Thursday, January 17, 2013

NBA Premium Play 01/16: Memphis Grizzlies @ San Antonio Spurs


NBA - 713 Memphis Grizzlies @ 714 San Antonio Spurs

Projected Line: 184 points

Both teams faced each other last week in Memphis, with the Grizzlies winning on overtime. The game ended its regulation time with a 95-95 tie due to a buzzer beat lucky trey from Tony Parker. Looking at that game, we can say that it was a nice offensive game, as Memphis shot 47.1% FG, while forcing turnovers and scoring from them, with 26 points off turnovers. Their transitions also worked very well with 19 fast break points and 8-11 FG in transitions. Memphis's post up game also worked very well with 9-17 FG 1.06 PPP and even Rudy Gay had a nice shooting game with 10-20 FG! On the other side, San Antonio also played well on offense with 46.1% FG and 10-25 3pts. Manu Ginobili had a big game with 5-11 FG and 5 assists, but he is out for tonight. With both teams having little margin to do better on offense tonight, I expect this game to not have the 190 points that last week's game had in regulation, as Memphis is #2 on defensive ratings this season, while San Antonio is #5. Therefore, I expect a low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under. 

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 713/714 Under 188,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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