Projected line: 147 points | France by 10 points
France is another team who pretty knows their final place in the group stage. Barring an Argentinian win over USA later today, France will be the 2nd on this group no matter what happens on this contest. So, I believe France will be without any kind of motivation for this contest and therefore Nigeria has a shot of making this contest competitive, in their last game on this competition, as barring a shocking loss from Lithuania against Tunisia by more than 12 points, Nigeria will be eliminated.
The French team is definitely rest some of their starters today and Parker who played 29 minutes against Tunisia in their last game isn't likely to play more than that today. France without Parker on the court loses a lot of their creativity and as they aren't a good jump shooting team (22-78 28% 3pts so far on the tournament), they will definitely struggle on offense, especially when Nigeria is a physical team with a good frontcourt and therefore, it won't be easy for France to score points down low against them.
Nigeria's biggest problem has been their perimeter defense, as shown by the US team who torched them with an historic 29-46 3pts and also in their last game against Argentina, they struggle early in the game due to Argentina's 3pts shooting (11-18 3pts). With France struggling on this area, Nigeria has everything to have a good defensive game today.
France likes to play on a slow pace just like Nigeria, so there will be less ball possessions than usual and looking at the fact that Nigeria has been dominating the boards and as I expect the Nigerian team to show a bigger effort than France today, I believe Nigeria will make this game closer than expected and so, I'll take Nigeria today. As this game will be played on a slow pace and looking at how both teams won't have an easy task on offense today, I'll also take the Under in here as well.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Under 152 @ -106 / 1.94 on Pinnacle
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Nigeria (+15) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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