Thursday, January 17, 2013

NBA Premium Play 01/16: Washington Wizards @ Sacramento Kings


NBA - 717 Washington Wizards @ 718 Sacramento Kings

Projected Line: 212 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***

Washington crushed Orlando on their last game by pushing up the tempo and taking advantage of that with 29 fast break points and 10-14 FG on transition plays. Their ball movement is now good and their outside shooting was great against the Magic. Emeka Okafor and Kevin Seraphin were great on post ups, turning the Wizards into a great offensive team out of nowhere! Sacramento is coming from a home win against Cleveland, where both teams had monster offensive games. Sacramento kept their incredible trend of no defense, especially on transitions. Cleveland ended the game with 18 fast break points and 9-13 FG on transitions. Then, the Kings's defensive rebounding was horrible once again with Cleveland grabbing 19 offensive rebounds! The Cavaliers also did well on their pick and rolls. The problem for Cleveland was that Sacramento pounded them on the down low with 17-23 FG at the rim and 9-19 FG from 3-9 feet! Sacramento had had a sharp outside game, with Marcus Thornton shooting 8-14 FG, Jimmy Fredette 5-8 FG and Tyreke Evans 6-6 FG!

Tonight, these two teams will go head to head at Sacramento and considering the Kings's terrible transition defense, Washington will have a monster game on fast breaks! Sacramento's defensive ratings in their last five games were 138.09, 132.44, 111.40, 147.23 and 127.77, one of the worst stretches of poor defense that I've ever seen! Sacramento also allowed 10, 27, 23, 26 and 18 fast break points in those games, so Washington should really pound them tonight on transitions. Washington will continue with their good ball movement and with the confidence that John Wall's return has brought to the team, Washington will continue making a lot of their shots, including from long range, especially with little opposition from a terrible Kings defense. On the other side, Sacramento's offense has been well focused in taking advantage of DeMarcus Cousins down low, while with Tyreke Evans and Marcus Thornton back, the Kings also have firepower on their backcourt. I expect a super high scoring game in here, therefore I'll be taking the Over on this contest on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 717/718 Over 206 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5 Dimes

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