NBA - 707 Cleveland Cavaliers @ 708 Miami Heat
Projected Line: 201 points
This is a game where Miami's offense will completely toy with Cleveland. The Cavaliers fought well last night in Orlando, as they shot well from the outside, while Anderson Varejao created a lot of second chance points with his offensive rebounds. However, Cleveland's defense continues in being horrible in the rotations, as Jeremy Pargo was completely outplayed on the defensive end, while he kept go helping Dion Waiters, leaving Aaron Afflalo, J.J. Redick or Jameer Nelson way too open for easy treys! This is why they Orlando shot 8-21 FG from 16-23 feet and 11-21 3pts, due to a good ball movement.
But if Orlando is capable of doing that, Miami on a good spot for them will pound them even harder! Cleveland is allowing 77% FG at the rim and 44% FG from 16-23 feet this season and so, they will be completely pounded by the Heat tonight. So, it all comes down to what Cleveland's offense will be capable of doing in here. I believe Miami will relax a bit on defense tonight and so, Cleveland will have a big edge on offensive rebounds tonight, something that will generate a lot of second chance points. Cleveland has been playing well on offense with their pick and roll ball handler on their last two games, even without Kyrie Irving. That's a good sign for them tonight, as Miami is just #20 in defending this kind of plays this season. With Cleveland having another decent game on outside shooting, they should score more than 90 points tonight and that will be enough for this game to go Over the total posted, as Miami's offense will completely destroy Cleveland's poor defense tonight. Therefore, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 707/708 Over 196,5 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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