Monday, December 31, 2012

NBA Premium Play 12/30: San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks


NBA - 803 San Antonio Spurs @ 804 Dallas Mavericks

Projected Line: San Antonio by 9 points

This current style of Dallas with a fast pace, where they are dependent from fast break points and good outside shooting efficiency may work in some games, but against teams that also do the same thing and better, the Mavericks have no chances as they have no talent or explosion to beat a team like the Spurs on this kind of game. This is why they also got crushed by Denver, even though the Mavs were on a bad spot. San Antonio is currently the worst matchup for Dallas and so, they will heavily struggle today.

San Antonio on a wide open game has an unstoppable ball movement and Dallas has no athleticism to make the right close outs on the perimeter, allowing the Spurs shooters to have another big game, like it happened in the recent game between the two teams played in San Antonio. The Spurs are healthy and with their game working at 100%, Dallas has no chances against the Spurs. Dirk Nowitzki isn't at 100% yet and even if he was, this kind of up and down game simply doesn't work for him, as he is a half court player. I expect an easy win for San Antonio tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 803 San Antonio Spurs (-5,5) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker

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