Monday, January 28, 2013

NBA Free Premium Play 01/28: Orlando Magic @ Brooklyn Nets

Orlando  at Brooklyn 
NBA - 707 Orlando Magic @ 708 Brooklyn Nets

Projected Line: 191 points


Brooklyn is coming from a loss at Houston, where the Rockets simply explore their poor transition defense. Brooklyn's defense got crushed on transitions once again and they have allowed 12 and 27 fast break points over their last two games, while the lack of speed from their backcourt allowed also the opposing guards to comfortably penetrate into the basket, something that made Brooklyn allow 62 and 60 points in the paint over their last two games!

The good news for the Nets tonight is that they won't have to face this kind of problems against Orlando, as the Magic doesn't have a good transition game. Arron Afflalo is questionable for tonight and according to 82games.com, without him on the court, Orlando's defense is much better, but their offense struggles without him. Brooklyn's offense hasn't been playing well lately and they have just dished an average of 18.5 assists per game over their last nine games. The Nets are now back into their refusal of running during their games (5.2 fast break points over their last 5 games), so I believe this will be a slow paced game, with neither team having a great offensive game, so I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 707/708 Under 195 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada

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