NBA - 501 Dallas Mavericks @ 502 Philadelphia 76ers
Projected Line: 188 points
After having gone to overtime against the Thunder, Philadelphia didn't show any tiredness from the perimeter on a back to back game against Phoenix and they had their most efficient game of the season from the outside. In fact, not even the fact that they were facing a poor interior defensive team like Phoenix changed their style and the truth is that the Sixers tried just 14 shots at the rim. Philadelphia kept being a jump shooting team, but this time they had an excellent game with 11-26 FG from 16-23 feet and 9-19 from 3pts! Jrue Holliday was the main reason for this great performance with 13-21 FG, 33 points, 13 assists and just 2 turnovers! Therefore, I expect the Sixers to not explore Dallas' interior defense problems as well. The problem for the Sixers is that Dallas has a good perimeter defense and they are coming from a humiliating home loss against the Lakers, where their defense simply didn't exist. Rick Carlisle has already mentioned that he expects a defensive bounce back from his team tonight:
“Nobody likes getting beat by 30 points, especially at home. That’s not how we want to do business here. When that happens, we got to adjust and a lot of it is adjusting our disposition defensively.”
Darren Collison is a good defender and with the Mavericks being a good defensive team against pick and roll ball handler, spot ups and transitions, I believe Dallas has a good spot to have a good defensive game tonight. On the other hand, Dallas' frontcourt has been very disappointing this season, while being a very poor rebounding team. They are being very dependent from what O.J. Mayo and Darren Collison can do on offense, but Philadelphia is an excellent perimeter defense team led by Jrue Holiday. With Dallas on a bounce back mode and with this game being very perimeter-oriented, but with both teams having good perimeter defenses, I expect this game to be a low scoring one and so, I'll be taking the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 501/502 Under 193 @ -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
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