NBA - 505 New Orleans Hornets @ 506 Charlotte Bobcats
Projected Line: 186 points
Both teams will play their third game in four nights, while this being also a back to back game. New Orleans is coming from an overtime home loss against Toronto. Greivis Vasquez torched Jose Calderon and this is why the Hornets ended the game with 6-16 FG in pick and roll ball handler plays. On the other hand, Kyle Lowry did a much better defensive job on Vasquez. They will now play in Charlotte, with Eric Gordon making his season debut but on limited basis of course. The first game between these two teams was a high scoring game where both teams were on a good spot, something that doesn't happen in here.
Both Greivis Vasquez and Austin Rivers played more than 40 minutes and they will now face a Bobcats defense that is #8 on pick and rolls defense! So, it won't be easy for the Hornets to score tonight, as Greivis Vasquez will be limited tonight. They will be able to have some damage on the outside, but the Hornets have been regressing on 3pts%, something normal as Ryan Anderson is their sole good shooter on the roster.
Charlotte's offense depends on transitions and pick and roll ball handler plays and the truth is that New Orleans's defense is just #13 on fast break points allowed. However, they played on such a slow paced rhythm that they never get torched on transitions. The problem with the Hornets defense is on the perimeter, as they are #27 on 3pts defense. However, Charlotte's offense is just #24 on 3pts%, so they won't take advantage of that today. Therefore, I expect a slow paced game in here, with both teams having average offensive performances, not enough for this game to be a relatively high scoring game. So, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 505/506 Under 190 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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