MLB Premium Play 07/30: Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers

MLB - 927 Washington Nationals @ 928 Detroit Tigers

(Starting Pitchers: S. Strasburg vs A. Sanchez)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

This is a game between two good SP's, but Anibal Sanchez hasn't been very sharp since he returned from the DL, with his FIP being higher than his ERA on his last four starts, where he faced struggling offenses like Kansas City and the White Sox. Washington is coming from a nice series against the Mets, where they regained some hitting form: Wilson Ramos is back at 100%, Bryce Harper looked good as well, while Denard Span also hit some homeruns. On the other side, the Nationals will start Stephen Strasburg, who had a disaster game right before the All Star break at Miami, but then he bounced back very well with dominating outings against the Dodgers and Pittsburgh, with a combined of 18/1 K/BB! This will be his first start against Detroit, while Sanchez is a well-known opponent of the Nationals, as he used to play for Florida/Miami. I believe Washington has a great chance for the upset tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here in a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 927 Washington Nationals ML (w/ S. Strasburg) @ +122 / 2.22 on Bovada

MLB Premium Play 07/30: Toronto Blue Jays @ Oakland Athletics

MLB - 925 Toronto Blue Jays @ 926 Oakland Athletics

(Starting Pitchers: M. Buehrle vs D. Straily)

Mark Buehrle will start for the Blue Jays tonight and he has been very consistent lately. He had just one poor start at Baltimore, where he allowed eight earned runs, but besides that, he has been quite consistent, even though he faced top teams like Tampa Bay twice and Boston. His only issue has been the home runs, but that shouldn't be a problem on a game played in a pitcher-friendly park like Oakland's. Buehrle has a 3.42 FIP and 3.23 xFIP in July and I believe he will do a good job tonight. Dan Straily will start for the A's and he got finally pounded on his last starts against the Angels, with five earned runs allowed in 4.1 innings. Prior to that, he had three "good starts" in a row, where his advanced numbers were in fact quite poor. He is now regressing and so, I believe Toronto's offense should be able to pound him tonight and turn this game into a very competitive one. I'm taking Toronto tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 925 Toronto Blue Jays RL +1 (w/ M. Buehrle) @ -109 / 1.92 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/30: Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles

MLB - 915 Houston Astros @ 916 Baltimore Orioles

(Starting Pitchers: L. Harrell vs W. Chen)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Lucas Harrell will replace Bud Norris tonight and he has been struggling so much as of late that he was sent into the bullpen. He allowed eight runs with a horrible 2/9 K/BB ratio in 11.1 innings over four appearances, so he is slumping right now and he is going to get pounded by Baltimore tonight. Harrell allowed 7 ER in two of his last three starts and tonight's game shouldn't be any better for him. On the other side, Baltimore will start Wei-Yin Chen, who has been in good form since returning from the DL, with 3, 1 and 1 earned runs allowed. Houston's offense was good on their previous series against Houston, but that was due Toronto's terrible pitching. Baltimore is coming from back to back poor series and with a day off yesterday, they will be ready to pound Harrell tonight and get a blowout win tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking the Orioles on the runline in here in a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 916 Baltimore Orioles RL -1.5 (w/ W. Chen) @ -125 / 1.80 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/30: Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres

MLB - 913 Cincinnati Reds @ 914 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: M. Latos vs E. Volquez)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Mat Latos will start for Cincinnati tonight and he is coming from a win against one of the hottest teams in the league right now: the Dodgers! Latos played well on his last six starts (only some problems against Pittsburgh) and this is impressive as he faced the Dodgers, Atlanta, Texas and Arizona during this span, with all games being on the road! His strikeout numbers were also quite impressive! On the other hand, Edinson Volquez has been quite the opposite, with a poor control and allowing 3, 3, 8 and 4 earned runs on his last four starts. Cincinnati is a patient offense (#4 in BB% with 9.0%), so they will make Volquez work tonight. I see Cincinnati having a huge SP edge tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here for an easy win in a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 913 Cincinnati Reds RL-1 (w/ M. Latos) @ -126 / 1.79 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/30: Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 909 Colorado Rockies @ 910 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: J. Nicasio vs A. Wood)

Rockies RH Juan Nicasio (6-4, 4.40 ERA) vs. Braves LH Alex Wood (0-2, 3.42)

Juan Nicasio got crushed at Boston and was demoted because of that. But then, he came back and had three good outings in a row while allowing 0, 1 and 0 earned runs in those games! This is especially impressive, as he faced two hot offensive teams during that span in the Dodgers and the Cubs. Therefore, I expect a decent start for Nicasio tonight. On the other side, Atlanta will start Alex Wood tonight, who got crushed against the Mets twice on his two starts in the majors. I believe Colorado will have a clear SP edge for tonight and so, I believe they will be competitive in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 909 Colorado Rockies RL +1 (w/ J. Nicasio) @ +105 / 2.05 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/30: St Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

MLB - 905 St Louis Cardinals @ 906 Pittsburgh Pirates

(Starting Pitchers: T. Lyons vs B. Cumpton)

Tyler Lyons will start for the Cardinals tonight and his last four starts in the Majors were terrible with 4, 6, 4 and 4 earned runs allowed. However, he has been terrific since his demotion to Triple-A, with a 1.33 ERA in 40.2 innings. Therefore, I believe he will do a good job tonight. On the other hand, Brandon Cumpton was recalled to the Pirates to play tonight's second game of a doubleheader, but he has been poor in Triple-A Indianapolis this season with a 4-7 record with a 3.69 ERA. Therefore, I believe St Louis will have a SP edge in here, while both offenses and bullpens are similar. So, I see good value in taking the Cardinals in tonight's contest.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 905 St Louis Cardinals ML (w/ T. Lyons) @ -116 / 1.86 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/29: Toronto Blue Jays @ Oakland Athletics

MLB - 965 Toronto Blue Jays @ 966 Oakland Athletics

(Starting Pitchers: E. Rogers vs A. Griffin)

Oakland will start A.J. Griffin tonight, who is coming from three runs allowed against Houston in 6.1 innings last Wednesday. He is coming from three subpar performances on his last four outings and it's important to note that even though he won his last outing, he still allowed two homeruns to the lowly Astros. Griffin has poor numbers against RH batters (4.86 FIP and 4.29 xFIP), so Reyes, Melky, Bautista and Encarnacion will be ready to pound him today, especially with Toronto's offense being #2 in the league over the last two weeks and #4 over the last month.

On the other side, Esmil Rogers is being Toronto's best pitcher. He had two poor outings against Tampa Bay over his last six games, but he dominated in his other four games, even though he faced the LA Dodgers, Cleveland, Detroit and Boston! Oakland is coming from a good offensive game yesterday against the Angels with 10 runs scored, but they have been average as of late on offense. With Toronto having a nice pitching and offensive edges tonight, I can see them making this game at least quite competitive and so, I'll be taking them tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 965 Toronto Blue Jays RL +1 (w/ E. Rogers) @ +100 / 2.00 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/29: Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers

MLB - 963 Los Angeles Angels @ 964 Texas Rangers

(Starting Pitchers: J. Weaver vs M. Garza)

Jered Weaver will start for the Angels tonight and he was dominant last Wednesday while shutting out the Twins over eight innings. He has been phenomenal in July by allowing one or fewer runs in four of his starts this month. On my rankings, he is the #2 SP in the league if we consider just the last six outings from each pitcher, with a 1.32 ERA, 2.39 FIP and 3.37 xFIP! Texas's offense has been struggling by being just #25 in the league in both L14 and L30 days, so Weaver should dominate tonight.

Matt Garza looked good in his debut with the Rangers last Wednesday by allowing one-run (zero earned) against the Yankees. However, it's important to note that Garza is struggling this season against RH batters with 4.07 FIP and 4.25 xFIP against them! This is very worrying against the Angels, who have a lineup full of righties. In fact, Garza allowed four earned runs against them in June, so I wouldn't be surprise if something similar happens tonight. I believe the Angels have a good shot to make the upset in here, so I'll be taking them tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963 Los Angeles Angels ML (w/ J. Weaver) @ +129 / 2.29 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/29: Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres

MLB - 959 Cincinnati Reds @ 960 San Diego Padres

(Starting Pitchers: M. Leake vs S. O'Sullivan)

Cincinnati's offense was horrible this weekend with .086, .069 and .188 BA on their last three games! They'll start Mike Leake tonight, a SP that is currently on my fade alert list. I faded him on his last start at San Francisco, in a game where the Giants were only able to score one run against Leake, even though they had 12 hits and 2 walks! Leake may have a 2.79 ERA, but his 4.10 FIP shows that he is ready to regress at any point now. San Diego's offense is #7 in the league over the last 14 days, so they are in good form and they should be able to cause problems to Leake tonight.

Sean O'Sullivan allowed just three runs (two earned) over 6.1 innings against the Brewers last Wednesday. He allowed two earned runs in each of his two starts and he has been decent until now. Also with the Reds' lineup slumping, O'Sullivan should be able to have another decent outing today. I believe San Diego is currently in better form than Cincinnati, so I expect them to make this game competitive. So, I'll be taking the Padres tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 960 San Diego Padres RL +1 (w/ S. O'Sullivan) @ +100 / 2.00 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/29: Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs

MLB - 957 Milwaukee Brewers @ 958 Chicago Cubs

(Starting Pitchers: K. Lohse vs J. Samardzija)

Jeff Samardzija will start for the Cubs tonight and he is coming from allowing four runs (three earned) against Arizona last Wednesday. His command is currently out of sorts, as his K/BB ratio shows with 5/5, 6/3, 5/2 and 3/5 K/BB on his last four outings! Therefore, I have him on my fade alert list and so, Milwaukee should be able to make some damage against him tonight.

Kyle Lohse is coming from a good outing last Wednesday, where he allowed just one run allowed in seven innings against San Diego. Lohse had a bad start at Arizona, where he allowed five earned runs, but he has since bounced back with 1 and 0 earned runs allowed against Miami and San Diego. I expect Lohse to continue his good outings tonight and with the Brewers' lineup, who regained some life lately, pounding Samardzija, I believe the Brewers will get a rare road win tonight. I'm taking Milwaukee in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 957 Milwaukee Brewers ML (w/ K. Lohse) @ +114 / 2.14 on Bovada

MLB Premium Play 07/29: Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 955 Colorado Rockies @ 956 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: J. De La Rosa vs B. Beachy)

Brandon Beachy returns to majors tonight, but he wasn't impressive on his rehab stint, especially because of an alarming 13.9% BB% on AAA over 30 innings, while also having a 4.57 FIP. Colorado's offense seems to have gotten out of their massive slump lately and so, I wouldn't be surprised if they welcome back Beachy tonight with some runs. 

Jorge De La Rosa is coming from six shutout innings against Miami last Wednesday. He has been very consistent lately and with the Braves' offense being just average over the past two weeks and coming off a big win last night against the Cardinals, I believe this is a good spot for De La Rosa to dominate. I see Colorado actually having a nice shot of pulling the upset in here, so I'll be taking the Rockies tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 955 Colorado Rockies ML (w/ J. De La Rosa) @ +126 / 2.26 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/29: St Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates

MLB - 951 St Louis Cardinals @ 952 Pittsburgh Pirates

(Starting Pitchers: J. Westbrook vs F. Liriano)

St Louis was swept by Atlanta this weekend and yesterday was the fourth game in a row where St Louis had a subpar offensive game with .172, .129, .069 and .250 BA! This is especially worrying for tonight, as Pittsburgh will have a tremendous SP edge on this contest. Francisco Liriano will start for Pittsburgh tonight and after a poor start at Cincinnati, where he allowed five earned runs, he crushed Washington after that with no runs allowed in 7.2 innings. His strikeout punch will also be a big weapon against the struggling Cardinals' lineup.

Jake Westbrook will start for St Louis in here and he has been very far from convincing me lately. He won a decision against Philadelphia, but his command has been terrible with a combined of 5/7 K/BB over his last three starts. His awful season numbers of 3.32 K/9 and 0.91 K/BB don't convince anyone and so, I don't believe that his 2.88 ERA will resist for a lot more time, especially when he has a 4.15 FIP and 4.65 xFIP! Westbrook is a ground ball guy, but Pittsburgh's offense is #9 in the league on grounders, so I believe they should pound Westbrook tonight. Pittsburgh's SP edge in here should be more than enough for them to pick up a comfortable win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 952 Pittsburgh Pirates ML (w/ F. Liriano) @ -145 / 1.69 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/28: St Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves

MLB - 905 St Louis Cardinals @ 906 Atlanta Braves

(Starting Pitchers: S. Miller vs K. Medlen)

St Louis will start Shelby Miller tonight, who is coming from six scoreless innings against Philadelphia last Tuesday. It was clear that Miller ended the first half of the season without any gas left in the tank (allowing 3, 2, 5 and 4 earned runs on his last four games prior to the break), but with 12 days of rest between games, he was able to bounce back and get back into his best form with a total domination against Philadelphia. He will have a good spot for tonight, he is an elite SP and his 9.63 K/9 ratio make him a tough matchup for Atlanta's lineup who is the #3 worst team in the league on K% with 22.5% K%!

Kris Medlen will start for Atlanta and he is coming from four runs allowed against the Mets last Tuesday. It's clear that Medlen has been struggling this season and if it wasn't for Hudson's season-ending injury and Medlen would probably be out of the rotation soon with Brandon Beachy ready to return. Over his last 27.2 innings, Medlen has posted a 6.51 ERA, 1.73 WHIP and a strikeout rate of just 14.7%! He seems to be lacking confidence right now and so, I expect him to struggle against the Cardinals tonight. St Louis will be looking to bounce back tonight after losing the first two games of this series and with such SP edge for tonight's game, I expect them to do exactly that. Therefore, I'll be taking the Cardinals in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 905 St Louis Cardinals ML (w/ S. Miller) @ -111 / 1.90 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/28: Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers

MLB - 929 Philadelphia Phillies @ 930 Detroit Tigers

(Starting Pitchers: J. Pettibone vs R. Porcello)

Rick Porcello will start for Detroit today and he is coming from allowing no runs over seven innings against the White Sox last Tuesday. He has been insanely good in July with a 1.35 ERA, well supported by a 3.14 FIP and 3.54 xFIP! He dominated the White Sox twice in a row and before that, he had also dominated the tough Rays and Indians! After some struggles earlier in the season, Porcello made some great adjustments and he will now have a favorable matchup against the Phillies, as Porcello only struggles against LH batters (.304 BA and .338 wOBA), but the Phillies will only have Jimmy Rollins and Chase Utley as decent LH batters in the lineup today:

1. Jimmy Rollins (S) SS

2. Michael Young (R) 3B

3. Chase Utley (L) DH

4. Darin Ruf (R) 1B

5. Kevin Frandsen (R) 2B

6. John Mayberry (R) CF

7. Laynce Nix (L) RF

8. Carlos Ruiz (R) C

9. Steve Susdorf (L) LF

Besides that, Philadelphia's offense is currently struggling badly by being #29 in the league over the past week, so Porcello has every condition to another great outing in here. On the other side, Jonathan Pettibone is coming from three runs allowed against St Louis last Tuesday. Pettibone has been overall decent, but he has some red flags as well. He is too hittable with a .270 BA and he also had some poor control lately, with 3, 4, 1 and 3 walks over his last four outings. Detroit's offense is #1 in the league on hitting with .279 BA and if Pettibone starts walking batters today, he will be quickly pounded in here. Therefore, I expect another easy win for the Tigers today and so, I'll be taking them on the runline in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 930 Detroit Tigers RL -1.5 (w/ R. Porcello) @ -120 / 1.83 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 07/28: Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles

MLB - 921 Boston Red Sox @ 922 Baltimore Orioles

(Starting Pitchers: J. Lester vs J. Hammel)

Jon Lester is starting for the Red Sox today and after a poor run of games, he bounced back right before the All Star break with good outings against San Diego and Oakland. After the break, he took advantage to fix some issues and he dominated Tampa Bay with two earned runs allowed in 6.1 innings, while having a great 8/0 K/BB ratio. The good news for Lester is that these three teams are top hitting teams against LH pitchers (Tampa Bay #1; Oakland #6; San Diego #5), so Lester is indeed back to his best. He will now face Baltimore, a team that is just #22 in the league versus LH pitchers with a .224 vs LHP on their last 10 games! So, Lester has every condition to dominate today.

Jason Hammel will start for Baltimore and he is currently struggling a lot: 5.24 ERA, 5.07 FIP, .279 BA and a lot of homeruns allowed with a 13.8 HR/FB rate. He had a recent good outing against the Yankees in July 7, but the Yankees' offense was horrible at the time! Now against the top hitting team of the Red Sox, who finally had a good offensive game yesterday, Hammel is getting pounded. Hammel struggles against LH batters with a .291 BA, .373 wOBA, 5.49 FIP and 5.13 xFIP this season and the Red Sox will be using six guys hitting from the left side in today's lineup:

1. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF

2. Shane Victorino (S) RF

3. Dustin Pedroia (R) 2B

4. David Ortiz (L) DH

5. Mike Napoli (R) 1B

6. Mike Carp (L) LF

7. Jarrod Saltalamacchia (S) C

8. Stephen Drew (L) SS

9. Jose Iglesias (R) 3B

With such a SP edge favoring the Red Sox today, I'll have to take them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 921 Boston Red Sox ML (w/ J. Lester) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/28: Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Indians

MLB - 915 Texas Rangers @ 916 Cleveland Indians

(Starting Pitchers: A. Ogando vs U. Jimenez)

Ubaldo Jimenez will start for the Indians today and he is coming from a loss against Seattle, even though he allowed just two runs over 5.2 innings. However, Jimenez keeps walking too many batters to be impressive in any of his starts. He had a 6/4, 2/2, 4/2 and 3/5 K/BB ratio over his last four outings for a combined of 15/13 K/BB! Thanks to this, his pitch counts are always very high and he is struggling to even get to the sixth innings on his games nowadays. Of course by walking so many batters, Ubaldo is constantly in danger to getting pounded and even though he got away with it on his last game against Texas (1 earned run allowed with 4 walks in five innings), I don't believe he will be as lucky today.

Alexi Ogando will be Texas's SP for today and he is coming from a decent outing against the Yankees last Tuesday, where he allowed three runs in five innings. This was Ogando's return game after being on the DL due to a shoulder injury. Ogando has good numbers against LH batters with just .186 BA, .248 wOBA and 3.78 FIP, so he should be able to limit the damage against Cleveland today. Thanks to that, he has great numbers against the Indians' roster with just .143 BA and .396 OPS allowed in 42 AB's! With Ogando being decent today and with Jimenez struggling, I believe Texas should win today's game.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 915 Texas Rangers ML (w/ A. Ogando) @ -111 / 1.90 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/27: Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers

MLB - 979 Philadelphia Phillies @ 980 Detroit Tigers

(Starting Pitchers: R. Valdes vs M. Scherzer)

This match is a complete mismatch favoring Detroit. The Tigers will start Max Scherzer, who finally lost a decision right before the All Star break, but he bounced back very well at Chicago against the White Sox on his first start after the break with two earned runs allowed in eight innings, while having a great 5/0 K/BB command! Scherzer is a Cy Young contender and he should have no problems against the struggling Phillies' lineup. Philadelphia had a decent offensive run when they had four decent batters who were hitting from the left side on the lineup at the same time (Revere, Utley, Rollins and Brown), but with Brown and Revere injured, Philadelphia's offense collapsed and they are #26 in the league over the last 7 days!

On the other side, Raul Valdes will start for the Phillies, replacing Cliff Lee. He is a LH pitcher who will face a team that is #3 on hitting versus LH pitchers this season and #1 at home! After 21.1 innings played coming from the bullpen, Valdes has a poor 7.59 ERA with a BA above .300! I doubt that he will go deep in tonight's game, as he lacks stamina for that and he will struggle as well. Thanks to that, Philadelphia's poor bullpen (#28 in the league) will be exposed by the Tigers' top offense. Therefore, I expect a complete domination from the Tigers tonight and so, I'll be taking them on the runline in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 980 Detroit Tigers RL -1.5 (w/ M. Scherzer) @ -125 / 1.80 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 07/27: Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers

MLB - 963 Cincinnati Reds @ 964 Los Angeles Dodgers

(Starting Pitchers: B. Arroyo vs H. Ryu)

I faded Hyun-Jin Ryu on his last outing at Arizona, but his offense saved him, as he allowed five earned runs in five innings. Even though Ryu showed good promise early in the season, this is his first season in the MLB and he is starting to wear down a bit. This has been clear on his month-by-month split stats:

April: 30.3% K%, 6.6% BB%, .232 BA

May: 15.4% K%, 8.8% BB%, .210 BA

June: 13.9% K%, 8.3% BB%, .280 BA

July: 12.0% K%, 9.3% BB%, .294 BA

Less strikeouts, more walks and also more hittable! To make things worse for Ryu, he has been facing subpar teams on hitting versus LH pitchers and he still struggled:

TOR     #15 w/ .707

ARI      #17 w/ .704

SF 2x    #21 w/ .697

PHI      #13 w/ .708

NYY      #28 w/ .650

Now against Cincinnati who is #5 with .732 OPS, I believe Ryu will struggle big time in here.

On the other side, Bronson Arroyo is coming from a complete game shutdown against San Francisco last Monday. Arroyo has the tendency to struggle against LH batters with .286 BA, .348 wOBA, 5.23 FIP and 4.67 xFIP, so this is why his two worst starts on his last ten games were against Oakland and Cleveland, two teams full of LH batters. This isn't the case with the Dodgers, who have just three LH regular hitters in Crawford, Gonzalez and Ethier. Arroyo also has some issues with homeruns, but that won't be a problem on LA's pitcher-friendly park. Arroyo is coming from facing three hot offenses in a row (San Francisco, Atlanta, Seattle) and he played well in all of them. Therefore, I expect him to have another good outing tonight, while Ryu should struggle, giving the Reds a lot of value as underdogs tonight. I'm taking Cincinnati in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963 Cincinnati Reds ML (w/ B. Arroyo) @ +117 / 2.17 on Bovada

MLB Premium Play 07/27: Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees

MLB - 967 Tampa Bay Rays @ 968 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: C. Archer vs I. Nova)

Tampa Bay took advantage yesterday of the fact that they have the best offense in the league versus LH pitchers and pounded C.C. Sabathia. Even though it was an easy win for the Rays, it was interesting to see the Yankees's offense to be decent with six runs in eleven hits! For today's game, I expect things to be different, as the Yankees will have a SP edge in here. Ivan Nova will start for them and he has been very solid since he returned from the DL. He had a FIP and xFIP below 3.50 in June and July, while also having K% numbers above 20%! This is particularly impressive, as Nova had a tough schedule with starts against Tampa Bay, Baltimore and even a road start at Texas on his last outing. Unlike Sabathia, Nova is currently in good form and he should have a good outing in here.

On the other hand, the Rays will start Chris Archer, who is currently on my fade alert list. I faded him on his last outing at Toronto by saying that his three previous "quality" outings in a row had happened against favorable matchup, as he faced Houston twice and also Minnesota. Archer allowed just one earned run against the Blue Jays, but his 1/4 K/BB ratio was shockingly bad. This is why Archer had a 4.90 FIP and 7.70 xFIP in that game. Therefore, I expect Archer to finally start regressing today, especially now that the Yankees are showing some offensive life once again. So, I'll be taking the NY team as home underdogs today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 968 New York Yankees ML (w/ I. Nova) @ +104 / 2.04 on Bovada

MLB Premium Play 07/26: Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners

MLB - 927 Minnesota Twins @ 928 Seattle Mariners

(Starting Pitchers: S. Diamond vs F. Hernandez)

Seattle is according to my numbers the #2 offense in the league over the last month and they will have in the mount tonight Felix Hernandez, the best SP in the edge according to my rankings. Therefore, this is an absolutely lethal combination. Minnesota's offense has been struggling and with the also struggling Scott Diamond on the mount tonight, I don't expect miracles to happen in here. The red hot Mariners should win tonight's game very easily and so, I'll be taking them on the runline in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 928 Seattle Mariners RL -1.5 (w/ F. Hernandez) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

MLB Premium Play 07/26: Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees

MLB - 919 Tampa Bay Rays @ 920 New York Yankees

(Starting Pitchers: J. Hellickson vs C. Sabathia)

Tampa Bay's offense is currently red hot and they are #1 in the league on hitting versus LH pitchers! In fact, they are hitting .291 BA versus LH pitchers over their last 10 games! They will face C.C. Sabathia, who has been struggling with his mechanics lately. In fact, he had 8.65, 5.30 and 5.27 FIP on his last three outings, very poor numbers! Sabathia's problems are just mechanical, as he has been lacking some speed on his pitches as well and the red hot Rays will take advantage of that tonight.

On the other side, Jeremy Hellickson will start for Tampa Bay and he has been on a roll lately. He had a tough schedule by facing Toronto twice, Detroit and Boston in four of his last six games, but he was excellent in all of these games! He is yet to face the Yankees this season and with the NY team's offense struggling all season long (#26 in the league L14 days), I can only expect Hellickson to have another good start tonight. I believe Tampa Bay will have a SP and offensive edge in here, so I'll be taking them tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 919 Tampa Bay Rays ML (w/ J. Hellickson) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/26: Texas Rangers @ Cleveland Indians

MLB - 917 Texas Rangers @ 918 Cleveland Indians

(Starting Pitchers: M. Perez vs C. Kluber)

Martin Perez will start for Texas tonight and he is coming from allowing four earned runs in 6.1 innings against Baltimore. Perez's last two starts weren't indeed very good. He struggled against Detroit, with five earned runs allowed in 5.2 innings and then, he struggled against the Orioles, a team that is generally a poor hitting team versus LH pitchers like Perez. Tonight things will be tough for the Rangers' SP, as Cleveland is #2 in my ranking on hitting versus LH pitchers. Perez will have a tough matchup tonight and so, I expect him to struggle in here.

Corey Kluber left his last start Saturday with stiffness in his left arm, but he threw a bullpen session last Tuesday with no issues. He has been very impressive lately, with no earned runs allowed on his last two outings against Kansas City and at Minnesota. Prior to that, he had also dominated the Tigers with 10 strikeouts! Texas's offense has been poor as of late by being #23 in the league over the last 14 days and #21 over the last 30 days! Therefore, I expect Kluber to have another quality outing tonight, while helping his team in picking up a comfortable win in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 918 Cleveland Indians ML (w/ C. Kluber) @ -122 / 1.82 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/26: Houston Astros @ Toronto Blue Jays

MLB - 915 Houston Astros @ 916 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: J. Lyles vs R. Dickey)

Houston will start Jordan Lyles tonight, who started the season well, but he is now struggling big time with a 4.64 FIP, 10.0% K% and 8.8% BB% in July. He is more than likely to get pounded tonight by Toronto's lineup. On the other side, R.A. Dickey has finally a nice matchup to bounce back, after a very tough schedule, where he faced Tampa Bay, Cleveland, Detroit, Tampa Bay against and Baltimore in five of his last six games. With a clear SP and offensive edges tonight, I expect Toronto to pick up an easy win tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking the Blue Jays on the runline tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 916 Toronto Blue Jays RL -1.5 (w/ R. Dickey) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 07/26: Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers

MLB - 911 Cincinnati Reds @ 912 Los Angeles Dodgers

(Starting Pitchers: H. Bailey vs C. Kershaw)

Homer Bailey will be the Reds' SP for tonight and he has been struggling a bit since his no-hitter. He allowed three earned runs against Pittsburgh on his last outing, while throwing 121 pitches, so this is a poor spot for him. Over his last 10 games, he had a similar spot when he threw 120 pitches at Chicago against the Cubs and then, with four days of rest like for tonight, he allowed six earned runs on his following game against the Brewers over seven innings! Prior to that, he had another game where he threw 116 pitches also against the Cubs and then, on his following start, he allowed seven earned runs against Cleveland in just 3.2 innings! It's clear that Bailey really struggles on this kind of spot and so, I believe he will have problems tonight.

Clayton Kershaw had an easy schedule on his last six starts, but the truth is that he has been amazing and the 2.01 season ERA doesn't lie! He is coming from just 97 pitches thrown on his last outing at Washington, so he is fresh for tonight's game. I believe the Dodgers will have a clear SP edge in tonight's game and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 912 Los Angeles Dodgers RL -1 (w/ C. Kershaw) @ -127 / 1.79 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/26: Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies

MLB - 907 Milwaukee Brewers @ 908 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: W. Peralta vs T. Chatwood)

Wily Peralta will start for the Brewers tonight and he has been great lately with 0, 1, 0 and 0 earned runs allowed on his last four outings! He had an easy schedule, but the truth is that the Rockies' offense is currently slumping so much that tonight's game shouldn't be a tough one for Peralta neither. On the other side, Tyler Chatwood will start for Colorado tonight and he is coming from allowing just two runs (one earned) against the Cubs last Sunday. However, he was lucky in that game as even though he had a 1.50 ERA in that outing, the advanced numbers tell another story with 6.55 FIP and 4.85 xFIP! Therefore, I believe the super red hot Peralta will give Milwaukee some SP edge tonight and considering how much the Rockies' lineup has been struggling, I believe the Brewers should make this contest a close one. Therefore, I'll be taking Milwaukee on the runline in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 907 Milwaukee Brewers RL +1 (w/ W. Peralta) @ -116 / 1.86 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/26: Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins

MLB - 903 Pittsburgh Pirates @ 904 Miami Marlins

(Starting Pitchers: J. Locke vs H. Alvarez)

Miami will start Henderson Alvarez tonight, who is coming from allowing no runs against Milwaukee. He has been a groundball machine and he is yet to allow a homerun in the majors this season. On the other side, Pittsburgh will start Jeff Locke, who keeps showing his wild control on his outings, with 6/4, 4/3, 2/3, 4/2 and 3/3 K/BB on his last five games! However, it's important to note that he has been close to unhittable with a .191 BA! Besides some luck that Locke has been having, the truth is that the Pirates' great defense has been helping a lot as well. But he won't be lucky the whole season and he will eventually regress at one point. I believe Miami with Alvarez tonight should be able to keep things close in here and so, I don't see Pittsburgh getting a SP edge tonight. So, I'll be taking the Marlins tonight on the runline for the first five innings of the game.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 904 Miami Marlins RL +0.5 FIRST FIVE INNINGS @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes

MLB 07/25 Premium Card

MLB - 963 Cincinnati Reds @ 964 Los Angeles Dodgers

(Starting Pitchers: M. Latos vs Z. Greinke)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 963 Cincinnati Reds ML (w/ M. Latos) @ +107 / 2.07 on Bovada

MLB - 971 Tampa Bay Rays @ 972 Boston Red Sox

(Starting Pitchers: J. Hellickson vs J. Lackey)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 972 Boston Red Sox ML (w/ J. Lackey) @ -124 / 1.81 on 5Dimes

MLB - 973 Baltimore Orioles @ 974 Kansas City Royals

(Starting Pitchers: M. Gonzalez vs J. Guthrie)

***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 973 Baltimore Orioles ML (w/ M. Gonzalez) @ -129 / 1.78 on 5Dimes

MLB - 975 Los Angeles Angels @ 976 Oakland Athletics

(Starting Pitchers: C. Wilson vs D. Straily)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 975 Los Angeles Angels ML (w/ C. Wilson) @ +100 / 2.00 on 5Dimes

MLB - 977 Minnesota Twins @ 978 Seattle Mariners

(Starting Pitchers: K. Correia vs H. Iwakuma)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 978 Seattle Mariners RL -1.5 (w/ H. Iwakuma) @ +115 / 2.15 on 5Dimes

WNBA Free Premium Play 07/25: New York Liberty @ San Antonio Silver Stars

WNBA - 653 New York Liberty @ 654 San Antonio Silver Stars

Projected Line: 144 points

This is a bad spot for the Liberty with just 1 day of rest and then a travel between Indiana and San Antonio to play an early game today. Both teams have been struggling on offense lately. The Liberty is coming from a huge win at Indiana, where they had a great second half. The key for this game was Cappie Pondexter, who had an incredible game with 8-16 FG, 5-5 FT, 24 points and 4 assists. The problem for today's game is that Pondexter played 38 minutes in that game and so, she's likely to be still tired today. New York doesn't have a post game who can pound San Antonio's poor and undersized interior defense, so Cappie will need to carry the team's offense on her own again and this should be problematic for the Liberty.

On the other side, if the Silver Stars were already shorthanded, they are even worse now without Milton-Jones. San Antonio's offensive threats are in the backcourt on the guards Adams and Perkins, two one-dimensional players, who will make the Liberty have a similar defensive approach on this game. This will be a jump shooting game and with the Liberty being #4 in the league on 3pts defense with 31% 3pts allowed and San Antonio #6 with 31.9% 3pts, I expect this game to be a poor low-scoring affair and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 653/654 Under 147,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline

WNBA Free Premium Play 07/25: Indiana Fever @ Tulsa Shock

WNBA - 651 Indiana Fever @ 652 Tulsa Shock

Projected Line: 148 points

I believe that we have in here a good matchup that will favor both offenses. These two teams are now playing better offense right now than they were earlier on the season. Tulsa is finally showing some decent chemistry between their great frontcourt of Glory Johnson and Liz Cambage, something that has been allowing them to dominate their opponents lately! The Shock are coming from a game against Atlanta where they scored 56 points in the paint, with Johnson and Cambage combining 17-24 FG, 47 points and 25 rebounds! For today's game, they will face one of the most undersized teams in the league and so, they should pound Indiana down low in here.

However, Indiana will also have some key edges on offense today. First of all, their defense is so aggressive that they lead the league in turnovers forced. Tulsa is a turnover-prone team (16.0% TO/rate), so the Fever should have an edge in here. Indiana is basically a jump shooting team that will have a good mismatch in here with Tamika Catchings playing at the PF position and as good as Tulsa's frontcourt is, they are slow and they struggle in defending quick players. So, it wasn't a surprise that on the first game between these two teams this season, a shorthanded Indiana team still scored 80 points, with Tamika dominating with 9-18 FG, 9-9 FT, 28 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists and 6 steals! I expect a relatively good offensive game in here and so, I'll be taking the Over on this contest.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 651/652 Over 145 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 07/24: Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB - 911 Chicago Cubs @ 912 Arizona Diamondbacks

(Starting Pitchers: J. Samardzija vs I. Kennedy)

We have a huge pitching edge for the Cubs on this matchup. Jeff Samardzija used the extra rest on the All Star break to make some mechanic tweaks on his pitches and he owned Colorado on his first start of the second half of the season. He allowed just one earned run in 7.1 innings, with six strikeouts and ten groundballs. Arizona had a big offensive night yesterday, but they are a below average offense right now by being #24 in the league over the last 14 days and #26 over the last month.

On the other side, Ian Kennedy is on fade alert right now. I successfully faded him on his last outing at San Francisco and even though he allowed just two earned runs in that game, his command was poor with a 3/3 K/BB ratio. This problem with his command has been recurrent and I believe the Cubs with their young kids on the rotation will pound him today, as the Cubs are hitting .352 wOBA on their last 7 games (#5 in the league)! I believe the Cubs will be competitive tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 911 Chicago Cubs RL +1 (w/ J. Samardzija) @ -127 / 1.79 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/24: Baltimore Orioles @ Kansas City Royals

MLB - 925 Baltimore Orioles @ 926 Kansas City Royals

(Starting Pitchers: W. Chen vs E. Santana)

Baltimore's offense is a top team (#5) versus RH pitchers, but they are just #22 against LH pitchers. The good news is that they will face a RH pitchers tonight and they are hitting .306 BA against RH pitchers on their last 10 games! They will face Erwin Santana tonight, who, after three subpar starts, bounced back and dominated the Tigers with a stellar 7.1 shutout innings. However, the Orioles' offense is possibly the worst matchup possible for him. Santana struggles against home runs and his 12.4% HR/FB rate is mediocre and these are terrible news for him against the team that is #1 on ISO power with .179! Therefore, I expect Santana to struggle tonight.

Baltimore will start Wei-Yin Chen, who dominated the Rangers on his return from the DL. It's also tough to dominate teams on back to back spots, but the truth is that Chen faced Texas twice in a row and dominated them in both games! Kansas City's offense is struggling against LH pitchers with a subpar .203 BA on their last 10 games against LH pitchers, so I expect Chen to have another good outing tonight. With such SP and offensive edges in here for Baltimore, I believe they will win tonight's game.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 925 Baltimore Orioles ML (w/ W. Chen) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/24: Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants

MLB - 913 Cincinnati Reds @ 914 San Francisco Giants

(Starting Pitchers: M. Leake vs C. Gaudin)

The Giants are home dogs in here, but I don't agree with the notion that Leake is a better SP than Gaudin, as not only the latter has actually better advanced numbers than Leake, as the Reds' SP for tonight's game has been struggling as of late. Leake had just two quality outings over his last six, with one of them being against the struggling Rangers' offense. Leake's last three outings are especially worrying with poor K/BB ratios of 5/2, 2/4 and 2/1! To make things worse for him tonight, San Francisco's roster is hitting .351 BA and .990 OPS in 77 AB's against him! Therefore, I believe Leake will struggle tonight.

On the other side, Chad Gaudin is coming from four consecutive good starts with 0, 1, 1 and 0 earned runs allowed! He impressed especially against the red hot Dodgers with one earned run allowed on just seven innings, while having a great 9/1 K/BB! Gaudin's 2.23 ERA won't last forever, but his 2.95 FIP, 3.61 xFIP and 3.61 SIERA show that he has been indeed great. Therefore, I believe the Giants will have a slight edge on SP tonight, so I see them having great value as home dogs in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 914 San Francisco Giants ML (w/ C. Gaudin) @ +103 / 2.03 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/24: Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets

MLB - 903 Atlanta Braves @ 904 New York Mets

(Starting Pitchers: T. Hudson vs J. Hefner)

This is a nice bounce back spot for Atlanta on a favorable matchup. They will face Jeremy Hefner tonight, who was on a nice streak, until he got pounded on his first start after the All-Star break, where he pitched for just two innings against Philadelphia with eight earned runs allowed. Hefner has some issues with home runs with a 11.6% HR/FB rate and I believe Atlanta's power lineup will cause him problems in here. Hefner struggles versus LH batters (.377 wOBA, 5.79 FIP and 4.87 xFIP) and so, Heyward, Freeman and McCain are likely to make Hefner struggle tonight.

On the other hand, Atlanta will start Tim Hudson tonight, who has been struggling here and there, but he has been consistent lately. Hudson is coming from three great outings (2.77, 2.48 and 1.90 FIP L3 starts), including a dominating outing against Philadelphia with just one earned run allowed in seven innings. I believe Atlanta will have a pitching, hitting and spot edge tonight over the Mets, so I'll be taking the Braves in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 903 Atlanta Braves ML (w/ T. Hudson) @ -135 / 1.74 on Betonline

WNBA 07/24 Premium Card

WNBA - 605 Connecticut Sun @ 606 Atlanta Dream

Projected Line: 155 points

NOTE: No writeup for this play

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 605/606 Over 151 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

MLB 07/23 Premium Card

MLB - 959 Miami Marlins @ 906 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: J. Fernandez vs J. Chacin)

NOTE: No writeup for this contest

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 906 Colorado Rockies RL -1 (w/ J. Chacin) @ -116 / 1.86 on 5Dimes

MLB - 965 Tampa Bay Rays @ 966 Boston Red Sox

(Starting Pitchers: R. Hernandez vs J. Lester)

Tampa Bay will start Roberto Hernandez tonight and he is coming from three runs allowed in six innings against Houston. This was his fourth start in a row where Hernandez allowed exactly three earned starts. However, he faced the Astros twice and Minnesota on his last three games, so he had an easy schedule. Things will be much tougher for him tonight against the Red Sox, who got shutdown yesterday. Hernandez's struggles against LH batters are well documented, as he is allowing .291 BA, .377 wOBA, 5.63 FIP and 4.02 xFIP versus LH batters this season! Boston knows this and they still start six players tonight who can hit from the left side! 

1. Shane Victorino (S) CF

2. Daniel Nava (S) RF

3. Dustin Pedroia (R) 2B

4. David Ortiz (L) DH

5. Mike Napoli (R) 1B

6. Mike Carp (L) LF

7. Jarrod Saltalamacchia (S) C

8. Stephen Drew (L) SS

9. Jose Iglesias (R) 3B

The Red Sox will start Jon Lester tonight, who is coming to this game with some extra rest, after being scratched from his scheduled start last Sunday because of "general wear and tear". This was just a precautionary move and Lester should be fine for tonight. He had two poor starts at Seattle and Detroit on his last six games, but these two teams are on fire right now. This will be the fourth game against the Rays this season for Lester, with him dominating in two of them and highly struggle in June at Tampa Bay. Now at home, I expect Lester to have a decent outing, while the Red Sox pound Hernandez on a nice bounce back spot for him. Therefore, I'll be taking Boston in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 966 Boston Red Sox ML (w/ J. Lester) @ -136 / 1.74 on Betonline

MLB - 969 Baltimore Orioles @ 970 Kansas City Royals

(Starting Pitchers: J. Hammel vs B. Chen)

NOTE: No Writeup for this contest

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 970 Kansas City Royals ML (w/ B. Chen) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada

MLB - 975 Minnesota Twins @ 976 Los Angeles Angels

(Starting Pitchers: K. Gibson vs T. Hanson)

NOTE: No writeup for this contest

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 976 Los Angeles Angels RL -1 (w/ T. Hanson) @ -120 / 1.83 on 5Dimes

MLB 07/22 Premium Card

MLB - 913 Tampa Bay Rays @ 914 Boston Red Sox

(Starting Pitchers: M. Moore vs B. Workman)

NOTE: write ups will be back tomorrow, good luck

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 913 Tampa Bay Rays ML (w/ M. Moore) @ -125 / 1.80 on 5Dimes

MLB 07/21 Premium Card

MLB - 963 Chicago Cubs @ 964 Colorado Rockies

(Starting Pitchers: E. Jackson vs T. Chatwood)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 964 Colorado Rockies RL -1 (w/ T. Chatwood) @ -113 / 1.89 on 5Dimes

MLB - 965 Tampa Bay Rays @ 966 Toronto Blue Jays

(Starting Pitchers: C. Archer vs R. Dickey)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 966 Toronto Blue Jays ML (w/ R. Dickey) @ -117 / 1.86 on Betonline

MLB - 967 Detroit Tigers @ 968 Kansas City Royals

(Starting Pitchers: D. Fister vs J. Shields)

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 968 Kansas City Royals ML (w/ J. Shields) @ +109 / 2.09 on Bovada

MLB - 969 Cleveland Indians @ 970 Minnesota Twins

(Starting Pitchers: J. Masterson vs S. Diamond)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 969 Cleveland Indians ML (w/ J. Masterson) @  -136 / 1.74 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 07/20: Cleveland Indians @ Minnesota Twins

MLB - 921 Cleveland Indians @ 922 Minnesota Twins

(Starting Pitchers: C. Kluber vs K. Correia)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Cleveland will start Corey Kluber tonight, one of the most underrated pitchers in the league. His 3.88 ERA doesn't impress that much, but his 3.50 FIP, 3.04 xFIP and 3.22 SIERA show that he is a top pitcher. He had a bunch of starts where he struggled, especially at Kansas City, but the truth is that he has been having a tough schedule lately and dominated, especially on his last two outings prior to the All Star break. Not only he dominated Detroit with two earned runs allowed in 6.1 innings, as he got revenge from Kansas City with no runs allowed in 7.2 innings! He had 7 days off to prepare tonight's game and I can only expect another good outing for Kluber tonight.

On the other side, Minnesota will start Kevin Correia in here and I can say that he is on fade alert mode right now. His command has been horrible with 6/5, 3/3, 3/3 and 2/2 K/BB ratio on his last four outings and this is a huge problem against a Cleveland, a team that is #3 on the league in BB% with 9.3% this season, while they are even #1 in the league with 10.8% BB% over the last 30 games! If that wasn't enough, Correia struggles a lot against LH batters with .302 BA and .357 wOBA allowed! As usual, Cleveland will present a lineup full of LH batters tonight:

1. Michael Bourn (L) CF

2. Asdrubal Cabrera (S) SS

3. Jason Kipnis (L) 2B

4. Nick Swisher (S) RF

5. Michael Brantley (L) LF

6. Carlos Santana (S) C

7. Jason Giambi (L) DH

8. Mark Reynolds (R) 1B

9. Lonnie Chisenhall (L) 3B

That's eight guys hitting from the left side! With Correia walking so many batters and then being so hittable against LH batters, it's not a surprise that one of his worst starts of the season was against Cleveland, with 7.20 ERA, 8.45 FIP and 5.50 xFIP! With Kluber looking good on the other side, we can only expect an easy win for Cleveland tonight with such a SP edge! Therefore, I'll be taking the Indians in here in a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 921 Cleveland Indians ML (w/ C. Kluber) @ -123 / 1.81 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/20: Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers

MLB - 907 Miami Marlins @ 908 Milwaukee Brewers

(Starting Pitchers: N. Eovaldi vs Y. Gallardo)

Nate Eovaldi is probably the most overrated SP in the league right now, as even though he has a 2.93 ERA, he has a 4.01 FIP, 4.62 xFIP and 5.00 SIERA! His command has been horrible with 5/4, 3/3 and 0/3 K/BB on his last three starts! Milwaukee's offense might be horrible on the road, but the story is completely different at home! Therefore, I expect the Brewers to expose Eovaldi's struggles tonight and pound him. 

Yovani Gallardo will start for the Brewers tonight and he has been quite inconsistent as usual. He is coming from a nice last start at Arizona and with 8 days off to rest between starts, I believe that he has a good spot to look good tonight. Miami's offense is back into their regular (poor) level by being #26 in the league over their last 7 games, so I believe Gallardo will look decent tonight. With Gallardo out of trouble and with Eovaldi struggling, I believe Milwaukee will pick up a comfortable win tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 908 Milwaukee Brewers RL -1 (w/ Y. Gallardo) @ -119 / 1.84 on 5Dimes

MLB Premium Play 07/20: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Washington Nationals

MLB - 905 Los Angeles Dodgers @ 906 Washington Nationals

(Starting Pitchers: Z. Greinke vs G. Gonzalez)

Washington lost last night's game because of their lack of efficiency, as they went 1-9 on RISP against Ricky Nolasco yesterday. I believe that the Nationals are being underrated in tonight's game, as the pitching duel is very favorable to them. Zack Greinke will start for the Dodgers in here and he is being very inconsistent this season, while being really subpar on the road with a 5.03 ERA, 4.12 FIP and 4.45 xFIP! However, the truth is that Greinke had two super outings on his last two games with no runs allowed in seven innings at Arizona and in a complete game against Colorado. These were definitely good performances, but let's not forget that both Arizona and Colorado are currently #28 and #30 in offense over the past 14 games! Therefore, I believe the Nationals will eventually put Greinke in some trouble tonight.

On the other hand, Gio Gonzalez has been very solid lately. He is allowing just .205 BA this season and so, it's very hard to create big damage against him, even though his command lets him down at times. His worst starts of the season were connected to a high number of walks, but even though the Dodgers are hitting well right now, the truth is that they don't have a patient lineup with a 7.5% BB% (#22) over the last 14 games and 5.9% BB% (#23) over the last 7 games! Therefore, Gio Gonzalez has in the Dodgers a great matchup and so, he should dominate tonight. I expect a bounce back game for the Nationals in here, with the solid pitching of Gio Gonzalez leading the way. Therefore, I'll be taking Washington tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 906 Washington Nationals ML (w/ G. Gonzalez) @ -132 / 1.76 on Bookmaker

MLB Premium Play 07/20: Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets

MLB - 901 Philadelphia Phillies @ 902 New York Mets

(Starting Pitchers: C. Hamels vs Z. Wheeler)

Philadelphia will start Cole Hamels today and he has been amazing on his last three outings by going deep in all of them (7, 8 and 8ip) and allowing just 2, 1 and 1 earned runs. His command was also great in these outings with a combined of 19/1 K/BB ratio! Hamels faced the Mets prior to these outings that turned his season around and he struggled with four earned runs allowed in six innings. Now that he is in good form, I expect Hamels to dominate the Mets today.

Zack Wheeler is coming from two wins where he allowed just one earned run on each outing, but his control has been terrible with 5/3 K/BB at San Francisco and 3/3 K/BB at Milwaukee! Wheeler's command has been really poor this season with a 1.31 K/BB ratio this season and so, I can expect Philadelphia to end up punishing Wheeler's poor control in here sooner or later. 

Philadelphia is now carrying some good momentum and they are now one game above 0.500 for the first time this season! They have a tremendous SP edge on this contest and so, I expect them to pick up a comfortable win today.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 901 Philadelphia Phillies ML (w/ C. Hamels) @ -140 / 1.71 on 5Dimes

WNBA Premium Play 07/20: Connecticut Sun @ San Antonio Silver Stars

WNBA - 651 Connecticut Sun @ 652 San Antonio Silver Stars

Projected Line: Connecticut by 4 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 651 Connecticut Sun (+1.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

WNBA Free Premium Play 07/20: Los Angeles Sparks @ Seattle Storm

WNBA - 655 Los Angeles Sparks @ 656 Seattle Storm

Projected Line: 154 points

The first thing that comes to my mind about this game is that this isn't a good physical spot for the Sparks. They had back to back games at home against Atlanta and Phoenix, while they will play tonight at Seattle on their third game in four nights! The Sparks surprisingly lost at home against Phoenix, so they won't come relaxed for tonight's game. They will come fired up and completely focused for this game. 

Seattle's defense isn't that amazing elite defense that it was in the previous seasons and they allowed Tulsa to shoot 57.4% FG on their last game. The Storm are #9 in the league on defensive rating with 103.2 and the main reason for these defensive problems are related with their lack of inside presence, as in order to defend their opponents down low, they need to foul and this is why they are the team in the league that allows more FT attempts to their opponents with an incredible 32% FT rate! This is especially worrying against the LA Sparks, whose offense is #2 in the league on this department.

So, the question in here will be Seattle's offense. The Storm will be looking for a bounce back after a pathetic 59 points scored against Tulsa on their last game and so, we can expect Seattle to be aggressive tonight and try to get more FT attempts than usual against the tired Sparks, who are on a tough spot tonight. Therefore, I believe this game will actually be a relatively high scoring game and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 655/656 Over 150 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline