MLB - 907 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 908 Houston Astros
(Starting Pitchers: I. Kennedy vs A. Galarraga)
Arizona will try to sweep the series today and for that, they will start Kennedy, who is coming from a loss against the Cardinals, where he allowed five runs (three earned) in six innings. The truth is that Kennedy has been struggling and his FIP on his last four starts shows exactly that: 7.26, 9.60, 6.43 and 6.89! But looking at the SP Houston will start today, even if Kennedy starts struggling big time on this contest, the Dbacks will be just fine.
I'm saying that because Houston is starting Galarraga today, who is coming from allowing five runs and seven hits in 5IP against the Cubs last Monday. Galarraga has been a complete disaster since his comeback and he is now posting a 5.75 ERA and a 1.87 WHIP in four starts, with his 7.37 FIP showing that there's little chance to believe Galarraga will start bouncing back soon. The Dbacks offense woke up last night and with them having their confidence regained, Galarraga is going to be pounded today.
Galarraga gave up five runs on seven hits over five innings against the Cubs in a losing effort Monday night.
There's not much here to try and profit from at this point. Galarraga now has a 5.75 ERA and 1.87 WHIP over four starts with the Astros and the underlying metrics suggest that there's little in the way of positive correction on the horizon.
I expect both SP to have problems today, but with Galarraga surely having more problems than Kennedy, as he is pitching worse than today's Dbacks' SP, besides Arizona having a better hitting than Houston. Therefore, I expect an easy win for Arizona today, therefore I'll be taking Arizona on the Runline in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 907 Arizona Diamondbacks RL -1.5 (w/ I. Kennedy) @ -120 / 1.83 on Betonline
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