Friday, January 25, 2013

NBA Premium Play 01/24: Toronto Raptors @ Orlando Magic

NBA - 501 Toronto Raptors @ 502 Orlando Magic

Projected Line: PK Line

Orlando is coming from a loss in Detroit, where they showed no effort, no energy, no focus. The Magic showed no chemistry, they seem to be some problems in the locker room, trade rumors flying around and suddenly, Orlando is now a deeply struggling team. The Magic stopped defending transition plays, their pick and roll defense isn't any better with Jameer Nelson showing no effort and their post up defense is also regressing very quickly, with Glen Davis playing terrible defense as well.

Now against a Raptors team that will take tonight a huge edge in terms of chemistry and effort, I expect Orlando to struggle. Toronto is coming from a great performance in Miami last night, where they sent the game to overtime. While they sent the game to extra time, the truth is that no player was on the court for over 36 minutes and their bench with Kyle Lowry, Alan Anderson and Terrence Ross played very well. If Orlando uses the same starting lineup they used against the Pistons, they simply have no quality players on the bench and Toronto will have a clear second unit edge.

Toronto with Jose Calderon and Kyle Lowry will have a huge edge on the pick and rolls against a terrible Magic defense. This is why Toronto is 3-0 against Orlando on this series. The Raptors have been struggling against powerful frontcourts, but Orlando doesn't have one to make them struggle. Toronto is being very competitive right now, they are 9-2 ATS on their last 11 back to back games and I believe they will most definitely be very competitive tonight against a struggling Orlando team. Therefore, I'll be taking the Raptors in here. 
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501 Toronto Raptors (+4.5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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