Monday, December 31, 2012

NBA Premium Play 12/30: Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Clippers

NBA - 807 Utah Jazz @ 808 Los Angeles Clippers

Projected Line: LA Clippers by 16 points

***DOUBLE DIME PLAY***
This is the second game in a row between these two teams, as the Clippers won at Utah last Friday night in a close game. It wasn't a good spot for the Clippers, as they had only 20 hours to prepare that game after beating the Celtics at home the night before. The game was quite physical with the Clippers starting outplaying the Jazz starters. Utah was terrible on the perimeter and the Clippers had easy wide open looks on the perimeter. The LA team didn't have great efficiency, but it was enough for them to build a lead. The difference came in the second quarter, where the Jazz bench crushed the Clippers second unit with good defense and quick transitions! The umpires let the game be very physical and the Clippers lost their composure. 

Coach Vinny Del Negro went against his usual rotations and made a situation substitution, inserting Matt Barnes into the game with the sole assignment of getting up on Foye, who is not great off the dribble, so if you stay up on him, eschew help defense and just take away Foye's space, he can certainly be contained, even if he's hitting his deep ball as he was. Barnes made a three pointer on his first touch and then stole the ball from Foye on his first defensive sequence. The Clippers went on a 21-5 run over the next six minutes to cut the lead down to three, and from then on it was a dogfight.

For this game, there will be no gap of energy between the two teams. As last Friday's game was physical, I expect the Clippers to try to crush Utah tonight. If the Clippers starters will once again outplay Utah's starting lineup, I don't believe the Jazz second unit will once again outplay the Clippers second unit. In fact, I expect the opposite to happen in here. Utah shot 9-15 3pts last Friday and almost the whole damage was done by Randy Foye, who is unlikely to repeat such performance today. With the LA team putting a lot of attention on Foye and with the Jazz struggling on the outside, the Clippers interior defense will also cause problems to Utah's interior defense. I expect another blowout win for the Clippers today and so, I'll be taking them in here on a Double Dime Play!

Pick: 4 units (Double Dime Play) on 808 Los Angeles Clippers (-9,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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