NBA - 715 Houston Rockets @ 716 Los Angeles Lakers
Projected Line: LA Lakers by 10 points
We are in front of two teams with terrible benches, so this immediately helps the Lakers, as they won't have to fight the depth mismatch they generally have in most of their games. Houston will be playing their final game of a road trip and they are coming from a game in Portland that went to overtime and where three of their players were on court for over 43 minutes! Therefore, the Lakers will have a physical edge tonight.
The LA team is simply dominating the league in terms of rebounds and free throws. They are being super aggressive, while scoring a lot of second chance points, something that can become problematic for Houston, as Omer Asik is their only legit big man. With Asik on foul trouble or tired because he played 44 minutes in the team's last game, Houston is going to get pounded down low! Pau Gasol will have a tremendous edge over Patrick Patterson and so, the Lakers will have all the necessary conditions to dominate Houston.
The key matchup will be between Kobe Bryant and James Harden. There is bad blood between the two players and Kobe will surely be fired up, as he was outplayed by Harden in last year's playoffs series between the Lakers and Oklahoma City. Kobe is having a stellar season with 53% FG shooting and with Jeremy Lin not being aggressive and with Harden having to work a lot of defense, Houston won't have offensive options tonight to counter this new up tempo look of the Lakers. I expect a very easy win for the LA team on this contest and so, I'll be taking the Lakers in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 716 Los Angeles Lakers (-7) @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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