WNBA - 601 Chicago Sky @ 602 Washington Mystics
Projected line: Chicago by 8 points
I watched Chicago's game last Friday against Atlanta and they played well, even though they had problems with the turnovers due to the pressure coming from Atlanta's defense. Fowles also had problems on her matchup against De Souza and finished with 3-5 FG for 13 points. On the other side, Washington is coming from two very clear road losses in Indiana and Minnesota, where it was clear that the Mystics just can't seem to compete against good teams, especially due to their poor offense.
Chicago with Prince back is now an improved offensive team and so I expect them to have a good offensive game today against the lowly defense of the Mystics. On the other side, Washington keeps struggling on offense and the offensive rates on their last six games (78.4, 99.1, 99.8, 98.1, 88.0 and 88.6) show exactly that. Now against a good defensive team like Chicago (#2 in defensive rates in the league), I expect the Mystics to struggle a lot on this contest. Therefore, I believe Chicago is going to have an easy win today and so, I'll take them in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 601 Chicago Sky (-4,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
WNBA - 605 Tulsa Shock @ 606 Minnesota Lynx
Projected line: 173 points
Minnesota is 100% healthy for this contest and with their overall quality helped by a great rostr, they will completely squad the lowly Shock on this contest. Their bench is capable of outscoring Tulsa's starting lineup and with their fast paced basketball, they are deadly on fast breaks where they score 15.45 fast break points per game, the best mark in the league. Looking at the fact that Tulsa is the 2nd worst team in allowing fast break points with 12.84 points per game, I expect Minnesota to have another huge offensive game against the lowly Shock like they had in the first two games against them this season where they scored 107 and 89 points.
On the other hand, Tulsa has also improved on offense lately and after a start of the season where it was rare to see them getting more than 100 offensive rates in a game, in their last 7 games, they managed to have more than 100 off rates in 5 occasions. Also with the blowout Minnesota will give them today, the Lynx will eventually relax on defense and allow Tulsa to score a decent number of points on this contest as well. I expect a very fast paced game in here full of offense and therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 169 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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