NBA - 507 Minnesota Timberwolves @ 508 Miami Heat
Projected Line: 197 points | Miami by 11 points
There is a clear difference of spots between the two teams, as Minnesota is playing their fourth game in five nights, while Miami had two days off to rest and prepare for this game. The Wolves are coming from a road loss in Orlando last night, where Minnesota didn't have legs during the second half. Four of their starters played 32 minutes or more yesterday and even though they started the game well by pounding the Magic down low, they end up attempting a lot of jump shots and they struggled, as they aren't good on the perimeter shooting. The Wolves ended with 19-35 FG at the rim and 7-25 from 3pts. Their perimeter players struggled with Alexey Shved shooting 1-8 FG and Juan Jose Barea 4-13 FG.
The Wolves will now play at Miami, who has finally decided to defend well, after getting crushed by the Knicks. The Heat had defensive ratings of 100.03, 106.72, 106.18 and 83.71 on their last four games, on a clear defensive improvement from them. With Minnesota being such a poor shooting team, Miami will be able to close the paint and focus on defending Kevin Love and Nikola Pekovic.
Minnesota is #9 on 3pts defense, #9 on transition defense and #3 on spot up defense, so Minnesota should be able to do a nice defensive job tonight, especially with Andrei Kirilenko being a good defender and he should be able to give a tough night to Lebron James. This should be a relatively low scoring game, with Minnesota struggling on offense, but doing a decent defensive job and so, I'll be taking the Under in here. Looking at the poor spot that the Wolves have in here, I expect Miami to shutdown their offense and get a double digits win in here, so I'll be taking the Heat in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 507/508 Under 201 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 508 Miami Heat (-8) @ -115 / 1.87 on Betonline
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