MLB - 917 Toronto Blue Jays @ 918 New York Yankees
(Starting Pitchers: H. Alvarez vs D. Phelps)
***TRIPLE DIME PLAY***
Due to the postponement of Toronto's game yesterday in Baltimore, Alvarez will start today when he was billed to start in yesterday's game. He has been terrible lately and he is clearly on a major slump. He looked impressive early on the season, but he started to struggle recently, with his last outing at home against Texas showing exactly that, as he had allowed eight runs on twelve hits in just 4.1 IP. He really seems to be regressing right now and therefore, I expect him to get a major beating from the Yankees tonight, just like it happened on his last start against Texas, where he allowed eight runs and twelve hits in just 4.1 innings. He had some luck on his previous start against the Yankees in July by allowing just two earned runs when he walked four batters. He posted a 3.00 ERA in that game, but his 5.26 FIP and 4.32 xFIP clearly show that in normal conditions he would have worse numbers that the ones he eventually had in that game. He won't be as lucky tonight and therefore, the Yankees lineup will be all over him tonight.
The Yankees will start their prospect Phelps today, who was firstly called to the rotation to replace Sabathia. He took his opportunity very well with two good outings against Texas and Boston, two of the most dangerous teams to pitch against. He allowed just three runs against Boston and two runs against Texas, so he is really in good form and taking advantage of the opportunities that he has been given to start some games due to the injuries of some starting pitchers. He will be facing a struggling and banged up Blue Jays' lineup and therefore, I expect him to have another solid start tonight.
With a clear edge in terms of SP and batters, I believe the Yankees will have a very comfortable win tonight and therefore, I'll be taking them on the Runline today. Triple Dime Play!
Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 918 New York Yankees RL -1.5 (w/ D. Phelps) @ -120 / 1.83 on 5Dimes
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