NBA - 713 New York Knicks @ 714 Milwaukee Bucks
Projected Line: 198 points
The Knicks' spot for tonight is very similar to the horrible spot the Nets are also having. We are talking about 6 games in 9 days plus the fact that they are coming from a very demanding game both mentally and physically against the Nets, where Carmelo Anthony played 50 minutes, Tyson Chandler 45 minutes and Raymond Felton 42 minutes! The Knicks' offense only existed on that game via Carmelo Anthony and Tyson Chandler. Without Jason Kidd, they had no ball movement, with just 14 assists. Their isolation plays didn't work with just 3-13 FG and 0.56 PPP! The Knicks could only score on offensive rebounds mostly due to Tyson Chandler, while their outside numbers were poor with 6-17 FG from 16-23 feet and 6-21 from 3pts!
I believe Carmelo Anthony will still be tired tonight, while Milwaukee is a top defensive rebound team, so there won't be a lot of chances for Tyson Chandler to score on second chance points. So, this is a fade alert spot for the Knicks' offense that has no offensive flow without Jason Kidd on the court!
On the other side, Milwaukee is coming from an improbable comeback win in Chicago, where Brandon Jennings played, even though he was clearly limited physically. The Bucks' starters were outplayed by Chicago, until their second unit brought the Bucks back to the game, with Ersan Ilyasova finally having a good game! Chicago dominated 75% of the game, but after Milwaukee's run on the fourth quarter, coach Thibodeau was forced to re-enter his starters that had tired legs and they got outplayed by Milwaukee's fresh legs! For tonight's matchup, Milwaukee won't be able to take advantage of the Knicks' main defensive struggle at the rim, where they are allowing 67% FG. Milwaukee doesn't have a dominant post player, so the Knicks won't be pounded down low. The Bucks are a jump shooting team, so this should give a bit of relief to the Knicks defense.
I believe the Knicks will struggle on offense tonight, while they should be able to do a decent job against the Bucks' jump shooting offense, therefore I'm not expecting a high scoring game tonight. So, looking at the current totals line, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 713/714 Under 202 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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