Sunday, December 23, 2012

NBA Premium Play 12/22: Charlotte Bobcats @ Denver Nuggets


NBA - 513 Charlotte Bobcats @ 514 Denver Nuggets

Projected Line: 207 points

Charlotte is currently on the worst possible spot for a NBA team: playing their fourth game in five nights, while playing a road-road back to back game, with their final game of this span being at Denver! Especially when their game last night started at 10:30PM EST and they'll play tonight at 9PM EST! They are coming from a game against the Warriors, where Charlotte was able to score 100 points, even though they shot only 37% FG. The reason for that was because they were aggressive and managed to get 35 FT attempts and 18 offensive rebounds. I doubt they will be able to have the same effort tonight, while their shooting won't get any better tonight on such a poor spot.

Fortunately for them, they will face a Nuggets offense that is a poor 3pts shooting team. Charlotte has been struggling on their 3pts defense, but Denver is coming from a game against the Blazers where they shot 0-22 3pts! Of course Denver won't be as poor tonight, but they don't have the same perimeter shooting that the Warriors have for example. I don't see this game being a wild high scoring game like the Bobcats game at Golden State was last night, so I'll be taking the Under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 513/514 Under 210 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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