Sunday, August 26, 2012

MLB Premium Play 08/25: New York Yankees @ Cleveland Indians


MLB - 921 New York Yankees @ 922 Cleveland Indians

(Starting Pitchers: H. Kuroda vs J. Masterson)

The Yankees will start Kuroda tonight, who has been amazing lately, and he allowed just one run and six hits on his last 17 innings! Kuroda is amazing against RH hitters with .208 BA, 3.04 FIP and 2.91 xFIP, however he struggles with LH hitters with .260 BA, 4.24 FIP and 4.32 xFIP! He will face tonight a Cleveland lineup with 6 LH hitters plus 2 switch hitters, so Kuroda will have to pitch against 8 lefties tonight, so this will likely be a tough night for Kuroda.

But it won't be any easier for Masterson, who will start tonight for Cleveland. He is coming from seven runs allowed in 5.2 IP in Oakland, with his 11.12 ERA, 6.98 FIP and 3.95 xFIP showing his struggles. He will now face a patient lineup of the Yankees, who are #6 in the league in BB% with 8.7%, something that will make Masterson struggle, as he only has the fastball on his arsenal and without a good command, the Yankees will pound him, especially when they are by far the best team in the league in hitting against fastballs.

So, with Kuroda facing a lineup full of left handed hitters and the struggling Masterson facing the patient and deadly lineup of the Yankees, I expect a game with much more runs scored than yesterday and so, I'll take the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 921/922 Over 8.5 (w/ H. Kuroda & J. Masterson) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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