Wednesday, August 29, 2012

MLB Premium Play 08/28: Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles


MLB - 969 Chicago White Sox @ 970 Baltimore Orioles

(Starting Pitchers: C. Sale vs C. Tillman)

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

After yesterday's game where both SP did a very very good, the White Sox will start their ace Sale to keep the good pitching on this series from them. Sale is coming from a great outing against the Yankees, where he stroke out 13 batters, while allowing just one run on three hits in 7.2 IP. He struggled a bit in previous outings against powerful offenses like Detroit and Texas on the road plus a game in Kansas City, where the Royals took advantage of knowing him very well from previous games. With Baltimore neither having a powerful offense like Texas and Detroit or the experience of having faced Sale before, so with Sale having regained his confidence against a great start against the Yankees, I expect him to have another quality outing tonight.

On the other hand, Tillman was supposed to start Sunday against Toronto, but with the postponement of that game, he is starting tonight. He had 6 days to rest and even though he has posted four quality starts in seven outings since the All-Star break, with a 5-1 record, 4.29 ERA, 1.262 WHIP and 34/11 K/BB ratio, I'm not confident that he will have a good performance tonight. The truth is that he struggled when he faced top offensive teams, especially on his fast ball (-1.68 value), while his changed up (+2.41 value) has been saving him from tough situations at times. However, the White Sox have been ridiculously good in August against fast balls with +0.97 (#1 in the league), while they are also good against change ups with +2.51 (#4). Therefore, they have the right hitting combination to put Tillman in a lot of trouble tonight.

With the White Sox trying to bounce back tonight after yesterday's loss, while having a clear SP and hitting edge, I believe they will have a comfortable win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here. Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 969 Chicago White Sox ML (w/ C. Sale) @ -133 / 1.75 on Betonline

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