Thursday, August 23, 2012

MLB Free Premium Play 08/23: Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers

  
Toronto  at Detroit 
MLB - 911 Toronto Blue Jays @ 912 Detroit Tigers


(Starting Pitchers: J. Happ vs J. Verlander)


The Tigers are coming from a game where they had problems in putting a struggling LH pitcher in trouble, where they had just 5 hits and 3 runs. Now they will face another LH pitcher, but in much better form than Laffey. Happ won his last two starts and he is coming from a great performance against Texas, where he limited the Rangers to just one run and two hits, while striking out eight batters in six innings. In three starts for Toronto, he faced Texas, the Yankees and Tampa Bay, allowing just 1, 4 and 4 runs in the process! If we count his bullpen games, Happ just had a FIP higher than 4 once in his last 7 appearances! With Detroit being just #14 against LHP, I believe Happ will have another great performance today.

On the other hand, Detroit will start their ace Verlander today, in a game where he allowed three runs and six hits, while walking four batters. This wasn't a great outing for him and he had to throw 116 pitches in just six innings. However, Verlander has a good spot for today and Toronto's offense has been missing in action. They are also lacking patience by being #28 in the league in BB% in August with just 5.0%, while they are also the #3 worst team in the league in K% with 22.8%. These two stats combined show me that Verlander will crush the Blue Jays batters today, especially when they are just hitting .165 BA and .541 OPS against him.

With Verlander absolutely dominating Toronto today, while Happ should also have another good performance today, I believe this early game will be a low scoring game and therefore, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 911/912 Under 7.5 (w/ J. Happ & J. Verlander) @ -120 / 1.83 on 5Dimes

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