NBA - 711 Dallas Mavericks @ 712 Chicago Bulls
Projected Line: 187 points
Dallas is coming from a loss in Philadelphia last night, where Chris Kaman (9-13 FG and 20 points), Elton Brand (17 points) and Shawn Marion (17 points and 8 rebounds) had good games. Darren Collison looked quite impressive on defense, while the Mavericks as a team looked considerably more energetic and that showed on the scoreboard. Dallas' frontcourt played very well on offense, but they were clearly outrebounded.
But I doubt that Dallas' veteran frontcourt can replicate their good offensive performance tonight, on a back to back spot. Dallas has been a good team on transitions, but by being squashed on the rebounds on defense, I doubt they will have a lot of chances to score fast break points tonight. The Mavericks has been a jump shooting team with good ranks on spot ups, pick and roll roll man and post ups, but they will faced the good Bulls defense on these three areas: #3, #7 and #1 respectively! Dallas' backcourt won't also have an easy game tonight against the Bulls good defense.
Chicago is coming from an incredible loss against Milwaukee! The Bulls' bench struggled and coach Thibodeau gave big minutes to the starters that ended the game extremely tired. Chicago will have a clear edge on the inside, but I wouldn't be surprised if Dallas uses a zone defense in here to force the Bulls to shoot from the perimeter, where they are one of the worst teams in the league this season!
I believe the Bulls will be able to have a good defensive game tonight, while Dallas should also be able to limit Chicago's frontcourt edge to force them to shoot from the perimeter, where they aren't good. I expect a relatively low scoring game in here and so, I'll be taking the Under.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 711/712 Under 191 @ -110 / 1.91 on 5Dimes
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