Thursday, August 30, 2012

MLB Premium Play 08/29: Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers


MLB - 923 Tampa Bay Rays @ 924 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: A. Cobb vs M. Harrison)

The Rays will be starting Cobb tonight and he is coming from his first shutout of his career against Oakland, where he allowed just four hits, while having eight strikeouts. Barring a terrible start in LA against the Angels, Cobb has been doing a good job lately, dominating Oakland twice, Seattle and Toronto in four of his last five starts. He has a 3.03 ERA, 3.37 FIP and 3.44 xFIP in August
and he also did a good earlier on the season against Texas, so I believe he will once again have a good outing tonight. 

Texas will start Harrison and he is coming from two wins in a row, where he allowed just a combined of two runs and four hits in 16 innings. He has been very good lately, however I believe he will struggle tonight, as he is coming to this game with just 4 days rest and 118 pitches thrown on his last outing against the Twins. Harrison has also only faced struggling lineups lately, as Toronto is #30 in the current month in OPS with .609, while Minnesota is #23 with .672, so his good form might be a bit overrated. He generally struggles against Tampa Bay, with the Rays' roster hitting .333 BA and .892 OPS against him in 63 AB's and already in the current season, he has allowed fourteen hits and seven runs to Tampa Bay.

Even though Texas has some edge over Tampa Bay in terms of hitting, the truth is that Tampa Bay will have an edge in here in terms of starting pitching and especially bullpen. I don't think Texas should be such a clear favorite for this contest and therefore, I'll be taking the Rays tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 923 Tampa Bay Rays ML (w/ A. Cobb) @ +140 / 2.40 on Betonline

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