NBA Free Premium Play 11/28: Charlotte Bobcats @ Atlanta Hawks

Charlotte  at Atlanta

NBA - 707 Charlotte Bobcats @ 708 Atlanta Hawks Projected Line: 198 points Atlanta is clearly showing better chemistry in both ends of the floor lately. They have the following small lineup confirmed for tonight: Al Horford - Josh Smith - Kyle Korver - DeShawn Stevenson - Jeff Teague. In 68 minutes on court together, this lineup is averaging an offensive rate of 127 and a defensive rate of 92! Their initial troubles were more related to the little volume of offense that Al Horford was getting plus Atlanta's bad perimeter shooting, but the truth is that Al Horford has been elected player of the week, while Atlanta's backcourt is getting better lately, as shown on their last game against the Clippers. Jeff Teague was very good in that game with 19 points and 11 assists, while Lou Williams had 18 points coming off the bench. The Hawks are playing on a decent pace, while being super aggressive looking for turnovers and this is why they are #1 in the league in transition points! Atlanta will have a clear edge with Al Horford on the inside tonight and so, the Hawks will be able to spread the floor with shooters and make the Bobcats heavily struggle on defense. On the last game between these two teams, Al Horford was the key factor for the Hawks' win, as he took advantage of an easy matchup to shoot 11-11 FG at the rim! This edge forced Charlotte to overhelp and with that, Atlanta could spread the floor to get good looks on the outside as well: 11-22 3pts! I expect the same to happen tonight, as Atlanta is really a tough matchup for Charlotte! The Bobcats are coming from a huge blowout loss at Oklahoma City, where they were already down by 40 points at halftime! Charlotte had a huge letdown, with their guards being tired and not being able to create any kind of offense. Kemba Walked played 47 minutes, Ramon Sessions 41 minutes, Ben Gordon 31 minutes and Byron Mullens 46 minutes against Washington in the previous game and they just couldn't do a thing against the Thunder on the following game. I expect a bounce back from them tonight, with both Kemba Walker and Ramon Sessions in being much more aggressive tonight. The first game of this series was a run and gun game and for tonight, I expect a similar scenario with Atlanta's improved offense and Charlotte on an aggressive bounce back mode being able to have decent offensive games tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here. Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 707/708 Over 193 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bovada