NBA - 713 Chicago Bears @ 714 Portland Trailblazers
Projected Line: 196 points
Chicago struggled on offense last night in LA against the Clippers. They scored just 80 points, they shot 33.7% FG and they committed 16 turnovers. Kirk Hinrich shot 0-5 FG, Joakim Noah 0-6 FG and even Luol Deng shot 5-16 FG! The key in here was that Chicago just couldn't score at the rim with a ridiculous 13-31 FG at the rim! The Clippers are a physical team and Chicago just couldn't respond well, just like I expected, as I took the Under on a Double Dime Play on that game.
Today the Bulls will play at Portland, on a much easier opponent for them. J.J. Hickson is the Blazers' starting center and this shows how Portland's interior defense is really poor. Portland is allowing 66% FG at the rim and 53% FG from 3-9 feet, so the Bulls have a good bounce back spot to have a big offensive game in here.
On the other side, Chicago's defense is far from being an elite team in protecting the basket. It might seem weird, but the truth is that they are allowing 68% FG at the rim this season! The Clippers pounded them big time down low yesterday with 15-20 FG at the rim and 11-17 FG from 3-9 feet. Kirk Hinrich didn't look at 100% physically yesterday and PG Damian Lillard is torching NBA defenses with pick and roll ball handler plays by turning Portland into the #2 best team in the league in pick and roll ball handler plays, with a nice 0.94 PPP!
Chicago with their nice ball movement will find easy looks on the inside, while Portland will take advantage of Chicago's back-to-back spot to run and score in transition, besides the fact that they will have a substantial edge with Damian Lillard and his pick and rolls and with LeMarcus Aldridge being defended by Carlos Boozer. I expect a high scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 713/714 Over 192 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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