Wednesday, January 16, 2013

NBA Free Premium Play 01/16: New Orleans Hornets @ Boston Celtics

  
New Orleans  at Boston 
NBA - 707 New Orleans Hornets @ 708 Boston Celtics

Projected Line: 188 points


New Orleans is coming from a big win last night in Philadelphia, where they showed a great mindset to run and score in transition, while scoring a season high of 22 fast break points with 8-9 FG in transition. They also shot 9-22 FG from 16-23 feet and 10-18 3pts! They really needed these big offensive numbers, as Philadelphia pounded the Hornets's poor perimeter defense, while allowing the Sixers to shoot 7-19 FG from 16-23 feet and 11-21 3pts! Jrue Holiday had a big game as well by taking advantage of the slow footed Greivis Vasquez by shooting 10-17 FG, 29 points and 11 assists! Tonight, the Hornets will play at Boston and the Celtics will have the same edges on offense that Philadelphia had, as they also have a high volume of outside shooting, while the Hornets's defense isn't good at pick and roll ball handler plays, spot ups and transitions, so Boston has everything to have a big offensive game tonight, just like they had against Charlotte!

So, the question in here is to know that the Hornets's offense will be able to do. I liked what they did at Philadelphia last night, but Greivis Vasquez will have a much tougher matchup tonight against the Celtics's good pick and roll ball handler defense that is #3 in the league. However, the Hornets have good shooters and they should be able to score some points in transitions as well tonight, even though Boston's transition defense has improved a bit since Avery Bradley returned to the lineup. I expect Boston to have a big offensive game tonight, while the Hornets should also score their share of points, therefore I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 707/708 Over 184 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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