NBA Free Premium Play 12/29: Phoenix Suns @ Minnesota Timberwolves

Phoenix  at Minnesota

NBA - 513 Phoenix Suns @ 514 Minnesota Timberwolves Projected Line: 191 points Phoenix will play their third game in four days, with this being also a back to back game, while Minnesota had two days off to prepare this game. With Goran Dragic questionable for tonight and with their lack of alternatives for the PG position, Sebastian Telfair is now forced to play heavy minutes. He played almost the whole second half against the Knicks and yesterday, he played 41 minutes at Indiana. Phoenix's biggest struggle for tonight will be on the boards battle, as they are the #28 team on defensive rebounding, while Minnesota is #3 on offensive rebounding. The good news for the Suns is that they won't get torched on their perimeter defense today (#30 on spot up defense), as Minnesota doesn't have a lot of good outside shooters to torch them from the perimeter and that's why they are #30 in 3pts shooting with just 29.9% FG! With Goran Dragic questionable, Phoenix's offense will be very predictable. The Suns attempted a ridiculous amount of shots from the perimeter with 18-38 FG from 16-23 feet and 2-14 3pts! They managed to have a decent game on cuts and on the frontcourt at times, but when Indiana forced on defense, Phoenix's offense disappeared. Minnesota is #30 on cuts defense, while Phoenix is #2 on cuts offense, so the Suns has an offensive edge in here, however Minnesota is a good defensive team on pick and roll ball handler plays and also on spot up defense, so with Dragic injured and on this poor spot for them, I heavily doubt Phoenix will have a decent offensive game. Therefore, I see this game becoming a low scoring affair and so, I'll be taking the Under in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 513/514 Under 195 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes