Projected Line: Houston by 10 points
I like the Texans in here to bounce back from their home loss last week against Minnesota. Houston needs to win today to secure their #1 seed in the AFC and they have the right tools to comfortably beat the Colts, as they shown two weeks ago when they defeated Indianapolis at home by 29-17. Both Matt Schaub and Arian Foster have good matchups against the poor Colts defense, while Andrew Luck will definitely struggle once again against a very good Texans pass defense. With Indianapolis already locked on the #5 seed and against a really tough matchup for them, I expect Houston to bounce back today with a very comfortable win over a team that hasn't been able to do anything against top teams this season. I'm taking the Texans today.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 309 Houston Texans (-6) @ -110 / 1.91 on Betonline
NFL Week 17 - 311 Jacksonville Jaguars @ 312 Tennessee Titans
Projected Line: Tennessee by 8 points
Tennessee is coming from a very heavy loss at Green Bay and so, I believe they will try to bounce back at home in their final game of the season against a divisional rival. Jacksonville is on the "fight" to get the #1 draft pick next season and therefore, their motivation for this game isn't big. They are coming from a huge effort against the Patriots last week, so a letdown in here seems to be likely to happen as well. Tennessee has a big offensive weapon in Chris Johnson that Jacksonville lacks (Maurice Jones-Drew is still out with a foot injury) and with this big difference of motivation between the two teams, I expect the Titans to have an easy win today, after having lost at Jacksonville a month ago. I'm taking Tennessee today.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 312 Tennessee Titans (-5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NFL Week 17 - 313 Philadelphia Eagles @ 314 New York Giants
Projected Line: NY Giants by 4 points
Philadelphia was a mess this season, but they have been kinda competitive as of late, with a win at Tampa Bay and a close loss against the Redskins last week. On the other hand, the NY Giants seem to be in completely free fall right now and they were completely flat on their last two games against Atlanta and Baltimore. Their defense is full of injuries and playing really terrible football right now and even a returning Michael Vick and especially LeSean McCoy should be able to have a good game today. I don't trust Eli Manning or the banged up Ahmad Bradshaw to crush the Eagles today and therefore, I expect Philadelphia to show up today and be a spoiler to their divisional rival. I expect a close game in here and so, I'll be taking the Eagles.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 313 Philadelphia Eagles (+7) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada
NFL Week 17 - 323 Carolina Panthers @ 324 New Orleans Saints
Projected Line: New Orleans by 8 points
New Orleans played like a playoff contender in the second half of the season and I expect them to avoid a losing season today by beating their divisional rivals Panthers at home today. Drew Brees is back at his regular level and with Chris Ivory back for today's game, I expect the Saints running game to also have a decent game. Carolina has been playing well lately as well, however not at the same level of the Saints. Cam Newton has been really good on the second half of the season, however he is still a bit inconsistent and the Saints defense has been able to get a decent number of takeaways lately. I expect this game to be a shootout, where the Panthers won't be eventually able to hang with the super potent Saints offense on the scoreboard. This is also a revenge game for New Orleans, who lost at Carolina back in week 2, therefore I'll be taking the Saints in here for a comfortable win.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 324 New Orleans Saints (-4) @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
NFL Week 17 - 327 Oakland Raiders @ 328 San Diego Chargers
Projected Line: 36 points
The public is all over the Over on this contest, but I believe they are completely wrong. Oakland will use their third quarterback Terrelle Pryor today and he has little experience on the league, therefore I expect the Raiders to rush the football a lot today with Darren McFadden. The problem is that the Chargers have a really good run defense and they won't have problems in stopping the Raiders offense today. On the other hand, Philip Rivers had a disappointing season, while the Chargers running has been poor, especially with Ryan Matthews on the Injury Reserve. Oakland's defense isn't great, however they have been very decent over their last two games by allowing 0 points to Kansas City and 17 points to Carolina. Therefore, I expect Oakland to be able to limit San Diego's average offense today as well. With neither team having a good offensive game today, I expect this game to quickly become a low scoring affair and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 327/328 Under 40 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
2-Team 6pts Teaser:
NFL Week 17 - 303 Miami Dolphins @ 304 New England Patriots
NFL Week 17 - 331 St Louis Rams @ 332 Seattle Seahawks
New England needs to win today to have a shot at getting a first bye round next week. Miami has a decent defense, but they won't be able to cope with New England's high potent offense, especially with Rob Gronkowski back in the field. Miami has only Reggie Bush as a quality offensive weapon, but the Patriots have a decent run defense and they won't have problems in taking out Miami today, just like it happened in the game played in Florida earlier on the month.
Seattle needs to win today to still have a shot at winning their division and considering their current form, especially on offense, it's hard to expect anything but an easy win for them today. St Louis's defense is average but not good enough to handle Russell Wilson and Marshawn Lynch in excellent form, while Sam Bradford will have a very tough game against the Seahawks top pass defense. The Rams don't also have a great running game to take advantage of Seattle's average run defense, therefore I can only expect Seattle to end the regular season with another easy home win today.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 304 New England Patriots (-4,5) x 332 Seattle Seahawks (-5,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
NFL Week 17 - 315 Dallas Cowboys @ 316 Washington Redskins
Projected Line: Washington by 6 points
The winner of this game will win the division and I believe Washington is the team that has better conditions to do it today. RGIII has regained some mobility on practice this week, but even if he struggles on his mobility tonight, his throws combined with Alfred Morris's carries will rip apart a Cowboys defense that has been poor the whole season against both the passing and the running game. Therefore, Washington shouldn't have problems in putting points on the scoreboard today, just like they didn't in the Thanksgiving game at Dallas when they scored 38 points. On the other hand, Tony Romo has been in good form and the Redskins secondary isn't great, but with a struggling running game and a poor defense, Tony Romo will have to carry the team on his own on a very cold night and with a limited Dez Bryant. With Washington having no problems in scoring points tonight, Tony Romo won't be able to make his team hang around in the game for the whole contest on his own. The Redskins have more solutions on their offense, they have also a slightly better defense, they are playing at home, they have more momentum than the Cowboys right now, therefore I believe Washington will comfortably win tonight's game and get into the playoffs. I'm taking the Redskins in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 316 Washington Redskins (-3) @ -125 / 1.80 on Bookmaker
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