Friday, August 31, 2012

MLB Free Premium Play 08/31: San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies

  
San Diego  at Colorado 

MLB - 913 San Diego Padres @ 914 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: C. Richard vs A. White)


The Padres will start Richard tonight, who is coming from three runs allowed in eight innings against the Dbacks. However, he allowed two home runs in that game, but he got helped with run support and got the win. He will now play in Colorado, a park where he always struggle, as shown due to the fact that he has allowed 8, 8 and 6 earned runs on his last three starts. He isn't a good pitcher on the road with a 4.53 ERA and with the wind favoring the batters tonight, I expect the Rockies to pound him big time tonight.

Colorado will start White tonight and he is coming from allowing three runs (two earned) in four innings against the Cubs last Saturday. He has been very inconsistent lately, with some very poor outings and with the Padres hitting well and getting helped with the wind, I expect them to pound White big time as well tonight.

With both teams having the tools (and the assist from the wind) to put both pitches in huge trouble tonight, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 913/914 Over 10.5 (w/ C. Richard & A. White) @ -120 / 1.83 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/30: Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals


MLB - 969 Detroit Tigers @ 970 Kansas City Royals

(Starting Pitchers: R. Porcello vs J. Guthrie)

Detroit lost the first two games of this series by one run and they will start Porcello tonight to avoid getting swept by the Royals. Porcello is coming from three losses in a row, however his last two outings were quality ones, but he had little run support. He has faced power offenses in August like the Angels, Baltimore, Texas, the Yankees and Boston and he is still posing a 4.75 ERA, 3.43 FIP and 2.82 xFIP. Therefore, I believe Porcello should be able to handle the Royals tonight.

On the other hand, Kansas City will start Guthrie, who was having an amazing run until he got completely destroyed in Boston, as he allowed seven runs (six earned) in just 2.2 innings, while walking two batters and striking out just one. He posted a 20.25 ERA, 14.35 FIP and 9.00 xFIP and he just couldn't thrown his fastballs at his regular speed. He has lost all his confidence and now I believe he will struggle big time tonight against a team looking for a bounce back and who is one of the best hitting teams against right handed pitchers.

I believe Detroit's offense will bounce back tonight and pound Guthrie in here, while Porcello will be able to do an okay job against the Royals lineup, therefore I expect the Tigers to avoid the sweep on this series tonight and get a good win for them in here. I'm taking Detroit tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 969 Detroit Tigers ML (w/ R. Porcello) @ -115 / 1.87 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 08/30: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers


MLB - 959 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 960 Los Angeles Dodgers

(Starting Pitchers: I. Kennedy vs C. Kershaw)

Arizona is now struggling and they will start a series against the Dodgers on the road tonight. They will start Kennedy tonight and he has lost three of his last four starts while posting a 6.34 ERA in those games. He is coming from allowing six runs in 5.1 IP against the Padres. He has also allowed 17 walks and 11 homeruns on his last six outings, while his 26 homers are the most allowed in the National League this season. Bottom line: he is struggling big time right now. 

On the other hand, the Dodgers will start Kershaw tonight, who is definitely one of the best starting pitchers in the league right now. He has won five of his last six outings, while posting a 1.94 ERA during that stretch, including a win against Miami, where he allowed two runs in eight innings. He is having a 2.41 ERA, .159 BA, 2.48 FIP and 2.58 xFIP in August and against a Arizona offense, who has a .646 OPS this month, I believe Kershaw will have another dominant outing tonight.

The Dodgers will have a massive SP edge tonight, while also having a hitting edge over the struggling Dbacks, so I don't expect anything in here but an easy win for the Dodgers tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 960 Los Angeles Dodgers RL -1 (w/ C. Kershaw) @ -147 / 1.68 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/30: St Louis Cardinals @ Washington Nationals


MLB - 955 St Louis Cardinals @ 956 Washington Nationals

(Starting Pitchers: J. Garcia vs E. Jackson)

St Louis is coming from a series in Pittsburgh where they struggled and couldn't score a run in the last 21 innings, so they will try to bounce back tonight in the first game of a series in Washington. For that, they will start Garcia, who will be making his third start since returning from a shoulder injury that sidelined him for two months. He started well with an outing against Pittsburgh, where he stroke out ten batters, while allowing just two unearned runs in eight winnings, before losing to Cincinnati last Saturday, in a game where he allowed four runs and seven hits in six innings. He faced the Reds in a great spot for Cincinnati, but today against Washington, I believe Garcia should be able to better than on his last outing and limit the Nationals offense tonight.

Washington will be starting Jackson, who is coming from two losses in a row, including a loss against Philadelphia, where he allowed three runs and seven hits in six innings. He struggled a lot in that game by needing 107 pitches to get through six innings, something that has been his problem for the whole season: a very high P/IP ratio! Also the fact that he has only won one of his last five games, even though he faced Philadelphia (twice), the Mets, Arizona and Houston, lowly and/or slumping offenses, makes me believe that Jackson will struggle once again tonight against a much better offense and a team that knows him well, as he pitched for the Cardinals last season.

I believe the Cardinals will bounce back on their offense tonight by punishing Jackson, who is really struggling right now. With Garcia being able to at least limit the Nationals' lineup, I believe St Louis is getting underrated on this contest and so, I'll take them in here to win this game.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 955 St Louis Cardinals ML (w/ J. Garcia) @ -102 / 1.98 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/30: Oakland Athletics @ Cleveland Indians


MLB - 961 Oakland Athletics @ 962 Cleveland Indians

(Starting Pitchers: J. Parker vs J. Masterson)

NOTE: No writeup for this Play

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 961/962 Under 8 (w/ J. Parker & J. Masterson) @ -120 / 1.83 on 5Dimes

Thursday, August 30, 2012

WNBA Free Premium Card 08/30


WNBA - 601 Indiana Fever @ 602 New York Liberty

Projected line: 154 points

Since the Olympic Break, the Liberty have been playing much better and with their healthy backcourt plus Cappie Pondexter, they have received an offensive boost since the break, with 79, 74, 77 and 89 points scored. Then, they had a series of back to backs where they fulminated, especially on their last back to back game when they finished a road trip in a game in Seattle, where they scored 9 points in the 1st quarter. However, they had 3 days off to prepare this game and so, they should get back to the offensive level they showed previously to this series of games played on a bad spot.

Indiana has been also playing well since the break, with just a loss in LA against the Sparks. The Fever continues to play with an undersized lineup and therefore, they are playing with four shooters on the floor and thanks to that, they have been shooting greatly from the 3pts line, with 52-122 (45%) 3pts since the break! They looked good on defense on their last three games with 93.8, 92.9 and 98.3 defensive rates, however they faced in those games Phoenix without Taurasi, Washington and Seattle without Jackson.

I believe the Liberty will have a good edge on the inside, while Indiana will pound New York from the outside with their red hot shooting. This should result in a good offensive game played in a mid-pace, with both teams being able to score a good number of points tonight. With my projections giving me a totals line of 154 points for this contest, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 601/602 Over 149.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes


WNBA - 603 Washington Mystics @ 604 Atlanta Dream

Projected line: Atlanta by 14 points

This is a rematch from last Friday's game, where Atlanta defeated Washington on the road by 81-69 and without Angel McCoughtry, who is also questionable for tonight due to a team suspension. The Mystics keep struggling on offense and their best player is Crystal Langhorne, who will have a tough matchup against Erika De Souza and couldn't avoid a clear loss of her team last Friday, even though she had a great game with 7-13 FG 17pts and 10reb. Washington is now struggling on rebounding by grabbing 45.6, 49.0, 44.9, 47.2, 48.3 and 46.3% of the boards on their last six games. Without winning the rebounding battle, Washington lacks the talent to stay competitive, especially with their high number of turnovers: 19, 19, 18, 13, 18 and 16 turnovers on their last six games.

After Atlanta's shocking loss to Tulsa two days ago, I expect them to bounce back tonight and crush Washington once again. Therefore, I'll be taking the Dream in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 604 Atlanta Dream (-9,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes



WNBA - 605 Connecticut Sun @ 606 San Antonio Silver Stars

Projected line: 155 points

This isn't a good spot for San Antonio, who is coming from an OT game in Minnesota two nights ago. On the other hand, Connecticut is also on a poor spot, as they played on Sunday, Tuesday and now (Thursday). The Sun is coming from a home-home series against Chicago, where Tina Charles dominated with Sylvia Fowles out due to personal reasons. Connecticut lost another player, this time it was Mistie Mims who pulled a muscle in her quad and she will join Asjha Jones in the injury list for a week. Connecticut's offense has been struggling without Jones, with 90.2, 101.9, 97.7, 93.4 and 109.4 offensive rates on their last five games, with an average of 98.5, very far from their average of 105.9! On the other side, their defense has been on a decent level and with San Antonio being on a poor spot tonight, I expect Connecticut to be able to have an okay defensive performance.

With Connecticut missing Jones and with both teams being on a poor spot, I believe this game won't have a good offensive efficiency from neither team, which combined with a relatively slow pace (San Antonio is playing much slower now than usual) gave me a totals projection of 155 points, low enough for me to take the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 605/606 Under 160 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline



WNBA - 609 Phoenix Mercury @ 610 Seattle Storm

Projected line: 158 points

Seattle is now healthy again, with Lauren Jackson and Ann Wauters back, so the Storm have their good depth back, after some depth issues due to a lot of injuries. On the other hand, Taurasi is also back on Phoenix's lineup and she's almost the whole offense of the Mercury. Therefore, this game won't have nothing to do with the game they played just after the Olympic break, where Seattle was missing Jackson, Wauters and Thompson, while Taurasi was out for Phoenix. 

Phoenix plays on a faster pace with Taurasi on court and they are definitely a good offensive team with their star on court. On the other hand, Seattle has now Sue Bird back at 100% after a stomach problem plus Lauren Jackson and the rest of the frontcourt players, so they should really crush Phoenix down low. I expect a fast paced game in here, with Seattle crushing the terrible defense of the Mercury, while Phoenix should be able to have a decent offensive game as well, with Taurasi leading the way. I have a 158 points projection for this game and therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 609/610 Over 152,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

MLB Free Premium Play 08/30: New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies

  
New York  at Philadelphia 
MLB - 951 New York Mets @ 952 Philadelphia Phillies


(Starting Pitchers: J. Niese vs K. Kendrick)


The Mets will start Niese today and he is coming from a loss against Houston, but where he pitched well once again with just three earned runs in seven innings. He has been solid lately with 4.39 FIP/3.37 xFIP, 1.19 FIP/2.19 xFIP and 3.97 FIP/4.00 xFIP on his last three starts. He is posting a 2.29 ERA, .212 BA, 3.35 FIP and 3.54 xFIP in August, so he is really having superb numbers lately. He also has good numbers against Philadelphia, where he has just allowed 1, 2, 4 and 0 runs on four outings against the Phillies. He is just allowing the Phillies' roster to hit .244 BA and .690 OPS in 156 AB's, so I believe he will have a good outing today, especially when the two guys who better hit against him (Polanco 11-32 and Ruiz 6-17) will be out of today's game.

Philadelphia will start Kendrick and he is also pitching well lately, with back to back shutouts and on his last start, he allowed just two runs but had to throw 115 pitches in 6.2IP. He struggled a bit with 2.70 ERA, 5.50 FIP and 4.87 xFIP, so I believe the Mets who are now confident with 4-0 on his last four games should be able to put Kendrick in some trouble today.

I believe the Mets will have a SP edge today and with the Mets being now more confident, I believe they will be able to hit well today as well. Therefore, I see value on the Mets today and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 951 New York Mets ML (w/ J. Niese) @ -105 / 1.95 on Bookmaker

MLB Free Premium Play 08/30: Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins

  
Seattle  at Minnesota 
MLB - 965 Seattle Mariners @ 966 Minnesota Twins


(Starting Pitchers: B. Beaven vs B. Duensing)


Seattle will start Beaven today, who is coming from a loss in Chicago against the White Sox, where they allowed four runs and seven hits in five innings. His outing was terrible with 7.20 ERA, 7.30 FIP and 7.64 xFIP and from his last five starts, only once he didn't allowed at least three runs. He has a 5.30 FIP and 4.61 xFIP in August and today against the Twins, who have recuperated their offensive feeling, I believe Beaven is into another struggling outing today.

Minnesota will start Duensing, who is coming from a poor outing, where he allowed nine runs and twn hits in Texas. He had that bad outing, but he had been in good form lately with five starts in a row with a FIP lower than 5.00! I believe he will bounce back today, as when Texas' lineup is red hot, they are unstoppable and Seattle's offense is struggling right now.

I believe the Twins have both SP and hitting edges today and so, I expect them to have another comfortable win over Seattle today. Therefore, I'll be taking the Twins in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 966 Minnesota Twins ML (w/ B. Duensing) @ -136 / 1.74 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/29: Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins


MLB - 927 Seattle Mariners @ 928 Minnesota Twins

(Starting Pitchers: J. Vargas vs S. Deduno)

Deduno is in my opinion one of the worst pitchers currently on a starting rotation in the league, so I'll be fading him one more time tonight. He is coming from a beating in Texas, where he allowed seven runs and eleven hits in just five innings. He had also lost his previous start in Seattle, where he gave up two runs and five hits. His command issues are huge and he has walked 37 batters, while just striking out 30 in 51 innings!

With Deduno struggling with his command and with Seattle now facing him for the second time, I expect the Mariners to take advantage over the experience of having faced him two weeks ago and pound him big time tonight. Deduno had a bunch of lucky outings in a row, but now that he has started to regress, he'll keep being pounded in every game. Therefore, I'll be taking Seattle to go Over their team total tonight. 

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 927 Seattle Mariners Team Total Over 4 (w/ S. Deduno) @ -129 / 1.775 on Pinnacle

MLB Premium Play 08/29: Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals


MLB - 925 Detroit Tigers @ 926 Kansas City Royals

(Starting Pitchers: A. Sanchez vs B. Chen)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

After yesterday's high scoring game, Detroit will start Sanchez who is coming from best outing since he joined Detroit, where he allowed two runs and five hits in 6.2 innings in a game against Toronto. He had some excellent numbers in that outing with 1.35 ERA, 2.19 FIP and 4.18 xFIP and his fastball was much better on that game than it was on his previous outings. With just two hitters from the Royals having previously faced Sanchez before, I believe he will be able to surprise the Royals lineup today and have another good outing tonight.

On the other hand, Kansas City will start Chen, who rolled his ankle last Monday before his team's game. He is coming from a decent outing against Boston, where he allowed three runs in six innings. However, he is 4-5 with a 6.10 ERA in 15 games against Detroit and he has lost both his starts against the Tigers this season. With Detroit hitting .298 BA and .935 OPS in 161 AB's against Chen, I believe they will pound him once again tonight, especially when he isn't at 100% physically and he had just 4 days rest prior to this outing. 

I believe Detroit will have a clear SP edge tonight and with them hitting at least as well as the Royals right now, I believe the Tigers will have an easy win tonight and therefore, I'll be taking them in here in a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 925 Detroit Tigers ML (w/ A. Sanchez) @ -128 / 1.78 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 08/29: Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers


MLB - 923 Tampa Bay Rays @ 924 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: A. Cobb vs M. Harrison)

The Rays will be starting Cobb tonight and he is coming from his first shutout of his career against Oakland, where he allowed just four hits, while having eight strikeouts. Barring a terrible start in LA against the Angels, Cobb has been doing a good job lately, dominating Oakland twice, Seattle and Toronto in four of his last five starts. He has a 3.03 ERA, 3.37 FIP and 3.44 xFIP in August
and he also did a good earlier on the season against Texas, so I believe he will once again have a good outing tonight. 

Texas will start Harrison and he is coming from two wins in a row, where he allowed just a combined of two runs and four hits in 16 innings. He has been very good lately, however I believe he will struggle tonight, as he is coming to this game with just 4 days rest and 118 pitches thrown on his last outing against the Twins. Harrison has also only faced struggling lineups lately, as Toronto is #30 in the current month in OPS with .609, while Minnesota is #23 with .672, so his good form might be a bit overrated. He generally struggles against Tampa Bay, with the Rays' roster hitting .333 BA and .892 OPS against him in 63 AB's and already in the current season, he has allowed fourteen hits and seven runs to Tampa Bay.

Even though Texas has some edge over Tampa Bay in terms of hitting, the truth is that Tampa Bay will have an edge in here in terms of starting pitching and especially bullpen. I don't think Texas should be such a clear favorite for this contest and therefore, I'll be taking the Rays tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 923 Tampa Bay Rays ML (w/ A. Cobb) @ +140 / 2.40 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 08/29: Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs


MLB - 913 Milwaukee Brewers @ 914 Chicago Cubs

(Starting Pitchers: M. Fiers vs J. Samardzija)

Milwaukee will start Fiers tonight and he is coming from a win in Pittsburgh, where he equaled his season high of 10 strikeouts, while allowing just three runs and five hits in 6.2 IP. It was a good bounce back from him after two poor outings in a row. Now against the Cubs, I believe Fiers will have another quality outing, as this will be the first time he will face them and therefore he will have a surprise factor helping him plus the Cubs offense is non-existent right now, with .650 OPS in August (#25). Fiers is a flyball pitcher, he will have the wind helping him, so no reason for him not to have a good outing tonight.

The Cubs will start Samardzija and he is coming from a seven inning outing against Colorado, where he allowed three runs (two earned), while striking out seven batters. He has been very solid lately and he is very dominant against RH batters, as his 3.23 FIP and 2.97 xFIP shows. Considering the fact that Milwaukee's lineup is full of RH batters, with Aoki being the only LH, Samardzija will have a good matchup tonight to have another quality outing in here. This favorable matchup was confirmed back in May, when him dominated the Brewers on the road, with just one earned run and three hits allowed in five innings.

I believe both starting pitchers have the necessary conditions to have quality outings and make this a low scoring affair and therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 913/914 Under 7.5 (w/ M. Fiers & J. Samardzija) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/29: Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins


MLB - 911 Washington Nationals @ 912 Miami Marlins

(Starting Pitchers: R. Detwiler vs J. Turner)

Washington is now struggling with five losses in a row and to try to end their losing streak, they will start Detwilder who is coming from an outing against Atlanta, where he allowed just two runs and seven hits in 5.1 innings, with a 3.38 ERA, 2.16 FIP and 2.98 xFIP. Prior to that start, he was already looking to be in good form, as he had just allowed a total of nine earned runs on his last 24.2 IP. So, against a lowly offense like the Marlins, I believe Detwiler will have a good outing tonight.

Turner will have his second start for Miami, after allowing three runs in six innings against Arizona on his debut for Miami. His debut was very solid and he is a top prospect, so we can expect good things from him. He wasn't being well used in Detroit, but he looked much better on his Marlins debut with 4.50 ERA, 3.59 FIP and 2.65 xIP on his outing against the Dbacks. This is a good spot for him, as the Nationals are struggling on their hitting and they've never faced him before, so I believe Turner will have another quality outing tonight.

With both starting pitchers having the right conditions to have a good outing tonight, I expect this game to be a low scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 911/912 Under 8 (w/ R. Detwiler & J. Turner) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 08/29: Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres


MLB - 905 Atlanta Braves @ 906 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: T. Hanson vs E. Stults)

The Braves will start Hanson today and he is coming from a start in San Francisco, where he allowed five runs and seven hits in 4.1 IP, with a 8.31 ERA, 3.32 FIP and 5.36 xFIP. He has struggled on his two starts since his comebacks and he keeps struggling in going deep in the games plus the fact that he keeps walking batters frequently. His best pitch is the slider, but he isn't being able to throw it lately with his normal speed and so, this is another reason why he is struggling lately. The Padres' roster is hitting .262 BA and .868 OPS against him in 65 AB's, so it seems likely that San Diego will be able to cause some damage on him today.

San Diego will start Stults and he is coming from a shutout in Arizona, where he allowed just three hits in seven innings. He has been alternating some good starts with some terrible ones lately, as the runs allowed on his last six starts shows (0, 5, 1, 0, 3 and 4 ER allowed). He has defeated Atlanta on the road earlier on this month with just one run and five hits allowed in 7.2 IP, however I don't believe he will be able to dominate the Braves once again today. First of all, Atlanta was on a terrible spot for that game, as they were coming from a SNB game in NY against the Mets in the previous night. The surprise effect of facing him for the first time in three years is also gone for today, therefore I expect Atlanta to get revenge over the inconsistent Stults today and make some damage on the Padres' SP for the day.

With both teams sending two starting pitchers with inconsistent results to the mount today, I don't believe they will be able to have similar performances to the other starting pitchers on this series that had quality outings. I expect both SP's to struggle at least a bit today and with both teams being able to score a decent number of runs in here. With the totals line being set so low, I believe we have enough value to take the Over in here and that's what I'm going to do. Take the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 905/906 Over 7 (w/ T. Hanson & E. Stults) @ -120 / 1.83 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/29: Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks


MLB - 903 Cincinnati Reds @ 904 Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: M. Latos vs P. Corbin)

NOTE: No writeup for this Play *EARLY GAME*

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 904 Arizona Diamondbacks ML (w/ P. Corbin) @ +108 / 2.08 on Betonline

Wednesday, August 29, 2012

MLB Free Premium Play 08/29: Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees

  
Toronto  at New York 
MLB - 917 Toronto Blue Jays @ 918 New York Yankees


(Starting Pitchers: J. Happ vs C. Sabathia)


Looking at Sabathia's level and Happ's current form, I believe he will have a pitchers duel on this contest, similar to Happ's start in Detroit last week against Verlander. In that game, he had his best performance since joining Toronto, with just one run allowed on four hits in 7.1 IP. He is definitely very well right now, with just two runs allowed on six hitting in 13.1 IP over his last two starts. He had three quality starts out of four games for Toronto and he has always faced a top team: Tampa Bay, NY Yankees, Texas and Detroit, with FIP numbers of 2.41, 0.93 and 1.48 in those three excellent outings. He will now once again face the Yankees today, who have been having some offensive issues lately, mostly caused due to Teixeira and A-Rod being out. Therefore, I believe the in-form Happ will have a good outing today and limit the Yankees offense in this game.

Sabathia will start for the Yankees and he is coming from a great comeback game from injury in Cleveland, where he allowed just one run and four hits in 7.1 IP, with a 1.23 ERA, 3.23 FIP and 2.06 xFIP. He has always been very successful against the Blue Jays and with Toronto's current poor offense, I believe Sabathia will have an easy outing today.

With Sabathia dominating the Blue Jays and with Happ being in good form, ready to have another quality outing today, I believe this game will be a low scoring contest like it was yesterday and therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 917/918 Under 8.5 (w/ J. Happ & C. Sabathia) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bookmaker

WNBA Premium Play 08/28: San Antonio Silver Stars @ Minnesota Lynx


WNBA - 655 San Antonio Silver Stars @ 656 Minnesota Lynx

Projected line: Minnesota by 12 points

Minnesota had some problems before the Olympic break, mainly due to Taj McWilliams-Franklin's physical problems. Thanks to that, they struggled on defense. But now, after the break, they are once again a healthy and so, their defense is back at top level, as their defensive ratings in their four games after the break of 88.60, 76.98, 93.74 and 88.56 shows. At the same time, they keep dominating the rebounds and they are now at their best, ready to make a statement game tonight, after losing at San Antonio due to their struggling period, where they had their worst defensive game of the season where they allowed 93 points and 125.42 defensive rates.

San Antonio saw their great run finished in LA where they were crushed by the Spars 77-101, in a game where they were outrebounded due to the bigger inside presence from the Sparks. If San Antonio had problems at LA, the same will happen today due to Minnesota's powerful inside game. With the Lynx ready to get revenge and make a statement tonight, I believe they will crush San Antonio like they would crush any other team in the league on this spot. Therefore, I'll be taking Minnesota tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 656 Minnesota Lynx (-7,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/28: Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals


MLB - 975 Detroit Tigers @ 976 Kansas City Royals

(Starting Pitchers: J. Verlander vs L. Mendoza)

Detroit will be starting their ace Verlander tonight and they are catching the Royals in a poor spot, after a very wild series in Boston that only finished yesterday. Verlander keeps being one of the best pitchers in the league and he is coming from an outing at home against Toronto, where he allowed two runs and four hits in 9.0 IP, while having a 12/2 K/BB ratio. He has been dominating the Royals throughout his whole career, so I don't expect anything in here but a dominant performance from Verlander tonight.

On the other hand, Kansas City will start Mendoza tonight and he is coming from an outing in Tampa Bay, where he only lasted 4.1 IP, while allowing two runs, five hits and four walks. Even though he didn't suffer a lot of damage on his last start, the truth is that with a 0/4 K/BB ratio, it's clear that Mendoza was very lucky to escape almost unharmed from that game, something that won't happen tonight against the 2nd best team in the league in hitting against RH pitchers. With a 4.81 FIP and 4.80 xFIP in August, contrasting with his 3.66 ERA, it's clear that Mendoza is about to see his numbers regress and the Tigers are the perfect opponent to do against that. 

Therefore, with Verlander most likely dominating the Royals once again and with Mendoza very likely to have a very tough night, I believe Detroit will have a very easy win tonight and so, I'll take them on the Runline in here.  

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 975 Detroit Tigers RL -1.5 (w/ J. Verlander) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes



4-Team Parlay

Pick: 1 unit on 965 Atlanta Braves ML (w/ K. Medlen) x 969 Chicago White Sox ML (w/ C. Sale) x 972 New York Yankees ML (w/ P. Hughes) x 975 Detroit Tigers ML (w/ J. Verlander) @ +530 / 6.30 on Pinnacle

MLB Premium Play 08/28: Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees


MLB - 971 Toronto Blue Jays @ 972 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: R. Romero vs P. Hughes)

NOTE: No writeup for this Play

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 972 New York Yankees RL -1.5 (w/ P. Hughes) @ -115 / 1.87 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/28: Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles


MLB - 969 Chicago White Sox @ 970 Baltimore Orioles

(Starting Pitchers: C. Sale vs C. Tillman)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

After yesterday's game where both SP did a very very good, the White Sox will start their ace Sale to keep the good pitching on this series from them. Sale is coming from a great outing against the Yankees, where he stroke out 13 batters, while allowing just one run on three hits in 7.2 IP. He struggled a bit in previous outings against powerful offenses like Detroit and Texas on the road plus a game in Kansas City, where the Royals took advantage of knowing him very well from previous games. With Baltimore neither having a powerful offense like Texas and Detroit or the experience of having faced Sale before, so with Sale having regained his confidence against a great start against the Yankees, I expect him to have another quality outing tonight.

On the other hand, Tillman was supposed to start Sunday against Toronto, but with the postponement of that game, he is starting tonight. He had 6 days to rest and even though he has posted four quality starts in seven outings since the All-Star break, with a 5-1 record, 4.29 ERA, 1.262 WHIP and 34/11 K/BB ratio, I'm not confident that he will have a good performance tonight. The truth is that he struggled when he faced top offensive teams, especially on his fast ball (-1.68 value), while his changed up (+2.41 value) has been saving him from tough situations at times. However, the White Sox have been ridiculously good in August against fast balls with +0.97 (#1 in the league), while they are also good against change ups with +2.51 (#4). Therefore, they have the right hitting combination to put Tillman in a lot of trouble tonight.

With the White Sox trying to bounce back tonight after yesterday's loss, while having a clear SP and hitting edge, I believe they will have a comfortable win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here. Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 969 Chicago White Sox ML (w/ C. Sale) @ -133 / 1.75 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 08/28: Oakland Athletics @ Cleveland Indians


MLB - 967 Oakland Athletics @ 968 Cleveland Indians

(Starting Pitchers: T. Milone vs Z. McAllister)

Oakland may be in a great run right now by winning nine of their last eleven games, however I believe they will have a tough game tonight. They will start Milone, who won't definitely be in a good spot for tonight. Not only he isn't playing at home where he pitches much better (2.34 ERA, .205 BA, 2.77 FIP, 3.93 xFIP at home vs 5.77 ERA, .311 BA, 5.50 FIP, 4.08 xFIP on the road), as he will also face a team that will explore well his problems against LH batters, as Cleveland has a lineup full of LH batters. That's why that the Indians were able to have four runs and seven hits against him in Oakland a week and a half ago. In fact, Milone has a 4.92 FIP and 4.71 xFIP versus LH batters, which means that if we combine tonight's spot of a road game against a team full of LH batters, we quickly understand that Milone will be his worst spot possible and therefore, Cleveland should have a good shot of putting him in a lot of trouble tonight.

On the other hand, Cleveland will start McAllister, who must be the unluckiest SP in the league. He has very good numbers with 3.50 ERA, 3.58 FIP and 3.99 xFIP, but he keeps struggling to win decisions due to lack of run support. But with Milone on a terrible spot tonight and with McAllister being solid, it's possible that he has a very good shot of winning a decision tonight. 

With Cleveland having the tools to put Milone in trouble tonight, while having a very solid SP in the mount, I believe the Indians have a golden shot of having a good win tonight and therefore, I'm taking them in here for the upset.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 968 Cleveland Indians ML (w/ Z. McAllister) @ +107 / 2.07 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/28: Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres


MLB - 965 Atlanta Braves @ 966 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: K. Medlen vs A. Werner)

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

San Diego is now the hottest team in the league with eight wins in a row, however they will face the toughest test yet to their winning streak tonight when they face the unstoppable Kris Medlen. He has been amazing lately with a 3-0 record and 0.40 ERA on his last three starters that includes a complete game shutdown against the Padres. Even with San Diego carrying momentum right now, I believe Medlen won't have problems in dominating them in such a pitcher-friendly Park and even if he isn't as impressive as lately tonight, there's always the great bullpen of the Braves that is rested for tonight.

The Padres will start Werner today, who is coming from a good debut against the Pirates. He allowed two runs and four hits in six innings, but he walked four batters while just striking out two players, which shows that his debut wasn't that impressive and that he is likely to have a letdown tonight, especially when he posted a 3.00 ERA, but had a 6.59 FIP and 5.65 xFIP and he will now face the second most patient lineup in the league with 9.2% BB%. 

With a huge SP edge favoring Atlanta tonight and with Werner being likely to struggle tonight against the patient lineup of the Braves, I expect Atlanta to very comfortably get revenge over yesterday's loss and win tonight's game with ease. Therefore, I'll be taking the Braves in here.Triple Dime Play!

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 965 Atlanta Braves RL-1 (w/ K. Medlen) @ -140 / 1.72 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/28: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies


MLB - 961 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 962 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: C. Capuano vs T. Chatwood)

NOTE: No writeup for this Play

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 961/962 Over 10.5 (w/ C. Capuano & T. Chatwood) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 08/28: San Francisco Giants @ Houston Astros


MLB - 959 San Francisco Giants @ 960 Houston Astros

(Starting Pitchers: M. Cain vs B. Norris)

The Giants will start Cain tonight, who is now in a three-game winning streak, where he has just allowed four runs in 22.1 IP. He 
is coming from a great outing against the Dodgers, where he allowed just one earned run and seven hits in 7.0 IP, while having a 5/0 K/BB ratio. He is coming from this outing with 5 days rest and therefore, I expect him to easily dominate the poor Astros' lineup tonight, especially when the Astros' roster is just hitting .149 BA and .457 OPS in 74 AB's against him.

On the other hand, Houston will be starting Norris, who seems to be a much better pitcher at home, with a 2.18 ERA, .215 BA, 2.65 FIP and 2.83 xFIP in home games this season! He has had three starts against San Francisco over the last two seasons and he has just allowed 3, 3 and 2 earned runs in those three games that were all played on the road. Norris also throws a lot of sliders, the kind of pitch that San Francisco's batters can't really hit well, so I really believe that Norris will have a decent outing tonight due to the fact he actually handles the Giants well and he is a great pitcher at home.

With both starting pitchers having all the necessary conditions to have good outings tonight and with the wind heavily assisting them, I believe this will be a low scoring game and therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 959/960 Under 7.5 (w/ M. Cain & B. Norris) @ -125 / 1.80 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 08/28: Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs


MLB - 957 Milwaukee Brewers @ 958 Chicago Cubs

(Starting Pitchers: Y. Gallardo vs T. Wood)

Even though both teams are out of playoff contention, it's clear that while Milwaukee is still playing hard and with their best lineup available, the Cubs are now trying to evaluate young players and therefore, struggling to have any kind of consistent hitting throughout their games. Therefore, I expect an easy outing for Gallardo tonight, who is on a roll right now with a 5-0 record and 2.02 ERA on his last five starts. With Gallardo in such good form and the Cubs' youngsters struggling, I believe this should be an easy night for Milwaukee's SP. 

On the other hand, Wood is struggling and he is 0-7 on his last eight starts. He is coming from an outing in Milwaukee, where he allowed three runs on six hits in seven innings. He hung in there very well, however this was an early game and the Brewers' offense wasn't red hot like they are right now. With today's game being played at night, I expect Wood to be pounded by a team who is #1 on NL with .780 OPS and who will ready to pound him big time tonight.

With a clear SP edge and a massive edge in terms of hitting, I believe the Brewers will continue their recent good run of results lately, with an easy win tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking Milwaukee in here.

NOTE: Also available on 5Dimes at -133 /1.75 

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 957 Milwaukee Brewers RL -1 (w/ Y. Gallardo) @ -130 / 1.77 on Pinnacle

MLB Premium Play 08/28: New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies


MLB - 951 New York Mets @ 952 Philadelphia Phillies

(Starting Pitchers: C. Young vs V. Worley)

The Mets will start Young tonight and he is 1-5 with a 5.11 ERA in eight starts since the All-Star break. He is coming from a decent outing against Colorado, where he stroke out nine batters, while allowing just two earned runs in seven innings. However, the LH batters keep pounding him, as he is allowing .304 BA, 5.62 FIP and 6.40 xFIP against them this season. With Philadelphia having 5 LH batters + 1 switch hitter on the lineup, I believe Young is going to have a tough outing tonight.

On the other hand, Philadelphia will start Worley and he is coming from an outing in Cincinnati, where he allowed two earned runs and eight hits in six innings. Even though he had an acceptable start on his last outing, the truth is that Worley keeps struggling due to a bone chip in his elbow and he had previously struggled in almost every single start since the All-Star break. He has already faced the Mets twice this season and he allowed six and four earned runs in those outings. The Mets are also hitting .304 BA and .879 OPS in 103 AB's against him, therefore I don't expect Worley to have an easy outing tonight, especially on a 4 days rest spot.

With both SP being likely to struggle tonight, I believe this game will end up being a high scoring game. Therefore, I'll see value on the Over for this contest and I'm taking it in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 951/952 Over 8,5 (w/ C. Young & V. Worley) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

Tuesday, August 28, 2012

MLB Free Premium Play 08/28: St Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

  
St. Louis  at Pittsburgh 
MLB - 953 St Louis Cardinals @ 954 Pittsburgh Pirates


(Starting Pitchers: J. Westbrook vs J. McDonald)


The Cardinals won the first game of this series yesterday in a tight game, where both teams struggle with their RISP. St Louis will start Westbrook today and even though he has won six of his last seven starts, he hasn't been impressive lately, especially on his last start against the lowly Astros, where he needed to massive run support to compensate his poor start, where he allowed 5 runs and 7 hits in just 5.0IP. Westbrook is now coming from three starts in a row where his FIP was higher than his ERA, therefore I really believe he will continue struggling tonight against a Pirates roster that is hitting .308 BA and .799 OPS against him in 156 AB's. This is clearly a good spot to fade Westbrook and so, I believe he will have a very tough outing tonight.

The problem for Pittsburgh is that I don't believe McDonald will have an easier outing tonight than Westbrook. McDonald has been having a terrible second half of the season, being currently posting a 7.29 ERA in eight starts since the All-Star break. He looked decent against the Cardinals two starts ago, but then had a terrible outing in San Diego, where he allowed four runs and five hits in five innings against the Padres in Petco Park. And if he posts a 7.20 ERA, 5.29 FIP and 7.65 xFIP in a game played in the pitching-friendly Petco Park, I believe he will highly struggle tonight against a red hot Cards offense, ready to get revenge from the last time they faced McDonald and pound him big time tonight.

I expect to see both starting pitchers heavily struggling tonight and therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 953/954 Over 8 (w/ J. Westbrook & J. McDonald) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 08/27: Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins


MLB - 921 Seattle Mariners @ 922 Minnesota Twins

(Starting Pitchers: F. Hernandez vs L. Hendriks)

Minnesota will start Hendriks tonight and he was recalled to replace Blackburn in the rotation last week, but he was very poor on his first outing against Oakland, where he allowed four runs and six hits in five innings. His advanced numbers of 7.20 ERA, 4.10 FIP and 6.74 xFIP show that his outing was really poor and today with 4 days rest, I don't expect him to be much better.

Seattle may be coming from a series against the White Sox, where they were swept. However, they were competitive in every game of that series and they showed good team dynamic. Plus they are 9th in the league with .783 OPS over the last 7 days and therefore, I believe they will have a good hitting night against the poor Hendriks. Therefore, I'll be taking Seattle to go Over the team total tonight.

NOTE: Also available on Betonline at -115 / 1.87

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 921 Seattle Mariners Team Total Over 4.5 (w/ L. Hendriks) @ -105 / 1.952 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 08/27: Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers


MLB - 919 Tampa Bay Rays @ 920 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: D. Price vs D. Holland)

The Rays haven't played since Saturday afternoon, so they had a day and a half to prepare for this game. They will start their ace Price today and he has been sensational in August with a 0.60 ERA in four starts. He is coming from shutting down the Royals on his last start, where he allowed just three baserunners. So, even against a powerful lineup like the Rangers, we can expect a red hot Price to dominate them tonight.

On the other hand, Texas will start Holland tonight and he is coming from an outing where he allowed the Orioles three runs and five hits in seven innings. He is a solid pitcher, but clearly very far from Price's level and it's clear that he struggles against Tampa Bay, as the Rays roster is hitting .313 BA and .979 OPS in 99AB's against him. Holland has also been prone to allow homeruns this season, so don't be surprised if the rested Rays have a good hitting night against Holland.

With Tampa Bay coming from a rest day and with their ace David Price on the mount, I believe they will have a clear pitching edge over Texas, while I also expect the Rays to put Holland in trouble tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking Tampa Bay in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 919 Tampa Bay Rays ML (w/ D. Price) @ -108 / 1.93 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 08/27: Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees


MLB - 917 Toronto Blue Jays @ 918 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: H. Alvarez vs D. Phelps)

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

Due to the postponement of Toronto's game yesterday in Baltimore, Alvarez will start today when he was billed to start in yesterday's game. He has been terrible lately and he is clearly on a major slump. He looked impressive early on the season, but he started to struggle recently, with his last outing at home against Texas showing exactly that, as he had allowed eight runs on twelve hits in just 4.1 IP. He really seems to be regressing right now and therefore, I expect him to get a major beating from the Yankees tonight, just like it happened on his last start against Texas, where he allowed eight runs and twelve hits in just 4.1 innings. He had some luck on his previous start against the Yankees in July by allowing just two earned runs when he walked four batters. He posted a 3.00 ERA in that game, but his 5.26 FIP and 4.32 xFIP clearly show that in normal conditions he would have worse numbers that the ones he eventually had in that game. He won't be as lucky tonight and therefore, the Yankees lineup will be all over him tonight.

The Yankees will start their prospect Phelps today, who was firstly called to the rotation to replace Sabathia. He took his opportunity very well with two good outings against Texas and Boston, two of the most dangerous teams to pitch against. He allowed just three runs against Boston and two runs against Texas, so he is really in good form and taking advantage of the opportunities that he has been given to start some games due to the injuries of some starting pitchers. He will be facing a struggling and banged up Blue Jays' lineup and therefore, I expect him to have another solid start tonight.

With a clear edge in terms of SP and batters, I believe the Yankees will have a very comfortable win tonight and therefore, I'll be taking them on the Runline today. Triple Dime Play!

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 918 New York Yankees RL -1.5 (w/ D. Phelps) @ -120 / 1.83 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/27: Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres


MLB - 909 Atlanta Braves @ 910 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: P. Maholm vs C. Kelly)

The Braves are starting Maholm tonight, who is coming from a loss in a outing against Washington, who used Strasburg as their SP in that game. Maholm allowed four runs and seven hits in 7.0IP, while having a 6/1 K/BB ratio. His 5.14 ERA, 5.53 FIP and 2.44 xFIP clearly say that Maholm didn't have a good outing in that game. He has recently faced the Padres and dominated them with one run and five hits allowed, however once again his advanced numbers didn't look very good with 4.67 FIP and 3.44 xFIP, clearly higher numbers than his 1.29 ERA in that game.

Maholm will once again face the Padres tonight, but San Diego is now in a great moment, full of momentum on their hitting, as shown with the fact that they are hitting .316 BA on their last 10 games against a LH pitcher! San Diego is a very confident team and playing at home, I believe they will give loads of problems to Maholm, who is likely to regress very soon, as shown by his recent advanced numbers. Therefore, I'll be taking San Diego to go Over on their team total tonight.

NOTE: Also available on Betonline at -115 / 1.87

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 910 San Diego Team Total Over 3 (w/ P. Maholm) @ -107 / 1.935 on Pinnacle

MLB Premium Play 08/27: St Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates


MLB - 901 St Louis Cardinals @ 902 Pittsburgh Pirates

(Starting Pitchers: K. Lohse vs A. Burnett)

The Cardinals are coming from winning a big series in Cincinnati and they have now the chance to get away from Pittsburgh in the wildcard race, so this will be another key series for the reigning champions. They will start Lohse today and he has been so impressive lately that he hasn't allowed more than four hits in any of his four starts in August! He has now produced 14 quality starts on his last 15 games and he keeps being one of the most consistent pitchers in the league. He will face a Pirates offense who has been missing in action for some time now, especially due to McCutchen's current slump, as he is just hitting .234 BA in August. Pittsburgh are the 4th worst team in the league in BA over the last 14 days with .221 and in a game against a good SP like Lohse, I expect the Pirates to struggle on offense once again.

The Pirates will start their ace Burnett, but he is clearly struggling in August, just like the rest of the team. In fact, he has posted a 5.27 ERA, 4.74 FIP and 3.44 xFIP in a combined of his August starts, while allowing his opposing batters to hit .277 BA. He has lost some of his effectiveness with his fastball and that has been making him struggle lately. With the Cardinals offense looking in fine form right now and with their roster hitting .322 BA and .779 OPS in 115 AB's against Burnett, I believe he will be in trouble tonight.

With St Louis having edges for this contest in terms of hitting, momentum and even in pitching, I believe the Cardinals will have a comfortable win tonight and so, I'll take them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 901 St Louis Cardinals ML (w/ K. Lohse) @ -114 / 1.88 on 5Dimes

Monday, August 27, 2012

MLB Free Premium Play 08/27: Oakland Athletics @ Cleveland Indians

  
Oakland  at Cleveland 

MLB - 915 Oakland Athletics @ 916 Cleveland Indians

(Starting Pitchers: B. Anderson vs R. Hernandez)


This is a good spot for Oakland, as they had a day off to rest yesterday and they are coming from a great series win in Tampa Bay. They will start Anderson today and he was amazing on his first start since returning from Tommy John surgery. He allowed just one run and four hits in seven innings against Minnesota and he looked sharp with 62 strikes in 86 strikes. He will now face an Indians lineup full of LH batters and they are clearly a team who struggles against LH pitchers by being just 27th in the league with a .658 OPS against LH pitchers. Due to his good return and the struggles that the Indians have against left handed pitchers, I believe Anderson will have another solid outing tonight.

On the other hand, Cleveland will start Hernandez tonight and he is struggling right now, as shown on the four runs allowed in six innings against Seattle on his last outing. He had terrible numbers on his two starts this season with 6.00 ERA, 5.60 FIP and 4.90 xFIP + 7.50 ERA, 7.93 FIP and 4.82 xFIP, so he is definitely in poor form and against an Athletics' roster that is hitting .282 BA and .728 OPS against him in 110 AB's, I believe Oakland will have a field day against the struggling Hernandez, formerly known as Fausto Carmona.
With Oakland having an edge in terms of spot, pitching (both SP and bullpen) and hitting, I expect the Athletics to keep showing their good moment tonight and have a comfortable win in here. Therefore, I'll be taking Oakland tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 915 Oakland Athletics ML (w/ B. Anderson) @ -134 / 1.75 on Betonline

Sunday, August 26, 2012

MLB Premium Play 08/26: Minnesota Twins @ Texas Rangers


MLB - 977 Minnesota Twins @ 978 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: C. De Vries vs S. Feldman)

The Twins will be starting De Vries today and he is coming from an outing in Oakland, where he needed 112 pitches to get through 5.2 innings, while allowing two runs, six hits and three walks. De Vries just keeps struggling and against a red hot Texas offense right now, he'll be crushed today. 

On the other hand, the Rangers will start Feldman today, who is coming from an outing against Baltimore, where he allowed four runs and seven hits last Tuesday. He has been solid lately and he hasn't given up more than four earned runs since June 4. He allowed 4, 3 and 4 runs on his last three outings, but those games were against Baltimore, the Yankees and Detroit, so they were actually decent performances from him. Now against a much weaker Twins lineup, I believe Feldman will have a solid outing today.

With Texas having a clear SP edge and a huge hitting edge for this contest, I believe the result of this game will be the same that happened in the first two games of this series: two blowouts from Texas. Therefore, I'll be taking the Rangers on the runline today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 978 Texas Rangers RL -1.5 (w/ S. Feldman) @ -120 / 1.83 on 5 Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/26: New York Yankees @ Cleveland Indians


MLB - 969 New York Yankees @ 970 Cleveland Indians

(Starting Pitchers: F. Garcia vs U. Jimenez)

The Yankees will start Garcia today and he is coming from an outing against the White Sox, where he allowed five runs in 4.1 innings in a no decision. His recent game logs shows that he had a FIP lower 4.50 just once on his last five games, with that start being in Toronto with the Blue Jays almost presenting a AAA lineup. Just like his teammate Kuroda, Garcia struggles against LH hitters with 5.24 FIP and 4.50 xFIP and therefore, I wouldn't be surprised one bit if Garcia struggles today against the Indians lineup full of lefties, especially when the Indians roster is hitting .339 BA and .932 OPS in AB's against him.

Cleveland will start Jimenez today and he is clearly struggling right now. His fastball has been terrible and with the Yankees being the best team in the league in hitting fastballs, Jimenez is into some big trouble today, especially when the Yankees are needing a bounce back on offense after struggling on their hitting in the first two games of this series. Jimenez has had some terrible outings already in August against the Angels and Detroit, therefore I believe the Yankees will also take advantage of Jimenez's struggles and pound him big time today.
 
With Garcia struggling against Cleveland's LH batters and with Jimenez being likely to have a nightmare outing against the Yankees, I believe this will be a high-scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 969/970 Over 9 (w/ F. Garcia & U. Jimenez) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 08/26: Los Angeles Angels @ Detroit Tigers


MLB - 967 Los Angeles Angels @ 968 Detroit Tigers

(Starting Pitchers: E. Santana vs M. Scherzer)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

After Detroit's comeback win yesterday, the series is now tied at 1-1, with today's game deciding the winner of this key series for the wildcard race. The Angels will start Santana today and he has been having a poor season, with a 5.46 ERA, 5.65 FIP and 4.57 xFIP, even though he looked a bit better on his last two outings against Boston and Cleveland, where he had 2.84 ERA/4.84 FIP/4.18 xFIP and 1.29 ERA/2.38 FIP/3.01 xFIP respectively. Still, Santana keeps walking more batters than ever, while striking out less batters and having a much bigger HR/9 rate than usual as well. Now facing a powerful Tigers lineup on the road, I believe Santana will struggle a bit today and allowed some runs to the powerful Tigers.

Detroit will start Scherzer, who has already set a personal best for strikeouts in a season with 186 and he keeps looking impressive on his outings, as it happened once again on his last start against Toronto, where he allowed just one run on five hits, while having eight strikeouts and two walks, in seven innings. He didn't start the season well, but he is now one of the best pitchers in the league, with a 2.82 FIP and 2.55 xFIP. The Angels will play today without Pujols and even though the LA team has another quality batters on their lineup, the truth is that Scherzer is very likely to have another quality start today due to his amazing form.

With a clear SP edge on this contest and with both teams being in a similar level in terms of batters, I believe Detroit will be able to put Santana in more trouble than the Angels with Scherzer and therefore, I'll be taking the Tigers today in a Single Dime Play. With Pujols missing from the LA Angels lineup and Cabrera missing from the Tigers lineup, I believe both SP will be able to have at least average performances today and with the assist of the wind, I believe this will be a relatively low-scoring affair. Therefore, I'll be also taking the Under in here in a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 968 Detroit Tigers ML (w/ M. Scherzer) @ -146 / 1.69 on 5Dimes
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 967/968 Under 9 (w/ E. Santana & M. Scherzer) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 08/26: Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies


MLB - 957 Washington Nationals @ 958 Philadelphia Phillies

(Starting Pitchers: J. Zimmernann vs C. Lee)

Washington will try to avoid getting swept on this series today and for that, they will start Zimmermann who has been having a superb season with a 2.54 ERA and 1.12 WHIP, but he has just pitched six innings or less in his last eight starts. He is coming from an outing against Atlanta where he threw 102 pitches in just 5.0IP, while allowing 8 hits and 4 earned runs, while having just 2 strikeouts. Philadelphia's roster is hitting .289 BA and .770 OPS in 76 AB's against him and with Zimmermann struggling a bit right now, I believe Philadelphia will be able to make some damage on him today.

On the other hand, Philadelphia will start Lee who is coming from an outing against Cincinnati, where he had another quality start without getting a positive result out of it. He allowed just three runs (two earned) in 6.2IP, but he still didn't get a decision. Lee is coming from three outings against Cincinnati, Milwaukee and St Louis (the three top offenses vs LHP in the NL) and therefore, he slightly struggled on these contests. However, this time against an easier opponent, I believe Lee will dominate the Nationals' batters, who have lived better days on this season than they are right now.

I believe Philadelphia has a SP edge for this contest, while the Phillies are certainly hitting at least as well as the Nationals right now. Therefore, I'll be taking Cliff Lee and the Phillies to win today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 958 Philadelphia Phillies ML (w/ C. Lee) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline