Sunday, December 30, 2012

NBA Premium Play 12/29: Toronto Raptors @ Orlando Magic


NBA - 503 Toronto Raptors @ 504 Orlando Magic

Projected Line: 178 points

*** TRIPLE DIME PLAY***

Both teams will play their third game in four nights, while this being also a back to back game. The Magic lost at Washington yesterday, in a game where they started well, but then everything fell apart. Washington shot a lot from the perimeter without success, but they did very well on transitions and down low with Nene Hilario and Kevin Seraphin dominating. Washington shot 20-24 FG at the rim! On the other hand, Orlando's offense looked good on pick and rolls with 9-18 FG, but their problem was on spot ups (8-25 FG from 16-23 feet and 10-28 3pts) and no interior game (13-20 FG at the rim).

In theory, Orlando won't get pounded tonight against Toronto in the same way they were against the Wizards last night, as Toronto doesn't have skilled frontcourt players to pound anybody down low. Toronto is a jump shooting team, but Orlando has a decent perimeter defense. This will be the third game between these two teams and even though Toronto scored 93 points in the last game, they scored just 28 points in the paint and 10 fast break points, no damage in the previously mentioned areas. They had good numbers on the outside shooting. Toronto's defense now with Kyle Lowry back should be able to guard Jameer Nelson better and with the Magic having Glen Davis injured, Toronto will be able to repeat the good defensive job they had in their previous game against Orlando. Therefore, I expect a very low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.

***NOTE: Jameer Nelson is banged up. The play would be a Double Dime Play, but it will be a Triple Dime Play instead!***

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on 503/504 Under 188 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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