MLB - 967 Los Angeles Angels @ 968 Detroit Tigers
(Starting Pitchers: E. Santana vs M. Scherzer)
***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
After Detroit's comeback win yesterday, the series is now tied at 1-1, with today's game deciding the winner of this key series for the wildcard race. The Angels will start Santana today and he has been having a poor season, with a 5.46 ERA, 5.65 FIP and 4.57 xFIP, even though he looked a bit better on his last two outings against Boston and Cleveland, where he had 2.84 ERA/4.84 FIP/4.18 xFIP and 1.29 ERA/2.38 FIP/3.01 xFIP respectively. Still, Santana keeps walking more batters than ever, while striking out less batters and having a much bigger HR/9 rate than usual as well. Now facing a powerful Tigers lineup on the road, I believe Santana will struggle a bit today and allowed some runs to the powerful Tigers.
Detroit will start Scherzer, who has already set a personal best for strikeouts in a season with 186 and he keeps looking impressive on his outings, as it happened once again on his last start against Toronto, where he allowed just one run on five hits, while having eight strikeouts and two walks, in seven innings. He didn't start the season well, but he is now one of the best pitchers in the league, with a 2.82 FIP and 2.55 xFIP. The Angels will play today without Pujols and even though the LA team has another quality batters on their lineup, the truth is that Scherzer is very likely to have another quality start today due to his amazing form.
With a clear SP edge on this contest and with both teams being in a similar level in terms of batters, I believe Detroit will be able to put Santana in more trouble than the Angels with Scherzer and therefore, I'll be taking the Tigers today in a Single Dime Play. With Pujols missing from the LA Angels lineup and Cabrera missing from the Tigers lineup, I believe both SP will be able to have at least average performances today and with the assist of the wind, I believe this will be a relatively low-scoring affair. Therefore, I'll be also taking the Under in here in a Double Dime Play!
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 968 Detroit Tigers ML (w/ M. Scherzer) @ -146 / 1.69 on 5Dimes
Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 967/968 Under 9 (w/ E. Santana & M. Scherzer) @ -105 / 1.95 on 5Dimes
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