Tuesday, November 27, 2012

NBA Premium Play 11/26: San Antonio Spurs @ Washington Wizards


NBA - 701 San Antonio Spurs @ 702 Washington Wizards

Projected Line: San Antonio by 3 points

We have a game tonight between the winless Wizards and the top team of San Antonio. However, I believe the terrible spot of the Spurs can't be overlooked. For the second game in a row, San Antonio was completely outrebounded by having grabbed just 39.33% and 43.15% on their last two games! This is the problem of playing with a 3-guards lineup. Yesterday, San Antonio would have lost at Toronto if it wasn't for a ridiculous game by Andrea Bargnani. However, the remaining frontcourt players of the Raptors had great games with Ed Davis shooting 7-11 FG and Jonas Valanciunas 9-13 FG. 

Yesterday's double overtime game forced a big effort from three starters: Tim Duncan played 41 minutes, Tony Parker 46 minutes and Danny Green 48 minutes! Gregg Popovich doesn't feel every comfortable with his bench right now and this is why Matt Bonner played just 6 minutes and Patty Mills 5 minutes yesterday! Tim Duncan's energy will be questionable at least and even though Washington's identity isn't defined yet, they will use their best lineup in my opinion, with Emeka Okafor, Kevin Seraphin, Trevor Ariza, Bradley Beal and A.J. Price.

Unlike San Antonio, Washington dominated the boards on their last two games by grabbing 60.45% and 60.73% of the rebounds. I believe Washington will have clear edges tonight in terms of rebounds and energy and so, the Wizards should be able to fight off San Antonio tonight, even though the Spurs have a clear edge in terms of identity and talent. I expect a tight game tonight and so, I'll be taking Washington in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 702 Washington Wizards (+7) @ -115 / 1.87 on Bovada

No comments:

Post a Comment