WNBA - 601 Indiana Fever @ 602 New York Liberty
Projected line: 154 points
Since the Olympic Break, the Liberty have been playing much better and with their healthy backcourt plus Cappie Pondexter, they have received an offensive boost since the break, with 79, 74, 77 and 89 points scored. Then, they had a series of back to backs where they fulminated, especially on their last back to back game when they finished a road trip in a game in Seattle, where they scored 9 points in the 1st quarter. However, they had 3 days off to prepare this game and so, they should get back to the offensive level they showed previously to this series of games played on a bad spot.
Indiana has been also playing well since the break, with just a loss in LA against the Sparks. The Fever continues to play with an undersized lineup and therefore, they are playing with four shooters on the floor and thanks to that, they have been shooting greatly from the 3pts line, with 52-122 (45%) 3pts since the break! They looked good on defense on their last three games with 93.8, 92.9 and 98.3 defensive rates, however they faced in those games Phoenix without Taurasi, Washington and Seattle without Jackson.
I believe the Liberty will have a good edge on the inside, while Indiana will pound New York from the outside with their red hot shooting. This should result in a good offensive game played in a mid-pace, with both teams being able to score a good number of points tonight. With my projections giving me a totals line of 154 points for this contest, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 601/602 Over 149.5 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes
WNBA - 603 Washington Mystics @ 604 Atlanta Dream
Projected line: Atlanta by 14 points
This is a rematch from last Friday's game, where Atlanta defeated Washington on the road by 81-69 and without Angel McCoughtry, who is also questionable for tonight due to a team suspension. The Mystics keep struggling on offense and their best player is Crystal Langhorne, who will have a tough matchup against Erika De Souza and couldn't avoid a clear loss of her team last Friday, even though she had a great game with 7-13 FG 17pts and 10reb. Washington is now struggling on rebounding by grabbing 45.6, 49.0, 44.9, 47.2, 48.3 and 46.3% of the boards on their last six games. Without winning the rebounding battle, Washington lacks the talent to stay competitive, especially with their high number of turnovers: 19, 19, 18, 13, 18 and 16 turnovers on their last six games.
After Atlanta's shocking loss to Tulsa two days ago, I expect them to bounce back tonight and crush Washington once again. Therefore, I'll be taking the Dream in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 604 Atlanta Dream (-9,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
WNBA - 605 Connecticut Sun @ 606 San Antonio Silver Stars
Projected line: 155 points
This isn't a good spot for San Antonio, who is coming from an OT game in Minnesota two nights ago. On the other hand, Connecticut is also on a poor spot, as they played on Sunday, Tuesday and now (Thursday). The Sun is coming from a home-home series against Chicago, where Tina Charles dominated with Sylvia Fowles out due to personal reasons. Connecticut lost another player, this time it was Mistie Mims who pulled a muscle in her quad and she will join Asjha Jones in the injury list for a week. Connecticut's offense has been struggling without Jones, with 90.2, 101.9, 97.7, 93.4 and 109.4 offensive rates on their last five games, with an average of 98.5, very far from their average of 105.9! On the other side, their defense has been on a decent level and with San Antonio being on a poor spot tonight, I expect Connecticut to be able to have an okay defensive performance.
With Connecticut missing Jones and with both teams being on a poor spot, I believe this game won't have a good offensive efficiency from neither team, which combined with a relatively slow pace (San Antonio is playing much slower now than usual) gave me a totals projection of 155 points, low enough for me to take the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 605/606 Under 160 @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
WNBA - 609 Phoenix Mercury @ 610 Seattle Storm
Projected line: 158 points
Seattle is now healthy again, with Lauren Jackson and Ann Wauters back, so the Storm have their good depth back, after some depth issues due to a lot of injuries. On the other hand, Taurasi is also back on Phoenix's lineup and she's almost the whole offense of the Mercury. Therefore, this game won't have nothing to do with the game they played just after the Olympic break, where Seattle was missing Jackson, Wauters and Thompson, while Taurasi was out for Phoenix.
Phoenix plays on a faster pace with Taurasi on court and they are definitely a good offensive team with their star on court. On the other hand, Seattle has now Sue Bird back at 100% after a stomach problem plus Lauren Jackson and the rest of the frontcourt players, so they should really crush Phoenix down low. I expect a fast paced game in here, with Seattle crushing the terrible defense of the Mercury, while Phoenix should be able to have a decent offensive game as well, with Taurasi leading the way. I have a 158 points projection for this game and therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 609/610 Over 152,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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