Thursday, August 30, 2012

MLB Premium Play 08/29: Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs


MLB - 913 Milwaukee Brewers @ 914 Chicago Cubs

(Starting Pitchers: M. Fiers vs J. Samardzija)

Milwaukee will start Fiers tonight and he is coming from a win in Pittsburgh, where he equaled his season high of 10 strikeouts, while allowing just three runs and five hits in 6.2 IP. It was a good bounce back from him after two poor outings in a row. Now against the Cubs, I believe Fiers will have another quality outing, as this will be the first time he will face them and therefore he will have a surprise factor helping him plus the Cubs offense is non-existent right now, with .650 OPS in August (#25). Fiers is a flyball pitcher, he will have the wind helping him, so no reason for him not to have a good outing tonight.

The Cubs will start Samardzija and he is coming from a seven inning outing against Colorado, where he allowed three runs (two earned), while striking out seven batters. He has been very solid lately and he is very dominant against RH batters, as his 3.23 FIP and 2.97 xFIP shows. Considering the fact that Milwaukee's lineup is full of RH batters, with Aoki being the only LH, Samardzija will have a good matchup tonight to have another quality outing in here. This favorable matchup was confirmed back in May, when him dominated the Brewers on the road, with just one earned run and three hits allowed in five innings.

I believe both starting pitchers have the necessary conditions to have quality outings and make this a low scoring affair and therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 913/914 Under 7.5 (w/ M. Fiers & J. Samardzija) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

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