Monday, December 31, 2012

NBA Premium Play 12/30: Milwaukee Bucks @ Detroit Pistons


NBA - 801 Milwaukee Bucks @ 802 Detroit Pistons

Projected Line: 195 points

Milwaukee has been showing good identity over the last two games, where they played on a very fast pace. They have now Mike Dunleavy and Beno Udrih coming off the bench and with Luc Mbah a Moute instead of Samuel Dalembert in the lineup. These changes made the Bucks quick offense to improve and with that, they scored 19 and 21 fast break points! For today, the gameplan will be exactly the same and they won't have problems in scoring more than 15 fast break points against the Pistons defense tonight.

Detroit has allowed 15, 25 and 36 fast break points in three of their last four games. They allowed just 6 fast break points against Miami because the Heat were tired and tried to set a slow pace in their game. Detroit has been having a very good offensive production coming off their bench, however their problem is that their second unit is also terrible defensively. But that is being compensated with an amazing chemistry on offense! 

This game will be played on a fast pace, with Milwaukee being confident and looking good on offense, while the Pistons with their depth will also have give offensive production. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 801/802 Over 191,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

No comments:

Post a Comment