. Usually they are sharp with passes going forward but we are yet to see a solid performance from them. It looks like Aaron Ramsey is questionable/doubtful for this contest and this is a major blow for them;

3)      Most likely, Danny Welbeck will start for Arsenal, and even though he is confident right now after scoring twice for England this past week, I don’t think that he had the proper time to develop the proper chemistry w/ his teammates.

Arsenal crushed Man City in the Charity Shield 3-0, but this contest simply couldn’t be comparable to that game as Man City looked like they were still in vacations, while Arsenal was hungry to collect one more title. I think that City is the better team right now and I’m taking my chances w/ them in here.