Sunday, December 16, 2012

NBA Premium Play 12/15: Los Angeles Clippers @ Milwaukee Bucks


NBA - 517 Los Angeles Clippers @ 518 Milwaukee Bucks

Projected Line: LA Clippers by 8 points

Milwaukee is coming from a win over Cleveland on the road last night, where once again Monta Ellis (40 minutes) and Brandon Jennings (42 minutes) had heavy minutes. Their numbers on back to back spots aren't good, as Monta Ellis is shooting 39.1% FG and Brandon Jennings 30,6% FG, so I don't expect the Bucks to be good on offense tonight, as they had just 106.98, 101.48 and 101.06 offensive ratings on their first three back to back games of the season. This is especially true, when the Clippers have Chris Paul and Eric Bledsoe to stop them.

The Bucks have won their last four games, but they faced Charlotte, Brooklyn (on a losing streak), Sacramento (without DeMarcus Cousins) and Cleveland. The Clippers have been struggling on 3pts defense due to their aggressive style in the search for turnovers, but Milwaukee without Mike Dunleavy and Beno Udrih plus a tired Monta Ellis and Brandon Jennings isn't on a good spot to take advantage of that.

The Clippers' offense has been playing well and Chris Paul will have a good matchup against a tired Brandon Jennings. Blake Griffin will have a clear physical edge over Mbah a Moute tonight and the Bucks' have no depth on the bench for their backcourt and so, the Clippers will have much fresher legs down the stretch to torch the Bucks. I expect an easy win for the Clippers tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 517 Los Angeles Clippers (-5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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